The Prediction Markets

Zhejiang Lions vs. Jilin Northeast Tigers

LiveKickoff In play now; prices move fast
Traded
$8K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Zhejiang Lions 84.7%

Next is Zhejiang Lions (-7.5) at 46.5%. The venues differ most on Zhejiang Lions (Polymarket 86%, Kalshi 82%), a 4.0-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Zhejiang LionsArb
84.7%
Polymarket 86%polled, 21s agoKalshi 82%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zhejiang Lions vs. Jilin Northeast Tigers
Last price
86%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Zhejiang Lions
Last price
82%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Kalshi at 83¢ and selling on Polymarket at 85¢ nets 200 bps before fees.

Zhejiang Lions (-7.5)
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zhejiang Lions (-7.5)
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$197
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 178.5
32%
Polymarket 32%polled, 21s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 178.5
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$648
Trade this on Polymarket
Jilin Northeast Tigers
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jilin Northeast Tigers
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Zhejiang Lions on Kalshi at 83¢, sell on Polymarket at 85¢ (200 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes at different times: Oct 24, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 26, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: flashscore.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Sofascore, CBA
Show full rule comparison
  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes Oct 24, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 26, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Zhejiang Lions
  • Zhejiang Lions (-7.5)
  • O/U 178.5

Live prices for Zhejiang Lions

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

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Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Zhejiang Lions vs. Jilin Northeast Tigers". Zhejiang Lions leads at 84.7%. Next is Zhejiang Lions (-7.5) at 46.5%. $8K has traded across 4 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 24, 2026.

In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 24 at 7:35AM ET: If the Zhejiang Lions win, the market will resolve to "Zhejiang Lions". If the Jilin Northeast Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Jilin Northeast Tigers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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