AI / Tech Events
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PolymarketTotal Events:493Observed times shown per event
KalshiPolymarketTotal Events:493
Observed times shown per event
All categories🏛️ Politics📈 Economics⚽ Sports₿ Crypto📊 AI / Tech🌍 World🎭 Culture📊 Climate🔬 Science📊 Other
493 results · 51–100
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tesla Optimus released this year? 📊 Ai_tech | Before 2027 7% | $4K | Dec 31 | View |
$2.00-$2.25T 39% | $4K | Nov 30 | View | |
Above 178 million 99% | $3K | Mar 31, 2028 | View | |
 Will Tesla release Optimus by...? 📊 Ai_tech | December 31 11% | $3K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Meta 44% | $3K | in 9 days | View | |
$2.5B 92% | $3K | Dec 1 | View | |
Apple 53% | $3K | Dec 31 | View | |
675-725T 98% | $3K | in 3 days | View | |
↓ $45 39% | $3K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Deepseek IPO by...? 📊 Ai_tech | December 31, 2027 64% | $3K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Anthropic 76% | $3K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
AI bubble burst by...? 📊 Ai_tech | June 30, 2027 21% | $3K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
185-195T 35% | $3K | in 3 days | View | |
Meta 50% | $3K | in 9 days | View | |
NuScale announces bankruptcy by...? 📊 Ai_tech | December 31, 2029 28% | $3K | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
Apple 73% | $3K | in 9 days | View | |
Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31? 📊 Ai_tech | $900B-$1.00T 64% | $3K | in 9 days | View |
Meta headcount in 2026 📊 Ai_tech | Above 65000 97% | $3K | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
$330 3% | $3K | in 17 min | View | |
GitLab 13% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Second-best AI Lab end of October? 📊 Ai_tech | Anthropic 84% | $2K | in 9 days | View |
$5.50+ 66% | $2K | in 9 days | View | |
<5 71% | $2K | in 9 days | View | |
Yes 3% | $2K | in 17 min | View | |
When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1? 📊 Ai_tech | Before Dec 31, 2026 50% | $2K | Nov 13 | Compare |
Anthropic 86% | $2K | in 9 days | Compare | |
$1.75-$2.00T 42% | $2K | in 9 days | View | |
When will any company achieve AGI? 📊 Ai_tech | Before Jan 1, 2030 81% | $2K | Jan 1, 2031 | View |
1400+ 93% | $2K | Jul 1, 2027 | View | |
OpenAI 18% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
December 31, 2027 64% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
SpaceX Starship 15th launch? 📊 Ai_tech | Before Dec 11, 2026 94% | $2K | Dec 11 | Compare |
$0.75+ 33% | $2K | Dec 1 | View | |
Before 2027 15% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
475k to 500k 27% | $2K | Mar 1, 2027 | Compare | |
1500+ 95% | $2K | Jul 1, 2027 | View | |
Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace 38% | $2K | in 1 day | View | |
Xiaomi 31% | $2K | Dec 1 | View | |
Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026? 📊 Ai_tech | $5.00-$5.50T 33% | $2K | Dec 31 | View |
October 31 100% | $2K | in 9 days | View | |
Hodge Conjecture 36% | $2K | Jan 1, 2028 | Compare | |
Anthropic / Claude 89% | $2K | Jan 26, 2027 | View | |
Above 8% 99% | $2K | Apr 28, 2027 | View | |
↓ $40 55% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
SSI public model released by…? 📊 Ai_tech | December 31 49% | $2K | in 9 days | Compare |
Meta 90% | $2K | Dec 31 | View | |
Earbuds/Headphones 18% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE) 📊 Ai_tech | ChatGPT 70% | $2K | in 9 days | View |
March 31, 2027 32% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
↓ $15 62% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
- Tesla Optimus released this year?Before 2027$4K todayEnds Dec 317%
- SpaceX’s Market Cap end of November 2026?$2.00-$2.25T$4K todayEnds Nov 3039%
- United Airlines passengers flown in 2026Above 178 million$3K todayEnds Mar 31, 202899%
- Will Tesla release Optimus by...?December 31$3K todayEnds Jan 1, 202711%
- #2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)Meta$3K todayEnds in 9 days44%
- Will Marvell Q3 Data Center revenue be above __?$2.5B$3K todayEnds Dec 192%
- 2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?Apple$3K todayEnds Dec 3153%
- OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?675-725T$3K todayEnds in 3 days98%
- What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?↓ $45$3K todayEnds Jan 1, 202739%
- Deepseek IPO by...?December 31, 2027$3K todayEnds Jan 1, 202764%
- Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?Anthropic$3K todayEnds Jan 1, 202776%
- AI bubble burst by...?June 30, 2027$3K todayEnds Jan 1, 202721%
- OpenRouter token usage week of October 19?185-195T$3K todayEnds in 3 days35%
- #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)Meta$3K todayEnds in 9 days50%
- NuScale announces bankruptcy by...?December 31, 2029$3K todayEnds Jan 1, 202828%
- 2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?Apple$3K todayEnds in 9 days73%
- Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?$900B-$1.00T$3K todayEnds in 9 days64%
- Meta headcount in 2026Above 65000$3K todayEnds Mar 31, 202897%
- Google (GOOGL) closes above ___ on October 22?$330$3K todayEnds in 17 min3%
- Which companies will be acquired this year?GitLab$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202713%
- Second-best AI Lab end of October?Anthropic$2K todayEnds in 9 days84%
- GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?$5.50+$2K todayEnds in 9 days66%
- Will Claude go down on __ days in October?<5$2K todayEnds in 9 days71%
- Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 22?Yes$2K todayEnds in 17 min3%
- When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?Before Dec 31, 2026$2K todayEnds Nov 1350%
- Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?Anthropic$2K todayEnds in 9 days86%
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?$1.75-$2.00T$2K todayEnds in 9 days42%
- When will any company achieve AGI?Before Jan 1, 2030$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 203181%
- Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?1400+$2K todayEnds Jul 1, 202793%
- Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?OpenAI$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202718%
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?December 31, 2027$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202764%
- SpaceX Starship 15th launch?Before Dec 11, 2026$2K todayEnds Dec 1194%
- GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of November?$0.75+$2K todayEnds Dec 133%
- One-time layoff greater than Block (40% of employees) in tech?Before 2027$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202715%
- How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?475k to 500k$2K todayEnds Mar 1, 202727%
- Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?1500+$2K todayEnds Jul 1, 202795%
- #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace$2K todayEnds in 1 day38%
- Best Chinese AI Company end of November?Xiaomi$2K todayEnds Dec 131%
- Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026?$5.00-$5.50T$2K todayEnds Dec 3133%
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?October 31$2K todayEnds in 9 days100%
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?Hodge Conjecture$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202836%
- What will Microsoft say during their next earnings call?Anthropic / Claude$2K todayEnds Jan 26, 202789%
- Meta advertisement impressions growth in fiscal 2026Above 8%$2K todayEnds Apr 28, 202799%
- What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?↓ $40$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202755%
- SSI public model released by…?December 31$2K todayEnds in 9 days49%
- Meta vs OpenAI: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026Meta$2K todayEnds Dec 3190%
- What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?Earbuds/Headphones$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202718%
- Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE)ChatGPT$2K todayEnds in 9 days70%
- CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by...?March 31, 2027$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202732%
- What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?↓ $15$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202762%