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What the markets expect
Ewa Pajor 99%
Next is Alexia Putellas at 98.2%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Ewa Pajor99%99%98.9¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 36s ago99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Ewa Pajor99%Polymarket 99%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Ewa Pajor
99%
99%
98.9¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Ewa Pajor
99%
Polymarket 99%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ewa Pajor
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 98.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $860
Alexia Putellas98.2%98.2%96.5¢ bid, 99.9¢ askpolled, 36s ago99.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100 (1.00x)Alexia Putellas98.2%Polymarket 98.2%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Alexia Putellas
98.2%
98.2%
96.5¢ bid, 99.9¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
99.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Alexia Putellas
98.2%
Polymarket 98.2%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alexia Putellas
- Last price
- 98.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 96.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100 (1.00x)
- Volume
- $190
Melchie Dumornay96%96%94¢ bid, 97.9¢ askpolled, 36s ago97.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Melchie Dumornay96%Polymarket 96%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 97.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Melchie Dumornay
96%
96%
94¢ bid, 97.9¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
97.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Melchie Dumornay
96%
Polymarket 96%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 97.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Melchie Dumornay
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $831
Khadija Shaw93.5%93.5%91¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 36s ago96¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Khadija Shaw93.5%Polymarket 93.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Khadija Shaw
93.5%
93.5%
91¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
96¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Khadija Shaw
93.5%
Polymarket 93.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Khadija Shaw
- Last price
- 93.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $876
Pernille Harder87%87%84¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, 36s ago90¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Pernille Harder87%Polymarket 87%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Pernille Harder
87%
87%
84¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
90¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Pernille Harder
87%
Polymarket 87%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pernille Harder
- Last price
- 87%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 84¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
- Volume
- $2K
Patri Guijarro86.5%86.5%86¢ bid, 87¢ askpolled, 36s ago87¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Patri Guijarro86.5%Polymarket 86.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Patri Guijarro
86.5%
86.5%
86¢ bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
87¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Patri Guijarro
86.5%
Polymarket 86.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Patri Guijarro
- Last price
- 86.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
- Volume
- $2K
Claudia Pina85.7%85.7%74.1¢ bid, 97.3¢ askpolled, 36s ago97.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Claudia Pina85.7%Polymarket 85.7%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 97.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Claudia Pina
85.7%
85.7%
74.1¢ bid, 97.3¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
97.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Claudia Pina
85.7%
Polymarket 85.7%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 97.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Claudia Pina
- Last price
- 85.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 74.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
- Volume
- $2K
Caroline Graham Hansen83.5%83.5%77¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, 36s ago90¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Caroline Graham Hansen83.5%Polymarket 83.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Caroline Graham Hansen
83.5%
83.5%
77¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
90¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Caroline Graham Hansen
83.5%
Polymarket 83.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Caroline Graham Hansen
- Last price
- 83.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 77¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
- Volume
- $2K
Temwa Chawinga71%71%69¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 36s ago73¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Temwa Chawinga71%Polymarket 71%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Temwa Chawinga
71%
71%
69¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
73¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Temwa Chawinga
71%
Polymarket 71%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Temwa Chawinga
- Last price
- 71%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 69¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
- Volume
- $1K
Alessia Russo68.5%68.5%48¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 36s ago89¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Alessia Russo68.5%Polymarket 68.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Alessia Russo
68.5%
68.5%
48¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
89¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Alessia Russo
68.5%
Polymarket 68.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alessia Russo
- Last price
- 68.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 48¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
- Volume
- $400
Show 20 more outcomesHide 20 outcomes
Mapi León27%27%4¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 36s ago50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Mapi León27%Polymarket 27%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Mapi León
27%
27%
4¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Mapi León
27%
Polymarket 27%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mapi León
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Yui Hasegawa25%25%12¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 36s ago38¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Yui Hasegawa25%Polymarket 25%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Yui Hasegawa
25%
25%
12¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
38¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Yui Hasegawa
25%
Polymarket 25%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yui Hasegawa
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $6K
Kerstin Casparij21.5%21.5%2¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 36s ago41¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $244 (2.44x)Kerstin Casparij21.5%Polymarket 21.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kerstin Casparij
21.5%
21.5%
2¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
41¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kerstin Casparij
21.5%
Polymarket 21.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kerstin Casparij
- Last price
- 21.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
- Volume
- $10
Esmee Brugts15%15%5¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 36s ago25¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Esmee Brugts15%Polymarket 15%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Esmee Brugts
15%
15%
5¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
25¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Esmee Brugts
15%
Polymarket 15%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Esmee Brugts
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Klara Buhl10.5%10.5%4¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 36s ago17¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Klara Buhl10.5%Polymarket 10.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Klara Buhl
