Market comparison

#1 Searched Person on Google in 2026?

2 venues · 98 outcome rows · 10 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

16 outcomes · $1.7M reported volume

Observed 19s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

93 outcomes · $345K reported volume

Observed 19s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Both settle on Google's Year in Search Global list for the year.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for #1 Searched Person on Google in 2026?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Bad Bunny Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Bad Bunny Open Kalshi ↗	10.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Bad Bunny Open Polymarket ↗	0.5 pp
Billie Eilish Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Billie Eilish Open Kalshi ↗	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% Billie Eilish Open Polymarket ↗	0.8 pp
Donald Trump Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	7.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% Donald Trump Open Kalshi ↗	5.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0% Donald Trump Open Polymarket ↗	2.0 pp
Elon Musk Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	3.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Elon Musk Open Kalshi ↗	0.6% Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.8% Elon Musk Open Polymarket ↗	2.4 pp
Erling Haaland Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	18.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0% Erling Haaland Open Kalshi ↗	15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0% Erling Haaland Open Polymarket ↗	3.0 pp
Lionel Messi Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Lionel Messi Open Kalshi ↗	2.3% Bid 1.4% · Ask 3.2% Lionel Messi Open Polymarket ↗	1.3 pp
Taylor Swift Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	3.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Taylor Swift Open Kalshi ↗	1.6% Bid 0.6% · Ask 2.6% Taylor Swift Open Polymarket ↗	1.4 pp
Timothee Chalamet Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Timothée Chalamet Open Kalshi ↗	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% Timothée Chalamet Open Polymarket ↗	1.8 pp
Vladimir Putin Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Vladimir Putin Open Kalshi ↗	0.6% Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.8% Vladimir Putin Open Polymarket ↗	0.4 pp
Volodymyr Zelenskyy Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Volodymyr Zelenskyy Open Kalshi ↗	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% Volodymyr Zelenskyy Open Polymarket ↗	0.8 pp
Alysa Liu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.9% Bid 3.8% · Ask 8.0% Alysa Liu Open Polymarket ↗	—
Angel Reese Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% Angel Reese Open Polymarket ↗	—
Anthony Edwards Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% Anthony Edwards Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ariana Grande Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.7% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.0% Ariana Grande Open Polymarket ↗	—
Benjamin Netanyahu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.4% Bid 1.9% · Ask 2.9% Benjamin Netanyahu Open Polymarket ↗	—
Caitlin Clark Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% Caitlin Clark Open Polymarket ↗	—
Chappell Roan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.5% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.8% Chappell Roan Open Polymarket ↗	—
Christian Pulisic Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.4% Christian Pulisic Open Polymarket ↗	—
Cristiano Ronaldo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.7% Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.0% Cristiano Ronaldo Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ja Morant Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.8% Ja Morant Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jacob Elordi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.7% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.0% Jacob Elordi Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jake Paul Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% Jake Paul Open Polymarket ↗	—
JD Vance Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% JD Vance Open Polymarket ↗	—
Joe Biden Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Joe Biden Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Joe Burrow Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% Joe Burrow Open Polymarket ↗	—
Josh Allen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.5% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.8% Josh Allen Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jude Bellingham Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.7% Bid 0.4% · Ask 5.0% Jude Bellingham Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kamala Harris Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Kamala Harris Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Kanye West Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.8% Kanye West Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kylian Mbappé Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.9% Kylian Mbappé Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lamine Yamal Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.1% Bid 0.6% · Ask 1.7% Lamine Yamal Open Polymarket ↗	—
LeBron James Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.1% Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.6% LeBron James Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lindsay Clancy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.5% Bid 22.0% · Ask 25.0% Lindsay Clancy Open Polymarket ↗	—
Luigi Mangione Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Luigi Mangione Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Luka Dončić Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.9% Luka Dončić Open Polymarket ↗	—
Matt Damon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.4% Matt Damon Open Polymarket ↗	—
Neymar Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.9% Neymar Open Polymarket ↗	—
Nicolás Maduro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 1.6% · Ask 4.4% Nicolás Maduro Open Polymarket ↗	—
Patrick Mahomes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.2% Bid 0.4% · Ask 4.0% Patrick Mahomes Open Polymarket ↗	—
Pedro Pascal Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% Pedro Pascal Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 2 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 2 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 3 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 3 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 4 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 4 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 5 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 6 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 6 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 7 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 7 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 8 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 8 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 9 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 9 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 10 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 10 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 11 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 11 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 12 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 12 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 13 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 13 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 14 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 14 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 15 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 15 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 16 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 16 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 17 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 17 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 18 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 18 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 19 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 19 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 20 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 20 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 21 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 21 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 22 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 22 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 23 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 23 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 24 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 24 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 25 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 25 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 26 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 26 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 27 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 27 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 28 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 28 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 29 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 29 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 30 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 31 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 32 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 32 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 33 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 33 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 34 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 34 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 35 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 35 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 36 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 36 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 37 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 37 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 38 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 38 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 39 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 39 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 40 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 40 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 41 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 41 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 42 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 42 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 43 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 43 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 44 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 44 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 45 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 45 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 46 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 46 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person 47 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 47 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Robert Downey Jr. Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.0% Robert Downey Jr. Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sabrina Carpenter Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.9% Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.4% Sabrina Carpenter Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sam Altman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Sam Altman Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Savannah Guthrie Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Savannah Guthrie Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Scarlett Johansson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.7% Bid 1.5% · Ask 1.9% Scarlett Johansson Open Polymarket ↗	—
Scottie Scheffler Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Scottie Scheffler Open Polymarket ↗	—
Shohei Ohtani Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.9% Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.2% Shohei Ohtani Open Polymarket ↗	—
Stefon Diggs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.5% Stefon Diggs Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sydney Sweeney Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.9% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.5% Sydney Sweeney Open Polymarket ↗	—
Travis Kelce Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.2% Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.8% Travis Kelce Open Polymarket ↗	—
Zendaya Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.9% Zendaya Open Polymarket ↗	—
Zohran Mamdani Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Zohran Mamdani Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Bad Bunny

