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PolymarketTotal Events:492Observed times shown per event
Kalshi
PolymarketTotal Events:492
Observed times shown per event
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492 results ยท 351โ400
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year? ๐ Ai_tech | Before 2027 9% | $20 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Mac revenue be above __? ๐ Ai_tech | $9B 87% | $20 | in 11 days | View |
Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPad revenue be above __? ๐ Ai_tech | $6B 71% | $20 | in 11 days | View |
Grok (Web) Outage by...? ๐ Ai_tech | October 31 36% | $20 | in 9 days | View |
Bloomberg IPO by...? ๐ Ai_tech | December 31, 2027 36% | $20 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by...? ๐ Ai_tech | December 31 85% | $20 | in 9 days | View |
Yes 47% | $20 | Jan 1, 2028 | Compare | |
$31B 79% | $20 | in 11 days | View | |
Yes 14% | $19 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of December? ๐ Ai_tech | Moonshot 33% | $18 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Altria domestic cigarette shipments in 2026 ๐ Ai_tech | Above 54.5 billion 95% | $14 | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
Chipotle total restaurant count in 2026 ๐ Ai_tech | Above 4320 97% | $13 | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
December 31 4% | $12 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by...? ๐ Ai_tech | January 31 37% | $12 | Dec 31 | View |
Microsoft (MSFT) closes week of Oct 19 at ___? ๐ Ai_tech | $520-$530 55% | $10 | in 21h | View |
Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...? ๐ Ai_tech | October 31, 2026 3% | $10 | in 9 days | View |
Before 2028 67% | $8 | Jan 1, 2028 | Compare | |
GTA VI: PS5 Launch Price ๐ Ai_tech | $60+ 98% | $8 | Nov 19 | View |
Yes 12% | $7 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Anthropic 70% | $7 | Dec 31 | View | |
Home Depot customer transactions in fiscal 2026 ๐ Ai_tech | Above 1.54 billion 96% | $7 | May 25, 2027 | View |
Robinhood funded customers in 2026 ๐ Ai_tech | Above 28.4 million 98% | $6 | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
73% to 75% 81% | $6 | Nov 18 | View | |
Anthropic 33% | $5 | Dec 1 | View | |
In 2026 37% | $5 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Azure 89% | $5 | Dec 1 | View | |
Which exchange will Anthropic list on? ๐ Ai_tech | NASDAQ 96% | $5 | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
Google 50% | $5 | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
Before Jan 1, 2029 67% | $4 | Dec 31, 2028 | Compare | |
Before 2027 16% | $1 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Starbucks total global stores in 2026 ๐ Ai_tech | Above 41300 95% | $0 | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
Who will be the next CEO of X? ๐ Ai_tech | Elon Musk 9% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Before Sep 23, 2027 61% | โ | Sep 23, 2027 | View | |
Next Gemini Argon released by...? ๐ Ai_tech | January 31 28% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
When will Anthropic release Opus 6? ๐ Ai_tech | Before Dec 1, 2026 18% | โ | in 9 days | View |
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? ๐ Ai_tech | Yes 2% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Spotify premium subscribers in 2026 ๐ Ai_tech | Above 330 million 97% | โ | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
When will OpenAI release GPT-7? ๐ Ai_tech | Before 2028 82% | โ | Jan 1, 2028 | Compare |
Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027? ๐ Ai_tech | Before 2027 3% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
December 31, 2026 8% | โ | in 9 days | View | |
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? ๐ Ai_tech | Yes 6% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
October 31 18% | โ | in 9 days | View | |
Above -10% 96% | โ | May 26, 2027 | View | |
SB Energy IPO by...? ๐ Ai_tech | October 31 16% | โ | in 9 days | View |
December 31 28% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? ๐ Ai_tech | Yes 77% | โ | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
Dodge Challenger Hellcat 2% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Yes 9% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Yes 14% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Another Elon baby by December 31? ๐ Ai_tech | Yes 11% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?Before 2027$20 todayEnds Jan 1, 20279%
Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Mac revenue be above __?$9B$20 todayEnds in 11 days87%
Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPad revenue be above __?$6B$20 todayEnds in 11 days71%
Grok (Web) Outage by...?October 31$20 todayEnds in 9 days36%
Bloomberg IPO by...?December 31, 2027$20 todayEnds Jan 1, 202736%
Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by...?December 31$20 todayEnds in 9 days85%
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?Yes$20 todayEnds Jan 1, 202847%
Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Services revenue be above __?$31B$20 todayEnds in 11 days79%
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Yes$19 todayEnds Jan 1, 202714%
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?Moonshot$18 todayEnds Jan 1, 202733%
Altria domestic cigarette shipments in 2026Above 54.5 billion$14 todayEnds Mar 31, 202895%
Chipotle total restaurant count in 2026Above 4320$13 todayEnds Mar 31, 202897%
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?December 31$12 todayEnds Jan 1, 20274%
Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by...?January 31$12 todayEnds Dec 3137%
Microsoft (MSFT) closes week of Oct 19 at ___?$520-$530$10 todayEnds in 21h55%
Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?October 31, 2026$10 todayEnds in 9 days3%
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?Before 2028$8 todayEnds Jan 1, 202867%
GTA VI: PS5 Launch Price$60+$8 todayEnds Nov 1998%
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Yes$7 todayEnds Jan 1, 202712%
Anthropic vs Google: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026Anthropic$7 todayEnds Dec 3170%
Home Depot customer transactions in fiscal 2026Above 1.54 billion$7 todayEnds May 25, 202796%
Robinhood funded customers in 2026Above 28.4 million$6 todayEnds Mar 31, 202898%
NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP)?73% to 75%$6 todayEnds Nov 1881%
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?Anthropic$5 todayEnds Dec 133%
Will any of Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto for any of their core services in 2026?In 2026$5 todayEnds Jan 1, 202737%
What will Satya Nadella say during Microsoft Ignite keynote?Azure$5 todayEnds Dec 189%
Which exchange will Anthropic list on?NASDAQ$5 todayEnds Jan 1, 202896%
Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)Google$5 todayEnds Jan 1, 202750%
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement?Before Jan 1, 2029$4 todayEnds Dec 31, 202867%
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?Before 2027$1 todayEnds Jan 1, 202716%
Starbucks total global stores in 2026Above 41300$0 todayEnds Mar 31, 202895%
Who will be the next CEO of X?Elon MuskEnds Jan 1, 20279%
Will Netflix Studios Fort Monmouth Phase 1A be completed before fall 2027?Before Sep 23, 2027Ends Sep 23, 202761%
Next Gemini Argon released by...?January 31Ends Jan 1, 202728%
When will Anthropic release Opus 6?Before Dec 1, 2026Ends in 9 days18%
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?YesEnds Jan 1, 20272%
Spotify premium subscribers in 2026Above 330 millionEnds Mar 31, 202897%
When will OpenAI release GPT-7?Before 2028Ends Jan 1, 202882%
Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?Before 2027Ends Jan 1, 20273%
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?December 31, 2026Ends in 9 days8%
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?YesEnds Jan 1, 20276%
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?October 31Ends in 9 days18%
Wendy's US same-restaurant sales growth in fiscal 2026Above -10%Ends May 26, 202796%
SB Energy IPO by...?October 31Ends in 9 days16%
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by...?December 31Ends Jan 1, 202728%
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?YesEnds Jan 1, 202877%
Will Dodge release a new Challenger Hellcat before 2027?Dodge Challenger HellcatEnds Jan 1, 20272%
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?YesEnds Jan 1, 20279%
Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?YesEnds Jan 1, 202714%
Another Elon baby by December 31?YesEnds Jan 1, 202711%