Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
1.20 72%
Next is 1.30-1.40 at 57.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
1 of 53 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls, the oldest 28 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
1.2072%72%70¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 28 min agoNot listed74¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $135 (1.35x)1.2072%Polymarket 72%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
1.20
72%
72%
70¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
Not listed
74¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
1.20
72%
Polymarket 72%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 1.20
- Last price
- 72%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 70¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
- Volume
- $9K
1.30-1.4057.5%57.5%54¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, 28 min agoNot listed61¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $164 (1.64x)1.30-1.4057.5%Polymarket 57.5%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
1.30-1.40
57.5%
57.5%
54¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
Not listed
61¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
1.30-1.40
57.5%
Polymarket 57.5%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 1.30-1.40
- Last price
- 57.5%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
- Volume
- $3
1.20-1.3045.2%45.2%42.3¢ bid, 48.1¢ askpolled, 28 min agoNot listed48.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $208 (2.08x)1.20-1.3045.2%Polymarket 45.2%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 48.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
1.20-1.30
45.2%
45.2%
42.3¢ bid, 48.1¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
Not listed
48.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
1.20-1.30
45.2%
Polymarket 45.2%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 48.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 1.20-1.30
- Last price
- 45.2%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 48.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 42.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
- Volume
- $10
1.0000 - $1.249945%Not listed45%45¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 28 min ago54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)1.0000 - $1.249945%Kalshi 45%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
1.0000 - $1.2499
45%
Not listed
45%
45¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
1.0000 - $1.2499
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.0000 - $1.2499
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $4K
1.0030%30%28¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 28 min agoNot listed32¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $313 (3.13x)1.0030%Polymarket 30%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
1.00
30%
30%
28¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
Not listed
32¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
1.00
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 1.00
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $8K
1.2500 - $1.499929%Not listed29%14¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 28 min ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)1.2500 - $1.499929%Kalshi 29%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
1.2500 - $1.4999
29%
Not listed
29%
14¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
1.2500 - $1.4999
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.2500 - $1.4999
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
- Volume
- $973
1.5000 - $1.749921%Not listed21%12¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 28 min ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)1.5000 - $1.749921%Kalshi 21%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
1.5000 - $1.7499
21%
Not listed
21%
12¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
1.5000 - $1.7499
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.5000 - $1.7499
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $4K
0.7500 - $0.999918%Not listed18%14¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 28 min ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)0.7500 - $0.999918%Kalshi 18%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
0.7500 - $0.9999
18%
Not listed
18%
14¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
0.7500 - $0.9999
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.7500 - $0.9999
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $75
1.7500 - $1.999914%Not listed14%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 28 min ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)1.7500 - $1.999914%Kalshi 14%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
1.7500 - $1.9999
14%
Not listed
14%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
1.7500 - $1.9999
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1.7500 - $1.9999
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $2K
0.8011%11%10¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 28 min agoNot listed12¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $833 (8.33x)0.8011%Polymarket 11%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
0.80
11%
11%
10¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
Not listed
12¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
0.80
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 0.80
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $19K
Show 43 more outcomesHide 43 outcomes
2.2500 - $2.499910%Not listed10%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 28 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)2.2500 - $2.499910%Kalshi 10%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
2.2500 - $2.4999
10%
Not listed
10%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
2.2500 - $2.4999
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2.2500 - $2.4999
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $339
3.2500 - $3.499910%Not listed10%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 28 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)3.2500 - $3.499910%Kalshi 10%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
3.2500 - $3.4999
10%
Not listed
10%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
3.2500 - $3.4999
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3.2500 - $3.4999
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $614
6 or above10%Not listed10%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 28 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)6 or above10%Kalshi 10%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
6 or above
10%
Not listed
10%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
6 or above
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 6 or above
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
0.4999 or below9%Not listed9%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 28 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)0.4999 or below9%Kalshi 9%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
0.4999 or below
9%
Not listed
9%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
0.4999 or below
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.4999 or below
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $367
0.5000 - $0.74999%Not listed9%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 28 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)0.5000 - $0.74999%Kalshi 9%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
0.5000 - $0.7499
9%
Not listed
9%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
0.5000 - $0.7499
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 0.5000 - $0.7499
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $878
2.5000 - $2.74999%Not listed9%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 28 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)2.5000 - $2.74999%Kalshi 9%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
2.5000 - $2.7499
9%
Not listed
9%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
2.5000 - $2.7499
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2.5000 - $2.7499
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $630
2.7500 - $2.99999%Not listed9%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 28 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)2.7500 - $2.99999%Kalshi 9%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
2.7500 - $2.9999
9%
Not listed
9%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
2.7500 - $2.9999
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2.7500 - $2.9999
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $108
3.0000 - $3.24999%Not listed9%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 28 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)3.0000 - $3.24999%Kalshi 9%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