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

Bad Bunny

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

Bad Bunny

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Billie Eilish

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Billie Eilish

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

Billie Eilish

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.8 pp

Donald Trump

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

Donald Trump

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0%

Donald Trump

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.0 pp

Elon Musk

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Elon Musk

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.8%

Elon Musk

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.4 pp

Erling Haaland

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0%

Erling Haaland

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

15.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0%

Erling Haaland

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.0 pp

Lionel Messi

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Lionel Messi

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 3.2%

Lionel Messi

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.3 pp

Taylor Swift

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Taylor Swift

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 2.6%

Taylor Swift

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.4 pp

Timothee Chalamet

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Timothée Chalamet

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

Timothée Chalamet

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.8 pp

Vladimir Putin

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Vladimir Putin

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.8%

Vladimir Putin

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.4 pp

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.8 pp

Alysa Liu

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.9%

Bid 3.8% · Ask 8.0%

Alysa Liu

Open Polymarket ↗

Angel Reese

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

Angel Reese

Open Polymarket ↗

Anthony Edwards

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

Anthony Edwards

Open Polymarket ↗

Ariana Grande

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.0%

Ariana Grande

Open Polymarket ↗

Benjamin Netanyahu

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 1.9% · Ask 2.9%

Benjamin Netanyahu

Open Polymarket ↗

Caitlin Clark

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

Caitlin Clark

Open Polymarket ↗

Chappell Roan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.8%

Chappell Roan

Open Polymarket ↗

Christian Pulisic

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.4%

Christian Pulisic

Open Polymarket ↗

Cristiano Ronaldo

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.0%

Cristiano Ronaldo

Open Polymarket ↗

Ja Morant

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.8%

Ja Morant

Open Polymarket ↗

Jacob Elordi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.0%

Jacob Elordi

Open Polymarket ↗

Jake Paul

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

Jake Paul

Open Polymarket ↗

JD Vance

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

JD Vance

Open Polymarket ↗

Joe Biden

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Joe Biden

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Joe Burrow

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

Joe Burrow

Open Polymarket ↗

Josh Allen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.8%

Josh Allen

Open Polymarket ↗

Jude Bellingham

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.7%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 5.0%

Jude Bellingham

Open Polymarket ↗

Kamala Harris

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Kamala Harris

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Kanye West

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.8%

Kanye West

Open Polymarket ↗

Kylian Mbappé

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.9%

Kylian Mbappé

Open Polymarket ↗

Lamine Yamal

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 1.7%

Lamine Yamal

Open Polymarket ↗

LeBron James

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.6%

LeBron James

Open Polymarket ↗

Lindsay Clancy

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 25.0%

Lindsay Clancy

Open Polymarket ↗

Luigi Mangione

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Luigi Mangione

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Luka Dončić

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.9%

Luka Dončić

Open Polymarket ↗

Matt Damon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.4%

Matt Damon

Open Polymarket ↗

Neymar

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.9%

Neymar

Open Polymarket ↗

Nicolás Maduro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 4.4%

Nicolás Maduro

Open Polymarket ↗

Patrick Mahomes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.2%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 4.0%

Patrick Mahomes

Open Polymarket ↗

Pedro Pascal

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

Pedro Pascal

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 2

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 2 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 3

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 3 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 4

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 4 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 5 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 6

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 6 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 7

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 7 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 8

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 8 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 9

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 9 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 10

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 10 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 11

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 11 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 12

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 12 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 13

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 13 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 14

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 14 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 15

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 15 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 16

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 16 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 17

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 17 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 18

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 18 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 19

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 19 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 20

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 20 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 21

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 21 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 22

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 22 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 23

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 23 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 24

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 24 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 25

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 25 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 26

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 26 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 27

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 27 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 28

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 28 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 29

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 29 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 30 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 31 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 32

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 32 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 33

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 33 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 34

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 34 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 35

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 35 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 36

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 36 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 37

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 37 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 38

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 38 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 39

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 39 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 40

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 40 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 41

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 41 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 42

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 42 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 43

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 43 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 44

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 44 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 45

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 45 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 46

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 46 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 47

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 47 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Robert Downey Jr.

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.0%

Robert Downey Jr.

Open Polymarket ↗

Sabrina Carpenter

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.4%

Sabrina Carpenter

Open Polymarket ↗

Sam Altman

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Sam Altman

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Savannah Guthrie

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Savannah Guthrie

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Scarlett Johansson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 1.9%

Scarlett Johansson

Open Polymarket ↗

Scottie Scheffler

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Scottie Scheffler

Open Polymarket ↗

Shohei Ohtani

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.2%

Shohei Ohtani

Open Polymarket ↗

Stefon Diggs

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.5%

Stefon Diggs

Open Polymarket ↗

Sydney Sweeney

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.5%

Sydney Sweeney

Open Polymarket ↗

Travis Kelce

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.2%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.8%

Travis Kelce

Open Polymarket ↗

Zendaya

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.9%

Zendaya

Open Polymarket ↗

Zohran Mamdani

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Zohran Mamdani

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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