The Prediction Markets

Worlds 2026: Team to Reach Knockout Stage

Closes
Dec 15, 2026, in 53 days
Traded
$16K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Gen.G 92.5%

Next is Hanwha Life Esports at 87.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Gen.G
92.5%
Polymarket 92.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gen.G
Last price
92.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Hanwha Life Esports
87.5%
Polymarket 87.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hanwha Life Esports
Last price
87.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$612
Trade this on Polymarket
Bilibili Gaming
87%
Polymarket 87%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bilibili Gaming
Last price
87%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
T1
85%
Polymarket 85%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Polymarket
Contract
T1
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
83¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Anyone's Legend
66.5%
Polymarket 66.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
Anyone's Legend
Last price
66.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$237
Trade this on Polymarket
Dplus KIA
66.5%
Polymarket 66.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dplus KIA
Last price
66.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$626
Trade this on Polymarket
G2 Esports
61.5%
Polymarket 61.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
Contract
G2 Esports
Last price
61.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$686
Trade this on Polymarket
Invictus Gaming
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Invictus Gaming
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$365
Trade this on Polymarket
Team Liquid
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Team Liquid
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$863
Trade this on Polymarket
Top Esports
34%
Polymarket 34%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Top Esports
Last price
34%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$178
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 6 more outcomes
LYON
32%
Polymarket 32%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
LYON
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Karmine Corp
31.5%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
Karmine Corp
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$970
Trade this on Polymarket
Team Secret Whales
23%
Polymarket 23%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Team Secret Whales
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$990
Trade this on Polymarket
Movistar KOI
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Movistar KOI
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$497
Trade this on Polymarket
CTBC Flying Oyster
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
CTBC Flying Oyster
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
LOS
4.8%
Polymarket 4.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
LOS
Last price
4.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.5¢
Sell Yes
3.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,538 (15.4x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: lolesports.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Gen.G
  • Hanwha Life Esports
  • Bilibili Gaming

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Worlds 2026: Team to Reach Knockout Stage". Gen.G leads at 92.5%. Next is Hanwha Life Esports at 87.5%. $16K has traded across 16 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the Knockout Stage of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026, with the Knockout Stage scheduled to begin on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A team reaches the Knockout Stage if it is officially confirmed as one of the eight teams advancing from the Swiss Stage (scheduled for October 23 to October 31, 2026) to the Knockout Stage, per official tournament rules. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage (e.g. it is eliminated in the Play-In or the Swiss Stage, or withdraws from the tournament), the associated market will resolve to "No". If Worlds 2026 is canceled, postponed after December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Knockout Stage participants have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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