The Prediction Markets

Zacatecas Governor Election Winner

Closes
Jun 7, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$46K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

Verónica Díaz Robles 49.8%

Next is Ulises Mejía Haro at 17.6%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Verónica Díaz Robles 49.8%Ulises Mejía Haro 17.6%Noemí Berenice Luna Ayala 16.8%Geovanna Bañuelos de la Torre 9.4%Julia Arcelia Olguín Serna 2.9%11 others 3.5%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Verónica Díaz Robles
49.8%
Polymarket 55%(49.8% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
Contract
Verónica Díaz Robles
Last price
55%
Fair, margin removed
49.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ulises Mejía Haro
17.6%
Polymarket 19.5%(17.6% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ulises Mejía Haro
Last price
19.5%
Fair, margin removed
17.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$22K
Trade this on Polymarket
Noemí Berenice Luna Ayala
16.8%
Polymarket 18.6%(16.8% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 36.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $272 (2.72x)
Polymarket
Contract
Noemí Berenice Luna Ayala
Last price
18.6%
Fair, margin removed
16.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
36.7¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$272 (2.72x)
Volume
$716
Trade this on Polymarket
Geovanna Bañuelos de la Torre
9.4%
Polymarket 10.4%(9.4% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $503 (5.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Geovanna Bañuelos de la Torre
Last price
10.4%
Fair, margin removed
9.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19.9¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$503 (5.03x)
Volume
$767
Trade this on Polymarket
Julia Arcelia Olguín Serna
2.9%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Julia Arcelia Olguín Serna
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Alfonso Ramírez Cuéllar
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alfonso Ramírez Cuéllar
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$810
Trade this on Polymarket
Arturo Nahle García
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arturo Nahle García
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$815
Trade this on Polymarket
Rodrigo Reyes Mugüerza
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rodrigo Reyes Mugüerza
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$812
Trade this on Polymarket
Zaira Ivonne Villagrana Escareño
0.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zaira Ivonne Villagrana Escareño
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$930
Trade this on Polymarket
Jorge Álvarez Máynez
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jorge Álvarez Máynez
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$680
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 6 more outcomes
Carlos Alberto Puente Salas
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Carlos Alberto Puente Salas
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$716
Trade this on Polymarket
Carlos Peña Badillo
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Carlos Peña Badillo
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$665
Trade this on Polymarket
José Narro Céspedes
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
José Narro Céspedes
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Bennelly Jocabeth Hernández Ruedas
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bennelly Jocabeth Hernández Ruedas
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$777
Trade this on Polymarket
Fuensanta Guadalupe Guerrero Esquivel
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fuensanta Guadalupe Guerrero Esquivel
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$678
Trade this on Polymarket
Miguel Ángel Varela Pinedo
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miguel Ángel Varela Pinedo
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$794
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Verónica Díaz Robles
  • Ulises Mejía Haro
  • Noemí Berenice Luna Ayala

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Zacatecas Governor Election Winner". Verónica Díaz Robles leads at 49.8%. Next is Ulises Mejía Haro at 17.6%. $46K has traded across 16 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 7, 2027.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zacatecas on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zacatecas gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Zacatecas and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Zacatecas and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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