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What the markets expect
Yale vs. Penn 66%
Next is Yale wins by over 1.5 points at 62%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 50 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Yale vs. Penn66%66%65¢ bid, 67¢ askpolled, 47 min agoNot listed67¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $149 (1.49x)Yale vs. Penn66%Polymarket 66%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Yale vs. Penn
66%
66%
65¢ bid, 67¢ ask
polled, 47 min ago
Not listed
67¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Yale vs. Penn
66%
Polymarket 66%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yale vs. Penn
- Last price
- 66%
- As of
- Polled 47 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 67¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $149 (1.49x)
- Volume
- $725
Yale wins by over 1.5 points62%Not listed62%53¢ bid, 62¢ askpolled, 50 min ago62¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $161 (1.61x)Yale wins by over 1.5 points62%Kalshi 62%polled, 50 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Yale wins by over 1.5 points
62%
Not listed
62%
53¢ bid, 62¢ ask
polled, 50 min ago
62¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Yale wins by over 1.5 points
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 50 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yale wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 62%
- As of
- Polled 50 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- 53¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
- Volume
- $5
Spread: Yale (-1.5)56%56%50¢ bid, 62¢ askpolled, 47 min agoNot listed62¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $161 (1.61x)Spread: Yale (-1.5)56%Polymarket 56%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Spread: Yale (-1.5)
56%
56%
50¢ bid, 62¢ ask
polled, 47 min ago
Not listed
62¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Spread: Yale (-1.5)
56%
Polymarket 56%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Spread: Yale (-1.5)
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled 47 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
Yale wins by over 4.5 points52%Not listed52%52¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 50 min ago54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Yale wins by over 4.5 points52%Kalshi 52%polled, 50 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Yale wins by over 4.5 points
52%
Not listed
52%
52¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 50 min ago
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Yale wins by over 4.5 points
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 50 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yale wins by over 4.5 points
- Last price
- 52%
- As of
- Polled 50 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $1K
O/U 49.550.5%50.5%49¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 47 min agoNot listed52¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $192 (1.92x)O/U 49.550.5%Polymarket 50.5%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
O/U 49.5
50.5%
50.5%
49¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 47 min ago
Not listed
52¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
O/U 49.5
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 49.5
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled 47 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $417
Spread: Penn (-1.5)50.5%50.5%2¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 47 min agoNot listed99¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Spread: Penn (-1.5)50.5%Polymarket 50.5%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Spread: Penn (-1.5)
50.5%
50.5%
2¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 47 min ago
Not listed
99¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Spread: Penn (-1.5)
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Spread: Penn (-1.5)
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled 47 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
2H Moneyline50%50%No order bookpolled, 47 min agoNot listedNo ask2H Moneyline50%Polymarket 50%polled, 47 min ago
2H Moneyline
50%
50%
No order book
polled, 47 min ago
Not listed
No ask
2H Moneyline
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 47 min ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2H Moneyline
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 47 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- —
Spread: Penn (-10.5)50%50%1¢ bid, — askpolled, 47 min agoNot listedNo askSpread: Penn (-10.5)50%Polymarket 50%polled, 47 min ago
Spread: Penn (-10.5)
50%
50%
1¢ bid, — ask
polled, 47 min ago
Not listed
No ask
Spread: Penn (-10.5)
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 47 min ago
Polymarket
- Contract
- Spread: Penn (-10.5)
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 47 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
Spread: Yale (-5.5)50%50%49¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 47 min agoNot listed51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Spread: Yale (-5.5)50%Polymarket 50%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Spread: Yale (-5.5)
50%
50%
49¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 47 min ago
Not listed
51¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Spread: Yale (-5.5)
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Spread: Yale (-5.5)
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 47 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
O/U 51.541.5%41.5%30¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, 47 min agoNot listed53¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $189 (1.89x)O/U 51.541.5%Polymarket 41.5%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
O/U 51.5
41.5%
41.5%
30¢ bid, 53¢ ask
polled, 47 min ago
Not listed
53¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
O/U 51.5
41.5%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 51.5
- Last price
- 41.5%
- As of
- Polled 47 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
Show 24 more outcomesHide 24 outcomes
Spread: Yale (-10.5)41.5%41.5%1¢ bid, 83¢ askpolled, 47 min agoNot listed83¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $120 (1.20x)Spread: Yale (-10.5)41.5%Polymarket 41.5%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Spread: Yale (-10.5)
41.5%
41.5%
1¢ bid, 83¢ ask
polled, 47 min ago
Not listed
83¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Spread: Yale (-10.5)
41.5%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Spread: Yale (-10.5)
- Last price
- 41.5%
- As of
- Polled 47 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 83¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $120 (1.20x)
Yale wins by over 8.5 points39%Not listed39%31¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 50 min ago47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Yale wins by over 8.5 points39%Kalshi 39%polled, 50 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Yale wins by over 8.5 points
39%
Not listed
39%
31¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 50 min ago
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Yale wins by over 8.5 points
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 50 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yale wins by over 8.5 points
