See what the markets expect, and where they disagree.
We track every open market on
Kalshi and
Polymarket, match the same question across venues, and show where prices agree, disagree and move.
We track every open market on
Kalshi and
Polymarket, match the same question across venues, and show where prices agree, disagree and move.
Open markets tracked
11,629
$8.2B all-time volume on the markets open now
Live 2026 Midterms
Polls open in11days11hrs25min25sec
Kalshi and
Polymarket, side by side, for every Senate, House and governor race. Markets expect 5 Senate seats to change party.
Projected Senate
Faded ends are seats not up this year. Each race counts for the party the two venues favour on average.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The same outcome on both venues, with settlement rules checked by a person. Busiest markets first; each row shows how old its prices are.
Showing 8 of 24 verified price gaps. See every matched market in the scanner
Democrats blue, republicans red.
LiveConnected to Kalshi and Polymarket
Kalshi
Polymarket
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Corey Conners 13% | $6.2M | Nov 8 | Compare | |
New England vs Chicago ⚽ Sports | Chicago 60% | $5.7M | in 2 days | View |
Game 1: Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee ⚽ Sports | Milwaukee 63% | $4.7M | in 4 days | Compare |
Wolf vs Jong ⚽ Sports | Jeffrey John Wolf 70% | $3.7M | in 14 days | View |
Cleveland vs Philadelphia ⚽ Sports | Cleveland 62% | $3.7M | in 2 days | View |
D'Andre Swift 17% | $3.6M | in 2 days | View | |
New England vs Chicago: Spread ⚽ Sports | Chicago wins by over 1.5 points 57% | $3.6M | in 2 days | View |
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? 🏛️ Politics | Democrats sweep 69% | $3.1M | Feb 1, 2027 | Compare |
D'Andre Swift: 1+ 57% | $2.6M | in 2 days | View | |
Over 27.5 points 96% | $2.5M | in 2 days | View | |
2027 Pro Basketball Champion ⚽ Sports | Oklahoma City 25% | $2.3M | Jul 30, 2029 | View |
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms 🏛️ Politics | Democrats Sweep 69% | $2.3M | in 12 days | Compare |
Texas Senate winner? 🏛️ Politics | James Talarico 68% | $2.1M | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Democratic Party 91% | $1.8M | Feb 1, 2027 | View | |
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 🏛️ Politics | J.D. Vance 44% | $1.7M | Nov 7, 2028 | Compare |
Genesis Championship Winner ⚽ Sports | Si Woo Kim 29% | $1.5M | Nov 8 | View |
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? 🏛️ Politics | October 22 98% | $1.4M | in 4h | View |
Suh vs Chan ⚽ Sports | Jo-Yee Chan 99% | $1.3M | in 14 days | View |
Cleveland wins by over 1.5 points 60% | $1.2M | in 2 days | View | |
AFC Bournemouth 1st Half O/U 1.5 100% | $1.1M | Awaiting result | View | |
A.J. Brown: 25+ 90% | $1.1M | in 2 days | View | |
James Madison wins by over 1.5 points 88% | $1.0M | in 2 days | Compare | |
Gadi Eizenkot 49% | $974K | in 5 days | Compare | |
Fed decision in Oct 2026? 📈 Economics | Fed maintains rate 94% | $840K | in 6 days | Compare |
280-299 48% | $836K | in 16h | View | |
James Madison vs Appalachian St. ⚽ Sports | James Madison 89% | $816K | in 2 days | Compare |
Los Angeles Mayor winner? 📊 Other | Nithya Raman 50% | $751K | Jun 2, 2027 | View |
2027 Pro Football Champion ⚽ Sports | San Francisco 18% | $744K | Feb 13, 2029 | View |
Transgender 99% | $704K | in 14 days | Compare | |
Liberty vs Kennesaw St.: Spread ⚽ Sports | Liberty wins by over 1.5 points 86% | $703K | in 2 days | Compare |
Tampa Bay vs Carolina: Spread ⚽ Sports | Carolina wins by over 1.5 points 56% | $694K | in 5 days | View |
Barcelona vs Real Madrid ⚽ Sports | Barcelona 60% | $660K | in 5 days | Compare |
Harry Kane 78% | $634K | Dec 31 | Compare | |
New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston ⚽ Sports | Pick-Six Scored 50% | $627K | Awaiting result | View |
James Harden: 10+ 98% | $605K | in 2 days | View | |
2028 Democratic nominee for President? 🏛️ Politics | Jon Ossoff 16% | $593K | Nov 7, 2028 | Compare |
Texas Governor winner? 🏛️ Politics | Greg Abbott 68% | $574K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Where will it rain on Oct 22, 2026? 📊 Climate | West Palm Beach 99% | $568K | in 8h | View |
2,400 0% | $556K | Ending now | View | |
Luther Burden III: 2+ 93% | $533K | in 2 days | View | |
October 24 93% | $531K | in 2 days | View | |
Denver vs Oklahoma City ⚽ Sports | Oklahoma City 74% | $520K | in 2 days | View |
Cincinnati vs Baltimore ⚽ Sports | Baltimore 54% | $515K | in 5 days | View |
Over 37.5 points 90% | $512K | in 2 days | Compare | |
$70,000 or above 100% | $511K | in 21h | View | |
Which party will win the U.S. Senate? 🏛️ Politics | Democratic Party 69% | $502K | Feb 1, 2027 | Compare |
Over 205.5 points 93% | $488K | in 2 days | View | |
US gas prices tomorrow 📈 Economics | Above 4.2350 99% | $482K | in 4h | View |
Nebraska Senate winner? 🏛️ Politics | Pete Ricketts 76% | $472K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
East Carolina vs Memphis: Spread ⚽ Sports | Memphis wins by over 1.5 points 77% | $456K | in 2 days | Compare |