3.0000 - $3.2499
9%
Not listed
9%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
3.0000 - $3.2499
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3.0000 - $3.2499
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $51
4.5000 - $4.74999%Not listed9%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 28 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)4.5000 - $4.74999%Kalshi 9%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
4.5000 - $4.7499
9%
Not listed
9%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
4.5000 - $4.7499
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 4.5000 - $4.7499
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $9
4.7500 - $4.99999%Not listed9%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 28 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)4.7500 - $4.99999%Kalshi 9%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
4.7500 - $4.9999
9%
Not listed
9%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
4.7500 - $4.9999
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 4.7500 - $4.9999
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $7
5.0000 - $5.24999%Not listed9%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 28 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)5.0000 - $5.24999%Kalshi 9%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
5.0000 - $5.2499
9%
Not listed
9%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
5.0000 - $5.2499
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.0000 - $5.2499
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $86
5.7500 - $5.99998%Not listed8%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 28 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)5.7500 - $5.99998%Kalshi 8%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
5.7500 - $5.9999
8%
Not listed
8%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
5.7500 - $5.9999
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.7500 - $5.9999
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $241
2.607.5%7.5%6¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 28 min agoNot listed9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)2.607.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
2.60
7.5%
7.5%
6¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
Not listed
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
2.60
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2.60
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $49K
0.605%5%4¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 28 min agoNot listed6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)0.605%Polymarket 5%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
0.60
5%
5%
4¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
Not listed
6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
0.60
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 0.60
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $23K
2.804.9%4.9%4¢ bid, 5.8¢ askpolled, 28 min agoNot listed5.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)2.804.9%Polymarket 4.9%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
2.80
4.9%
4.9%
4¢ bid, 5.8¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
Not listed
5.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
2.80
4.9%
Polymarket 4.9%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2.80
- Last price
- 4.9%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,724 (17.2x)
- Volume
- $19K
3.5000 - $3.74994.5%Not listed4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 28 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)3.5000 - $3.74994.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
3.5000 - $3.7499
4.5%
Not listed
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
3.5000 - $3.7499
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3.5000 - $3.7499
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
3.7500 - $3.99994.5%Not listed4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 28 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)3.7500 - $3.99994.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
3.7500 - $3.9999
4.5%
Not listed
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
3.7500 - $3.9999
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3.7500 - $3.9999
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
3.204.3%4.3%3.4¢ bid, 5.2¢ askpolled, 28 min agoNot listed5.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)3.204.3%Polymarket 4.3%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
3.20
4.3%
4.3%
3.4¢ bid, 5.2¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
Not listed
5.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
3.20
4.3%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 3.20
- Last price
- 4.3%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,923 (19.2x)
- Volume
- $9K
3.004.1%4.1%3.9¢ bid, 4.3¢ asklive, 27 min agoNot listed4.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)3.004.1%Polymarket 4.1%live, 27 min agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
3.00
4.1%
4.1%
3.9¢ bid, 4.3¢ ask
live, 27 min ago
Not listed
4.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
3.00
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%live, 27 min agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 3.00
- Price
- 4.1%
- As of
- Live feed, 27 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,326 (23.3x)
- Volume
- $32K
3.403.5%3.5%2.7¢ bid, 4.2¢ askpolled, 28 min agoNot listed4.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)3.403.5%Polymarket 3.5%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
3.40
3.5%
3.5%
2.7¢ bid, 4.2¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
Not listed
4.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
3.40
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 3.40
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,381 (23.8x)
- Volume
- $8K
3.603.4%3.4%2.5¢ bid, 4.3¢ askpolled, 28 min agoNot listed4.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)3.603.4%Polymarket 3.4%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
3.60
3.4%
3.4%
2.5¢ bid, 4.3¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
Not listed
4.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
3.60
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 3.60
- Last price
- 3.4%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,326 (23.3x)
- Volume
- $9K
3.803.1%3.1%1.9¢ bid, 4.2¢ askpolled, 28 min agoNot listed4.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)3.803.1%Polymarket 3.1%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
3.80
3.1%
3.1%
1.9¢ bid, 4.2¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
Not listed
4.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
3.80
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 3.80
- Last price
- 3.1%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,381 (23.8x)
- Volume
- $10K
4.003.1%3.1%1.2¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, 28 min agoNot listed4.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)4.003.1%Polymarket 3.1%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
4.00
3.1%
3.1%
1.2¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
Not listed
4.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
4.00
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 4.00
- Last price
- 3.1%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $7K
1.40-1.502.1%2.1%1.1¢ bid, 3.1¢ askpolled, 28 min agoNot listed3.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)1.40-1.502.1%Polymarket 2.1%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
1.40-1.50
2.1%
2.1%
1.1¢ bid, 3.1¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
Not listed
3.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
1.40-1.50
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 1.40-1.50
- Last price
- 2.1%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,226 (32.3x)
- Volume
- $100
2.0000 - $2.24992%Not listed2%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 28 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)2.0000 - $2.24992%Kalshi 2%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
2.0000 - $2.2499
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
2.0000 - $2.2499
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2.0000 - $2.2499
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $805
4.0000 - $4.24992%Not listed2%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 28 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)4.0000 - $4.24992%Kalshi 2%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
4.0000 - $4.2499
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
4.0000 - $4.2499
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 4.0000 - $4.2499
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $140