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled 50 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
O/U 53.537%37%32¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 47 min agoNot listed42¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $238 (2.38x)O/U 53.537%Polymarket 37%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
O/U 53.5
37%
37%
32¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 47 min ago
Not listed
42¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
O/U 53.5
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 53.5
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled 47 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
O/U 55.536.5%36.5%22¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 47 min agoNot listed51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)O/U 55.536.5%Polymarket 36.5%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
O/U 55.5
36.5%
36.5%
22¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 47 min ago
Not listed
51¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
O/U 55.5
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 55.5
- Last price
- 36.5%
- As of
- Polled 47 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
Spread: Yale (-3.5)35%35%6¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 47 min agoNot listed64¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $156 (1.56x)Spread: Yale (-3.5)35%Polymarket 35%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Spread: Yale (-3.5)
35%
35%
6¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 47 min ago
Not listed
64¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Spread: Yale (-3.5)
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Spread: Yale (-3.5)
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled 47 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
- Volume
- $35
Yale wins by over 12.5 points32%Not listed32%24¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 50 min ago40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Yale wins by over 12.5 points32%Kalshi 32%polled, 50 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Yale wins by over 12.5 points
32%
Not listed
32%
24¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 50 min ago
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Yale wins by over 12.5 points
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 50 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yale wins by over 12.5 points
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled 50 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
O/U 57.529%29%21¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 47 min agoNot listed37¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $270 (2.70x)O/U 57.529%Polymarket 29%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
O/U 57.5
29%
29%
21¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 47 min ago
Not listed
37¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
O/U 57.5
29%
Polymarket 29%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 57.5
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled 47 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
O/U 59.528%28%10¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 47 min agoNot listed46¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $217 (2.17x)O/U 59.528%Polymarket 28%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
O/U 59.5
28%
28%
10¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 47 min ago
Not listed
46¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
O/U 59.5
28%
Polymarket 28%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 59.5
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled 47 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
Spread: Yale (-7.5)27.5%27.5%1¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 47 min agoNot listed55¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $182 (1.82x)Spread: Yale (-7.5)27.5%Polymarket 27.5%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Spread: Yale (-7.5)
27.5%
27.5%
1¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 47 min ago
Not listed
55¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Spread: Yale (-7.5)
27.5%
Polymarket 27.5%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Spread: Yale (-7.5)
- Last price
- 27.5%
- As of
- Polled 47 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
Spread: Yale (-14.5)27.5%27.5%1¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 47 min agoNot listed55¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $182 (1.82x)Spread: Yale (-14.5)27.5%Polymarket 27.5%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Spread: Yale (-14.5)
27.5%
27.5%
1¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 47 min ago
Not listed
55¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Spread: Yale (-14.5)
27.5%
Polymarket 27.5%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Spread: Yale (-14.5)
- Last price
- 27.5%
- As of
- Polled 47 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
Spread: Penn (-5.5)26.5%26.5%1¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 47 min agoNot listed52¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Spread: Penn (-5.5)26.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Spread: Penn (-5.5)
26.5%
26.5%
1¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 47 min ago
Not listed
52¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Spread: Penn (-5.5)
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Spread: Penn (-5.5)
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 47 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
Spread: Penn (-14.5)25%25%1¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 47 min agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Spread: Penn (-14.5)25%Polymarket 25%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Spread: Penn (-14.5)
25%
25%
1¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 47 min ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Spread: Penn (-14.5)
25%
Polymarket 25%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Spread: Penn (-14.5)
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled 47 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Yale wins by over 16.5 points25%Not listed25%19¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 50 min ago31¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Yale wins by over 16.5 points25%Kalshi 25%polled, 50 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Yale wins by over 16.5 points
25%
Not listed
25%
19¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 50 min ago
31¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Yale wins by over 16.5 points
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 50 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yale wins by over 16.5 points
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled 50 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
Spread: Penn (-3.5)23%23%14¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 47 min agoNot listed32¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Spread: Penn (-3.5)23%Polymarket 23%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Spread: Penn (-3.5)
23%
23%
14¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 47 min ago
Not listed
32¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Spread: Penn (-3.5)
