The Prediction Markets

Women's College Basketball Tournament #1 Seeds

Closes
Apr 15, 2027, in 6 months
Traded
$1K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
29 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

South Carolina 76%

Next is USC at 68.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 29 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
South Carolina
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
South Carolina
Last price
76%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$42
Trade this on Kalshi
USC
68.5%
Kalshi 68.5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
USC
Last price
68.5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Trade this on Kalshi
UConn
65.5%
Kalshi 65.5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
UConn
Last price
65.5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Texas
35.5%
Kalshi 35.5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Texas
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Michigan
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michigan
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
LSU
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
LSU
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Duke
13.5%
Kalshi 13.5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Duke
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Iowa
11.5%
Kalshi 11.5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iowa
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Notre Dame
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Notre Dame
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Oklahoma
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oklahoma
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 25 more outcomes
Washington
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Washington
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kentucky
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kentucky
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Louisville
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Louisville
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Maryland
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Maryland
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
North Carolina
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
North Carolina
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tennessee
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ohio St.
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ohio St.
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Oregon
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oregon
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
TCU
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
TCU
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Baylor
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Baylor
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nebraska
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nebraska
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Alabama
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alabama
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Grand Canyon
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Grand Canyon
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Iowa St.
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iowa St.
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Michigan St.
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michigan St.
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Minnesota
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minnesota
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
North Carolina St.
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
North Carolina St.
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ole Miss
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ole Miss
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
SMU
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
SMU
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Stanford
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stanford
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Texas Tech
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Texas Tech
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Utah
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Utah
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Villanova
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Villanova
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
West Virginia
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
West Virginia
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
UCLA
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
UCLA
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • South Carolina
  • USC
  • UConn

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Women's College Basketball Tournament #1 Seeds". South Carolina leads at 76%. Next is USC at 68.5%. $1K has traded across 35 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Apr 15, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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