The Prediction Markets

Women's Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$10K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Alexia Putellas 99.8%

Next is Ewa Pajor at 96.1%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Alexia Putellas
99.8%
Polymarket 99.8%polled, 35s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Alexia Putellas
Last price
99.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.6¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ewa Pajor
96.1%
Polymarket 96.1%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ewa Pajor
Last price
96.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
94.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Melchie Dumornay
95.6%
Polymarket 95.6%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 97.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Melchie Dumornay
Last price
95.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97.1¢
Sell Yes
94.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$970
Trade this on Polymarket
Khadija Shaw
73%
Polymarket 73%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Khadija Shaw
Last price
73%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
Alex Greenwood
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alex Greenwood
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Barbra Banda
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Barbra Banda
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kerstin Casparij
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kerstin Casparij
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Tessa Wullaert
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tessa Wullaert
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Wendie Renard
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wendie Renard
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Klara Buhl
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Klara Buhl
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$662
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 20 more outcomes
Pernille Harder
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 89.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pernille Harder
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89.9¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$495
Trade this on Polymarket
Patri Guijarro
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
Patri Guijarro
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$262
Trade this on Polymarket
Temwa Chawinga
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Temwa Chawinga
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$238
Trade this on Polymarket
Alessia Russo
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alessia Russo
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$956
Trade this on Polymarket
Momoko Tanikawa
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 49.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Momoko Tanikawa
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49.9¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Scarlett Camberos
25.4%
Polymarket 25.4%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 49.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $202 (2.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Scarlett Camberos
Last price
25.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49.6¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$202 (2.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Manaka Matsukubo
23.9%
Polymarket 23.9%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 45.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $218 (2.18x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manaka Matsukubo
Last price
23.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45.8¢
Sell Yes
1.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$218 (2.18x)
Volume
$313
Trade this on Polymarket
Claudia Pina
23%
Polymarket 23%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Claudia Pina
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$122
Trade this on Polymarket
Cata Coll
20.1%
Polymarket 20.1%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cata Coll
Last price
20.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$441
Trade this on Polymarket
Vivianne Miedema
15.1%
Polymarket 15.1%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vivianne Miedema
Last price
15.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rose Lavelle
13.2%
Polymarket 13.2%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 25.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $397 (3.97x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rose Lavelle
Last price
13.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25.2¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$397 (3.97x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Caroline Graham Hansen
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Caroline Graham Hansen
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$260
Trade this on Polymarket
Yui Hasegawa
7.6%
Polymarket 7.6%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yui Hasegawa
Last price
7.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$221
Trade this on Polymarket
Lorena
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 9.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lorena
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.8¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,020 (10.2x)
Volume
$140
Trade this on Polymarket
Melvine Malard
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Melvine Malard
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$172
Trade this on Polymarket
Mapi León
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mapi León
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$96
Trade this on Polymarket
Esmee Brugts
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Esmee Brugts
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$492
Trade this on Polymarket
Caroline Weir
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Caroline Weir
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$81
Trade this on Polymarket
Mariona Caldentey
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mariona Caldentey
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Polymarket
Selma Bacha
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Selma Bacha
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$142
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Alexia Putellas
  • Ewa Pajor
  • Melchie Dumornay

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Women's Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026". Alexia Putellas leads at 99.8%. Next is Ewa Pajor at 96.1%. $10K has traded across 30 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 of the official 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 5 players tie for the top 5 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 5 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final five places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Women's Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More culture markets

See all culture markets