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PolymarketTotal Events:3,433Observed times shown per event
Kalshi
PolymarketTotal Events:3,433
Observed times shown per event
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3,433 results Β· 1β50Reset filters
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? π Ai_tech | Before Apr 1, 2027 93% | $247K | Apr 1, 2027 | Compare |
Google market share this week π Ai_tech | Above 16.6% 90% | $135K | in 3 days | Compare |
Which company has best AI model end of 2026? π Ai_tech | Anthropic 47% | $116K | Dec 31 | Compare |
Google 89% | $116K | in 9 days | Compare | |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...? π Ai_tech | December 31 91% | $83K | in 7h | View |
Largest Company end of October 2026? π Ai_tech | NVIDIA 73% | $64K | in 9 days | View |
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...? π Ai_tech | December 31, 2029 22% | $55K | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
December 31, 2027 67% | $51K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Best AI at the end of 2026? π Ai_tech | Claude 49% | $49K | Dec 31 | View |
Best AI in Oct 2026? π Ai_tech | Gemini 87% | $29K | in 9 days | View |
Anthropic market share this week π Ai_tech | Above 4.8% 99% | $29K | in 3 days | Compare |
How many launches will SpaceX have in October? π Ai_tech | Above 7 99% | $28K | in 10 days | Compare |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...? π Ai_tech | No release by October 31 55% | $26K | in 7h | View |
OpenAI market share this week π Ai_tech | Above 14.7% 99% | $24K | in 3 days | Compare |
Google 58% | $24K | Dec 1 | Compare | |
Best AI this week π Ai_tech | Gemini 94% | $17K | in 4 days | View |
0 79% | $16K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on October 22? π Ai_tech | $210 100% | $13K | Ending now | View |
Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 560 97% | $12K | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
December 31, 2027 52% | $12K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026? π Ai_tech | Microsoft 44% | $11K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be? π Ai_tech | $1.50β$1.75T 49% | $11K | Jan 1, 2028 | Compare |
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...? π Ai_tech | November 30 93% | $10K | in 1 day | Compare |
Above $210 98% | $9K | Apr 27, 2027 | View | |
Best Chinese AI Company end of October? π Ai_tech | Xiaomi 68% | $9K | in 9 days | Compare |
Anthropic 96% | $9K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap π Ai_tech | 1.5T+ 43% | $9K | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
In which month will Anthropic IPO? π Ai_tech | November 2026 72% | $9K | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on October 22? π Ai_tech | $520 100% | $9K | Awaiting result | View |
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap π Ai_tech | 1.8T+ 57% | $8K | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...? π Ai_tech | December 31 84% | $8K | in 1 day | View |
OpenAI IPO by...? π Ai_tech | June 30, 2027 34% | $8K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026? π Ai_tech | 5+ 99% | $8K | in 9 days | View |
Above 18.5% 99% | $7K | in 7h | View | |
Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on October 22? π Ai_tech | $370 100% | $7K | Awaiting result | View |
Yes 18% | $7K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Southwest Airlines seats flown in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 225 million 85% | $7K | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
OpenAI share of spend on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel) π Ai_tech | Above 11.5% 99% | $7K | in 7h | View |
When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? π Ai_tech | November 9βNovember 15 18% | $6K | in 4 days | View |
When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent? π Ai_tech | Before Jan 1, 2027 28% | $6K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
3rd Largest Company end of October? π Ai_tech | Alphabet 57% | $6K | in 9 days | View |
Above 11.1% 92% | $6K | in 7h | View | |
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October? π Ai_tech | Alibaba 75% | $5K | in 9 days | View |
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? π Ai_tech | Above 120 99% | $5K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare |
Next GPT Terra (5.7+) released on...? π Ai_tech | On or prior to October 23 26% | $5K | in 1 day | View |
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October? π Ai_tech | Moonshot 50% | $5K | in 9 days | View |
Google 56% | $5K | in 5 days | Compare | |
