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What the markets expect
Aryna Sabalenka 99%
Next is Elena Rybakina at 99%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Aryna Sabalenka99%99%97¢ bid, — askpolled, 43s agoNo askAryna Sabalenka99%Kalshi 99%polled, 43s ago
Aryna Sabalenka
99%
99%
97¢ bid, — ask
polled, 43s ago
No ask
Aryna Sabalenka
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 43s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aryna Sabalenka
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 97¢
- Volume
- $6K
Elena Rybakina99%99%97¢ bid, — askpolled, 43s agoNo askElena Rybakina99%Kalshi 99%polled, 43s ago
Elena Rybakina
99%
99%
97¢ bid, — ask
polled, 43s ago
No ask
Elena Rybakina
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 43s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Elena Rybakina
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 97¢
- Volume
- $7K
Elina Svitolina99%99%98¢ bid, — askpolled, 43s agoNo askElina Svitolina99%Kalshi 99%polled, 43s ago
Elina Svitolina
99%
99%
98¢ bid, — ask
polled, 43s ago
No ask
Elina Svitolina
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 43s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Elina Svitolina
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 98¢
- Volume
- $5K
Jessica Pegula99%99%95¢ bid, — askpolled, 43s agoNo askJessica Pegula99%Kalshi 99%polled, 43s ago
Jessica Pegula
99%
99%
95¢ bid, — ask
polled, 43s ago
No ask
Jessica Pegula
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 43s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jessica Pegula
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
- Volume
- $10K
Karolina Muchova99%99%85¢ bid, — askpolled, 43s agoNo askKarolina Muchova99%Kalshi 99%polled, 43s ago
Karolina Muchova
99%
99%
85¢ bid, — ask
polled, 43s ago
No ask
Karolina Muchova
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 43s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Karolina Muchova
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 85¢
- Volume
- $3K
Mirra Andreeva99%99%97¢ bid, — askpolled, 43s agoNo askMirra Andreeva99%Kalshi 99%polled, 43s ago
Mirra Andreeva
99%
99%
97¢ bid, — ask
polled, 43s ago
No ask
Mirra Andreeva
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 43s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mirra Andreeva
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 97¢
- Volume
- $7K
Coco Gauff98%98%98¢ bid, — askpolled, 43s agoNo askCoco Gauff98%Kalshi 98%polled, 43s ago
Coco Gauff
98%
98%
98¢ bid, — ask
polled, 43s ago
No ask
Coco Gauff
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 43s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Coco Gauff
- Last price
- 98%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 98¢
- Volume
- $7K
Iva Jovic95%95%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 43s ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Iva Jovic95%Kalshi 95%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Iva Jovic
95%
95%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Iva Jovic
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iva Jovic
- Last price
- 95%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
- Volume
- $36
Emma Navarro72%72%— bid, 72¢ askpolled, 43s ago72¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $139 (1.39x)Emma Navarro72%Kalshi 72%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Emma Navarro
72%
72%
— bid, 72¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
72¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Emma Navarro
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Emma Navarro
- Last price
- 72%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 72¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $139 (1.39x)
- Volume
- $98
Amanda Anisimova46.5%46.5%— bid, 93¢ askpolled, 43s ago93¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Amanda Anisimova46.5%Kalshi 46.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Amanda Anisimova
46.5%
46.5%
— bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
93¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Amanda Anisimova
46.5%
Kalshi 46.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Amanda Anisimova
- Last price
- 46.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
Show 10 more outcomesHide 10 outcomes
Jasmine Paolini42.5%42.5%— bid, 85¢ askpolled, 43s ago85¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $118 (1.18x)Jasmine Paolini42.5%Kalshi 42.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Jasmine Paolini
42.5%
42.5%
— bid, 85¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
85¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Jasmine Paolini
42.5%
Kalshi 42.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jasmine Paolini
- Last price
- 42.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
Jelena Ostapenko22.5%22.5%— bid, 45¢ askpolled, 43s ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Jelena Ostapenko22.5%Kalshi 22.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Jelena Ostapenko
22.5%
22.5%
— bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Jelena Ostapenko
22.5%
Kalshi 22.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jelena Ostapenko
- Last price
- 22.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
Madison Keys22.5%22.5%— bid, 45¢ askpolled, 43s ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Madison Keys22.5%Kalshi 22.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Madison Keys
22.5%
22.5%
— bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Madison Keys
22.5%
Kalshi 22.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Madison Keys
- Last price
- 22.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
Qinwen Zheng17.5%17.5%— bid, 35¢ askpolled, 43s ago35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Qinwen Zheng17.5%Kalshi 17.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Qinwen Zheng
17.5%
17.5%
— bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Qinwen Zheng
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Qinwen Zheng
- Last price
- 17.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
Paula Badosa7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 43s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Paula Badosa7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Paula Badosa
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Paula Badosa
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Paula Badosa
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Victoria Mboko3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 43s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Victoria Mboko3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Victoria Mboko
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Victoria Mboko
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Victoria Mboko
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Barbora Krejcikova2%2%— bid, 25¢ askpolled, 43s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Barbora Krejcikova2%Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Barbora Krejcikova
2%
2%
— bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Barbora Krejcikova
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Barbora Krejcikova
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $372
Iga Swiatek1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Iga Swiatek1%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Iga Swiatek
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Iga Swiatek
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iga Swiatek
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Marta Kostyuk1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 43s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Marta Kostyuk1%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Marta Kostyuk
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Marta Kostyuk
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marta Kostyuk
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Naomi Osaka1%1%— bid, 41¢ askpolled, 43s ago41¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $244 (2.44x)Naomi Osaka1%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Naomi Osaka
1%
1%
— bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
41¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Naomi Osaka
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Naomi Osaka
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
- Volume
- $213
Who resolves this market
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Aryna Sabalenka
- Elena Rybakina
- Elina Svitolina
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "WTA Singles Finals: Qualifiers". Aryna Sabalenka leads at 99%. Next is Elena Rybakina at 99%. $50K has traded across 20 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 8, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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