The Prediction Markets

Yale vs Penn: Total Points

Starts in 5 h 17 minKickoff
Traded
$11K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Over 29.5 points 89.5%

Next is Over 33.5 points at 84.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Over 29.5 points
89.5%
Kalshi 89.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 29.5 points
Last price
89.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Over 33.5 points
84.5%
Kalshi 84.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 33.5 points
Last price
84.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Over 37.5 points
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 37.5 points
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Yale vs. Penn
70.5%
Polymarket 70.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yale vs. Penn
Last price
70.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$994
Trade this on Polymarket
Over 41.5 points
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 41.5 points
Last price
70%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Kalshi
Spread: Yale (-1.5)
68.5%
Polymarket 68.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Yale (-1.5)
Last price
68.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Yale (-3.5)
62.5%
Polymarket 62.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Yale (-3.5)
Last price
62.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$59
Trade this on Polymarket
Over 45.5 points
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 45.5 points
Last price
61%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$8
Trade this on Kalshi
Spread: Yale (-5.5)
56.5%
Polymarket 56.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Yale (-5.5)
Last price
56.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
2H Moneyline
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 31s ago
Polymarket
Contract
2H Moneyline
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 22 more outcomes
Spread: Penn (-1.5)
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Penn (-1.5)
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 49.5
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 49.5
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$864
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Penn (-10.5)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Penn (-10.5)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Penn (-14.5)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Penn (-14.5)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Yale (-10.5)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Yale (-10.5)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Yale (-14.5)
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Yale (-14.5)
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Over 49.5 points
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 49.5 points
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$634
Trade this on Kalshi
Spread: Yale (-7.5)
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Yale (-7.5)
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$17
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 51.5
44.5%
Polymarket 44.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 51.5
Last price
44.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Over 53.5 points
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 53.5 points
Last price
42%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Kalshi
O/U 53.5
41%
Polymarket 41%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 53.5
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 55.5
34%
Polymarket 34%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 55.5
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Over 57.5 points
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 57.5 points
Last price
33%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$382
Trade this on Kalshi
O/U 57.5
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 57.5
Last price
29.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Penn (-5.5)
28.5%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Penn (-5.5)
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 59.5
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 59.5
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Penn (-3.5)
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Penn (-3.5)
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Over 61.5 points
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 61.5 points
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
O/U 61.5
20%
Polymarket 20%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 61.5
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Over 65.5 points
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 65.5 points
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$25
Trade this on Kalshi
Spread: Penn (-7.5)
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Penn (-7.5)
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Over 69.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 69.5 points
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: ncaa.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Over 29.5 points
  • Over 33.5 points
  • Over 37.5 points

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Over 29.5 points for this event.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Yale vs Penn: Total Points". Over 29.5 points leads at 89.5%. Next is Over 33.5 points at 84.5%. $11K has traded across 32 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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