CATL 20% | $4K | Jul 1, 2027 | View | |
Tesla Optimus released this year? π Ai_tech | Before 2027 7% | $4K | Dec 31 | View |
Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31? π Ai_tech | $900B-$1.00T 56% | $4K | in 9 days | View |

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?Before Apr 1, 2027$247K todayEnds Apr 1, 202793%
Google market share this weekAbove 16.6%$135K todayEnds in 3 days90%
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?Anthropic$116K todayEnds Dec 3147%
Which company has the best AI model end of October?Google$116K todayEnds in 9 days89%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?December 31$83K todayEnds in 7h91%
Largest Company end of October 2026?NVIDIA$64K todayEnds in 9 days73%
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?December 31, 2029$55K todayEnds Jan 1, 202822%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?December 31, 2027$51K todayEnds Jan 1, 202767%
Best AI at the end of 2026?Claude$49K todayEnds Dec 3149%
Best AI in Oct 2026?Gemini$29K todayEnds in 9 days87%
Anthropic market share this weekAbove 4.8%$29K todayEnds in 3 days99%
How many launches will SpaceX have in October?Above 7$28K todayEnds in 10 days99%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?No release by October 31$26K todayEnds in 7h55%
OpenAI market share this weekAbove 14.7%$24K todayEnds in 3 days99%
Which company has the best AI model end of November?Google$24K todayEnds Dec 158%
Best AI this weekGemini$17K todayEnds in 4 days94%
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?0$16K todayEnds Jan 1, 202779%
NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on October 22?$210$13K todayEnds Ending now100%
Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026Above 560$12K todayEnds Mar 31, 202897%
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?December 31, 2027$12K todayEnds Jan 1, 202752%
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?Microsoft$11K todayEnds Jan 1, 202744%
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?$1.50β$1.75T$11K todayEnds Jan 1, 202849%
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?November 30$10K todayEnds in 1 day93%
Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in fiscal 2026Above $210$9K todayEnds Apr 27, 202798%
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Xiaomi$9K todayEnds in 9 days68%
Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Anthropic$9K todayEnds Jan 1, 202796%
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap1.5T+$9K todayEnds Jan 1, 202843%
In which month will Anthropic IPO?November 2026$9K todayEnds Jan 1, 202872%
Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on October 22?$520$9K todayEnds Awaiting result100%
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap1.8T+$8K todayEnds Jan 1, 202857%
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?December 31$8K todayEnds in 1 day84%
OpenAI IPO by...?June 30, 2027$8K todayEnds Jan 1, 202734%
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?5+$8K todayEnds in 9 days99%
OpenAI share of requests on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)Above 18.5%$7K todayEnds in 7h99%
Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on October 22?$370$7K todayEnds Awaiting result100%
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Yes$7K todayEnds Jan 1, 202718%
Southwest Airlines seats flown in 2026Above 225 million$7K todayEnds Mar 31, 202885%
OpenAI share of spend on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)Above 11.5%$7K todayEnds in 7h99%
When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?November 9βNovember 15$6K todayEnds in 4 days18%
When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?Before Jan 1, 2027$6K todayEnds Jan 1, 202728%
3rd Largest Company end of October?Alphabet$6K todayEnds in 9 days57%
Google share of requests on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)Above 11.1%$6K todayEnds in 7h92%
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Alibaba$5K todayEnds in 9 days75%
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?Above 120$5K todayEnds Jan 1, 202799%
Next GPT Terra (5.7+) released on...?On or prior to October 23$5K todayEnds in 1 day26%
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Moonshot$5K todayEnds in 9 days50%
#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?Google$5K todayEnds in 5 days56%
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?CATL$4K todayEnds Jul 1, 202720%
Tesla Optimus released this year?Before 2027$4K todayEnds Dec 317%
Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?$900B-$1.00T$4K todayEnds in 9 days56%