4.2500 - $4.49992%Not listed2%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 28 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)4.2500 - $4.49992%Kalshi 2%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
4.2500 - $4.4999
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
4.2500 - $4.4999
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 4.2500 - $4.4999
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $140
5.2500 - $5.49992%Not listed2%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 28 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)5.2500 - $5.49992%Kalshi 2%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
5.2500 - $5.4999
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
5.2500 - $5.4999
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.2500 - $5.4999
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $1
5.5000 - $5.74992%Not listed2%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 28 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)5.5000 - $5.74992%Kalshi 2%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
5.5000 - $5.7499
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
5.5000 - $5.7499
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 5.5000 - $5.7499
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $94
1.10-1.202%2%1¢ bid, 2.9¢ askpolled, 28 min agoNot listed2.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)1.10-1.202%Polymarket 2%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
1.10-1.20
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2.9¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
Not listed
2.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
1.10-1.20
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 1.10-1.20
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
0.401.9%1.9%1.1¢ bid, 2.7¢ askpolled, 28 min agoNot listed2.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)0.401.9%Polymarket 1.9%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
0.40
1.9%
1.9%
1.1¢ bid, 2.7¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
Not listed
2.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
0.40
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 0.40
- Last price
- 1.9%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,704 (37.0x)
- Volume
- $21K
4.201.9%1.9%0.6¢ bid, 3.2¢ askpolled, 28 min agoNot listed3.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)4.201.9%Polymarket 1.9%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 3.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
4.20
1.9%
1.9%
0.6¢ bid, 3.2¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
Not listed
3.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
4.20
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 3.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 4.20
- Last price
- 1.9%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,125 (31.3x)
- Volume
- $25K
5.001.9%1.9%1.5¢ bid, 2.2¢ askpolled, 28 min agoNot listed2.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)5.001.9%Polymarket 1.9%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
5.00
1.9%
1.9%
1.5¢ bid, 2.2¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
Not listed
2.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
5.00
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 5.00
- Last price
- 1.9%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,545 (45.5x)
- Volume
- $146K
6.001.4%1.4%0.2¢ bid, 2.5¢ askpolled, 28 min agoNot listed2.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)6.001.4%Polymarket 1.4%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
6.00
1.4%
1.4%
0.2¢ bid, 2.5¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
Not listed
2.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
6.00
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 6.00
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,000 (40.0x)
- Volume
- $648
0.201.2%1.2%0.7¢ bid, 1.6¢ askpolled, 28 min agoNot listed1.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)0.201.2%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
0.20
1.2%
1.2%
0.7¢ bid, 1.6¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
Not listed
1.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
0.20
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 0.20
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,250 (62.5x)
- Volume
- $29K
8.000.6%0.6%0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 28 min agoNot listed0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)8.000.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
8.00
0.6%
0.6%
0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
Not listed
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
8.00
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 8.00
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $3K
1.00-1.100.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 28 min agoNot listed0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)1.00-1.100.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
1.00-1.10
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
Not listed
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
1.00-1.10
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 1.00-1.10
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $10
1.50-1.600.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 28 min agoNot listed0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)1.50-1.600.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
1.50-1.60
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
Not listed
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
1.50-1.60
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 1.50-1.60
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $10
0.90-1.000.5%0.5%— bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 28 min agoNot listed0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)0.90-1.000.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
0.90-1.00
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
Not listed
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
0.90-1.00
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 0.90-1.00
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $25
1.60-1.700.5%0.5%— bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 28 min agoNot listed0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)1.60-1.700.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
1.60-1.70
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
Not listed
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
1.60-1.70
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 1.60-1.70
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $600
0.900.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 28 min agoNot listed0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)0.900.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
0.90
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
Not listed
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
0.90
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 0.90
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $109
1.70-1.800.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 28 min agoNot listed0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)1.70-1.800.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
1.70-1.80
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
Not listed
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
1.70-1.80
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 1.70-1.80
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $601
1.800.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 28 min agoNot listed0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)1.800.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
1.80
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 28 min ago
Not listed
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
1.80
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 1.80
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 28 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $621
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: binance.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 1.20
- 1.30-1.40
- 1.20-1.30
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list 1.20 for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "XRP price at the end of the year? ". 1.20 leads at 72%. Next is 1.30-1.40 at 57.5%. $507K has traded across 53 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More crypto markets
See all crypto markets- Bitcoin price at the end of 202675,000 to 79,999.9914.2%$42.7M traded
- When will Bitcoin hit $150k?by December 31, 202727.5%$27.3M traded
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes4.6%$24.4M traded
- Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?Above $2000001%$12.5M traded
- Ethereum price at the end of 20262,250 to 2,499.9917.9%$12.3M traded
- Bitcoin all time high by ___?December 31, 20264.5%$10.5M traded