10.5%
10.5%
4¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
17¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Klara Buhl
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Klara Buhl
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $2K
Mariona Caldentey9.5%9.5%7¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 36s ago12¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Mariona Caldentey9.5%Polymarket 9.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Mariona Caldentey
9.5%
9.5%
7¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
12¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Mariona Caldentey
9.5%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mariona Caldentey
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $1K
Cata Coll8%8%6¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 36s ago10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Cata Coll8%Polymarket 8%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Cata Coll
8%
8%
6¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Cata Coll
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cata Coll
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Tessa Wullaert8%8%6¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 36s ago10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Tessa Wullaert8%Polymarket 8%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Tessa Wullaert
8%
8%
6¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Tessa Wullaert
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Tessa Wullaert
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Vivianne Miedema8%8%6¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 36s ago10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Vivianne Miedema8%Polymarket 8%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Vivianne Miedema
8%
8%
6¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Vivianne Miedema
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Vivianne Miedema
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $284
Melvine Malard6.5%6.5%4.5¢ bid, 8.4¢ askpolled, 36s ago8.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,190 (11.9x)Melvine Malard6.5%Polymarket 6.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 8.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,190 (11.9x)
Melvine Malard
6.5%
6.5%
4.5¢ bid, 8.4¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
8.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,190 (11.9x)
Melvine Malard
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 8.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,190 (11.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Melvine Malard
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,190 (11.9x)
- Volume
- $362
Barbra Banda6%6%4¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 36s ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Barbra Banda6%Polymarket 6%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Barbra Banda
6%
6%
4¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Barbra Banda
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Barbra Banda
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $1K
Caroline Weir6%6%4¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 36s ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Caroline Weir6%Polymarket 6%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Caroline Weir
6%
6%
4¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Caroline Weir
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Caroline Weir
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $243
Manaka Matsukubo6%6%5¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 36s ago7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Manaka Matsukubo6%Polymarket 6%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Manaka Matsukubo
6%
6%
5¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Manaka Matsukubo
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Manaka Matsukubo
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $527
Lorena5.2%5.2%3¢ bid, 7.4¢ askpolled, 36s ago7.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)Lorena5.2%Polymarket 5.2%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 7.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Lorena
5.2%
5.2%
3¢ bid, 7.4¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
7.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Lorena
5.2%
Polymarket 5.2%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 7.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lorena
- Last price
- 5.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,351 (13.5x)
- Volume
- $240
Selma Bacha4.7%4.7%2.1¢ bid, 7.3¢ askpolled, 36s ago7.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)Selma Bacha4.7%Polymarket 4.7%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Selma Bacha
4.7%
4.7%
2.1¢ bid, 7.3¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
7.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Selma Bacha
4.7%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Selma Bacha
- Last price
- 4.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,370 (13.7x)
- Volume
- $102
Momoko Tanikawa4.5%4.5%3¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 36s ago6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Momoko Tanikawa4.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Momoko Tanikawa
4.5%
4.5%
3¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Momoko Tanikawa
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Momoko Tanikawa
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $83
Alex Greenwood4.4%4.4%3.1¢ bid, 5.6¢ askpolled, 36s ago5.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)Alex Greenwood4.4%Polymarket 4.4%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Alex Greenwood
4.4%
4.4%
3.1¢ bid, 5.6¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
5.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Alex Greenwood
4.4%
Polymarket 4.4%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alex Greenwood
- Last price
- 4.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,786 (17.9x)
- Volume
- $174
Wendie Renard3.5%3.5%2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 36s ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Wendie Renard3.5%Polymarket 3.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Wendie Renard
3.5%
3.5%
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Wendie Renard
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Wendie Renard
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $546
Rose Lavelle2.7%2.7%1.3¢ bid, 4.1¢ askpolled, 36s ago4.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)Rose Lavelle2.7%Polymarket 2.7%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Rose Lavelle
2.7%
2.7%
1.3¢ bid, 4.1¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
4.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Rose Lavelle
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rose Lavelle
- Last price
- 2.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,439 (24.4x)
- Volume
- $120
Scarlett Camberos1.3%1.3%0.6¢ bid, 1.9¢ askpolled, 36s ago1.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)Scarlett Camberos1.3%Polymarket 1.3%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Scarlett Camberos
1.3%
1.3%
0.6¢ bid, 1.9¢ ask
polled, 36s ago
1.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Scarlett Camberos
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Scarlett Camberos
- Last price
- 1.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,263 (52.6x)
- Volume
- $232
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Ewa Pajor
- Alexia Putellas
- Melchie Dumornay
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Women's Ballon d'Or Top 10 Finish 2026". Ewa Pajor leads at 99%. Next is Alexia Putellas at 98.2%. $29K has traded across 30 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 10 of the official 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 10 players tie for the top 10 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 10 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final ten places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Women's Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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