23%
Polymarket 23%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Spread: Penn (-3.5)
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 47 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
Penn wins by over 3.5 points23%Not listed23%16¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 50 min ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Penn wins by over 3.5 points23%Kalshi 23%polled, 50 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Penn wins by over 3.5 points
23%
Not listed
23%
16¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 50 min ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Penn wins by over 3.5 points
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 50 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 50 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
O/U 61.520.5%20.5%13¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 47 min agoNot listed28¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $357 (3.57x)O/U 61.520.5%Polymarket 20.5%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
O/U 61.5
20.5%
20.5%
13¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 47 min ago
Not listed
28¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
O/U 61.5
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 61.5
- Last price
- 20.5%
- As of
- Polled 47 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
Yale wins by over 20.5 points19%Not listed19%11¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 50 min ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Yale wins by over 20.5 points19%Kalshi 19%polled, 50 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Yale wins by over 20.5 points
19%
Not listed
19%
11¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 50 min ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Yale wins by over 20.5 points
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 50 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yale wins by over 20.5 points
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled 50 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
Penn wins by over 7.5 points15%Not listed15%6¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 50 min ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Penn wins by over 7.5 points15%Kalshi 15%polled, 50 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Penn wins by over 7.5 points
15%
Not listed
15%
6¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 50 min ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Penn wins by over 7.5 points
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 50 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn wins by over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 50 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
Spread: Penn (-7.5)15%15%5¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 47 min agoNot listed25¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Spread: Penn (-7.5)15%Polymarket 15%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Spread: Penn (-7.5)
15%
15%
5¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 47 min ago
Not listed
25¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Spread: Penn (-7.5)
15%
Polymarket 15%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Spread: Penn (-7.5)
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 47 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Penn wins by over 15.5 points14.5%Not listed14.5%— bid, 29¢ askpolled, 50 min ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Penn wins by over 15.5 points14.5%Kalshi 14.5%polled, 50 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Penn wins by over 15.5 points
14.5%
Not listed
14.5%
— bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 50 min ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Penn wins by over 15.5 points
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 50 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn wins by over 15.5 points
- Last price
- 14.5%
- As of
- Polled 50 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
Penn wins by over 11.5 points13%Not listed13%5¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 50 min ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Penn wins by over 11.5 points13%Kalshi 13%polled, 50 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Penn wins by over 11.5 points
13%
Not listed
13%
5¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 50 min ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Penn wins by over 11.5 points
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 50 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn wins by over 11.5 points
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 50 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
Yale wins by over 24.5 points13%Not listed13%6¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 50 min ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Yale wins by over 24.5 points13%Kalshi 13%polled, 50 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Yale wins by over 24.5 points
13%
Not listed
13%
6¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 50 min ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Yale wins by over 24.5 points
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 50 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yale wins by over 24.5 points
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 50 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
Yale wins by over 28.5 points12%Not listed12%— bid, 24¢ askpolled, 50 min ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Yale wins by over 28.5 points12%Kalshi 12%polled, 50 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Yale wins by over 28.5 points
12%
Not listed
12%
— bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 50 min ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Yale wins by over 28.5 points
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 50 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yale wins by over 28.5 points
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 50 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
Penn wins by over 19.5 points8.5%Not listed8.5%1¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 50 min ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Penn wins by over 19.5 points8.5%Kalshi 8.5%polled, 50 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Penn wins by over 19.5 points
8.5%
Not listed
8.5%
1¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 50 min ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Penn wins by over 19.5 points
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 50 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn wins by over 19.5 points
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 50 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: ncaa.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Yale vs. Penn
- Yale wins by over 1.5 points
- Spread: Yale (-1.5)
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list Yale vs. Penn for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Yale vs Penn: Spread". Yale vs. Penn leads at 66%. Next is Yale wins by over 1.5 points at 62%. $2K has traded across 34 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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