Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
Yes 81.5%
Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Yes81.5%81.5%72¢ bid, 91¢ askpolled, 4 min ago91¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $110 (1.10x)Yes81.5%Polymarket 81.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Yes
81.5%
81.5%
72¢ bid, 91¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
91¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Yes
81.5%
Polymarket 81.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yes
- Last price
- 81.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 91¢
- Sell Yes
- 72¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $110 (1.10x)
- Volume
- $1K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The leading outcome on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Yes
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
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Cover Yes and No across venues
Loading every outcome’s book…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Will Zekken Leave MIBR in 2026?". Yes leads at 81.5%. $1K has traded across 1 outcome on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zekken leaves MIBR at any point on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Leaving MIBR" refers to Zekken no longer being a member of MIBR's active roster, whether by transfer to another organization, release, benching with removal from the active roster, retirement, or any other permanent departure from the team. A temporary stand-in absence or loan from which Zekken returns to MIBR's active roster will not count. A confirmed departure will qualify even if Zekken's next destination has not been announced. If Zekken is not a member of MIBR's active roster as of this market's launch, the market will resolve to "No" unless he joins and subsequently leaves within the timeframe. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from MIBR and Zekken, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Market resolves on December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or earlier upon a qualifying departure.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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