AI / Tech Events
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Kalshi&
PolymarketTotal Events:493Observed times shown per event
Kalshi
PolymarketTotal Events:493
Observed times shown per event
All categoriesποΈ Politicsπ Economicsβ½ SportsβΏ Cryptoπ AI / Techπ Worldπ Cultureπ Climateπ¬ Scienceπ Other
493 results Β· 201β250
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ? π Ai_tech | $1.5T 86% | $449 | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
#1 Searched Actor on Google 2026? π Ai_tech | Inde Navarrette 55% | $437 | Dec 31 | View |
$33.5B 93% | $436 | Nov 24 | View | |
Grok 5 released by...? π Ai_tech | December 31 44% | $414 | in 9 days | View |
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October? π Ai_tech | $0.60+ 89% | $411 | in 9 days | View |
Denver, CO 95% | $411 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of December? π Ai_tech | Google 31% | $411 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Top Chinese AI company this month π Ai_tech | Xiaomi 70% | $405 | in 9 days | View |
Situational Awareness raises new capital by...? π Ai_tech | October 31 10% | $405 | in 9 days | View |
Third-best AI Lab end of December? π Ai_tech | Meta 30% | $401 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Second-best AI Lab end of December? π Ai_tech | Google 36% | $398 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Clip-on device for clothing 8% | $397 | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
$170 98% | $370 | in 8 days | View | |
Lindsay Clancy 77% | $359 | Dec 31 | View | |
Two SpaceX Starships dock together byβ¦? π Ai_tech | December 31, 2027 61% | $356 | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare |
Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...? π Ai_tech | December 31 71% | $336 | in 9 days | View |
Above $210 98% | $335 | Apr 27, 2027 | View | |
Best AI model on October 26? π Ai_tech | gemini-4-argon-high 94% | $324 | in 4 days | View |
Alibaba 26% | $321 | in 9 days | View | |
Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...? π Ai_tech | December 31 87% | $315 | Nov 30 | View |
Top AI model this month π Ai_tech | gemini-4-argon-high 79% | $311 | in 9 days | Compare |
#1 Searched Passing on Google in the US 2026? π Ai_tech | Dolly Parton 61% | $310 | Dec 31 | View |
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of December? π Ai_tech | Xiaomi 25% | $306 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
GPU rental prices (H200) end of November? π Ai_tech | $6.50+ 34% | $301 | Dec 1 | View |
$8.5B 81% | $286 | in 11 days | View | |
$16B 81% | $284 | in 11 days | View | |
Before Jan 1, 2027 16% | $284 | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
Tesla total production in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 1.5 million 99% | $280 | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
Before Jan 1, 2028 63% | $278 | Jan 1, 2028 | Compare | |
Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 780 thousand 93% | $277 | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
Payward announces bankruptcy by...? π Ai_tech | December 31, 2029 27% | $273 | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
60%+ 20% | $272 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
$120 90% | $268 | in 19h | View | |
December 31, 2028 30% | $265 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? π Ai_tech | Yes 2% | $264 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Google 55% | $264 | Dec 1 | Compare | |
Anthropic 76% | $263 | Dec 31 | Compare | |
Anthropic 72% | $260 | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
Google 54% | $255 | Dec 1 | View | |
Kimi K4 released byβ¦? π Ai_tech | March 31, 2027 26% | $253 | in 9 days | View |
60%+ 34% | $253 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap π Ai_tech | No IPO before January 2027 95% | $248 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Shadowrocket 94% | $247 | in 23h | View | |
Second-best AI Lab end of November? π Ai_tech | Anthropic 43% | $246 | Dec 1 | View |
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT? π Ai_tech | Before 2027 9% | $238 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026? π Ai_tech | $7.50+ 25% | $238 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by...? π Ai_tech | November 30 60% | $234 | in 9 days | View |
GPU rental prices (A100) end of November? π Ai_tech | $1.00-$1.25 41% | $231 | Dec 1 | View |
Muse Charm released by...? π Ai_tech | December 31 79% | $226 | Dec 16 | View |
Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by...? π Ai_tech | January 31 65% | $221 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?$1.5T$449 todayEnds Jan 1, 202886%
#1 Searched Actor on Google 2026?Inde Navarrette$437 todayEnds Dec 3155%
Will Dell Q3 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above __?$33.5B$436 todayEnds Nov 2493%
Grok 5 released by...?December 31$414 todayEnds in 9 days44%
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?$0.60+$411 todayEnds in 9 days89%
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?Denver, CO$411 todayEnds Jan 1, 202795%
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of December?Google$411 todayEnds Jan 1, 202731%
Top Chinese AI company this monthXiaomi$405 todayEnds in 9 days70%
Situational Awareness raises new capital by...?October 31$405 todayEnds in 9 days10%
Third-best AI Lab end of December?Meta$401 todayEnds Jan 1, 202730%
Second-best AI Lab end of December?Google$398 todayEnds Jan 1, 202736%
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?Clip-on device for clothing$397 todayEnds Jan 1, 20278%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of October?$170$370 todayEnds in 8 days98%
Top 5 Most Searched People on Google in the US 2026Lindsay Clancy$359 todayEnds Dec 3177%
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by�December 31, 2027$356 todayEnds Jan 1, 202761%
Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...?December 31$336 todayEnds in 9 days71%
Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in fiscal 2026Above $210$335 todayEnds Apr 27, 202798%
Best AI model on October 26?gemini-4-argon-high$324 todayEnds in 4 days94%
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?Alibaba$321 todayEnds in 9 days26%
Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?December 31$315 todayEnds Nov 3087%
Top AI model this monthgemini-4-argon-high$311 todayEnds in 9 days79%
#1 Searched Passing on Google in the US 2026?Dolly Parton$310 todayEnds Dec 3161%
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?Xiaomi$306 todayEnds Jan 1, 202725%
GPU rental prices (H200) end of November?$6.50+$301 todayEnds Dec 134%
Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Wearables, Home and Accessories revenue be above __?$8.5B$286 todayEnds in 11 days81%
Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Greater China revenue be above __?$16B$284 todayEnds in 11 days81%
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?Before Jan 1, 2027$284 todayEnds Jan 1, 202716%
Tesla total production in 2026Above 1.5 million$280 todayEnds Mar 31, 202899%
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?Before Jan 1, 2028$278 todayEnds Jan 1, 202863%
Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in 2026Above 780 thousand$277 todayEnds Mar 31, 202893%
Payward announces bankruptcy by...?December 31, 2029$273 todayEnds Jan 1, 202827%
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanityβs Last Exam in 2026?60%+$272 todayEnds Jan 1, 202720%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of October 19 above___?$120$268 todayEnds in 19h90%
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?December 31, 2028$265 todayEnds Jan 1, 202730%
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Yes$264 todayEnds Jan 1, 20272%
Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)Google$264 todayEnds Dec 155%
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?Anthropic$263 todayEnds Dec 3176%
Which company has the best AI Agent end of December?Anthropic$260 todayEnds Jan 1, 202772%
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?Google$255 todayEnds Dec 154%
Kimi K4 released by�March 31, 2027$253 todayEnds in 9 days26%
Highest Claude score on Humanityβs Last Exam in 2026?60%+$253 todayEnds Jan 1, 202734%
SB Energy IPO Closing Market CapNo IPO before January 2027$248 todayEnds Jan 1, 202795%
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Shadowrocket$247 todayEnds in 23h94%
Second-best AI Lab end of November?Anthropic$246 todayEnds Dec 143%
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?Before 2027$238 todayEnds Jan 1, 20279%
GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?$7.50+$238 todayEnds Jan 1, 202725%
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by...?November 30$234 todayEnds in 9 days60%
GPU rental prices (A100) end of November?$1.00-$1.25$231 todayEnds Dec 141%
Muse Charm released by...?December 31$226 todayEnds Dec 1679%
Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by...?January 31$221 todayEnds Jan 1, 202765%