Market comparison

#2 US Netflix Movie this week?

2 venues · 26 outcome rows · 6 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 27, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

60 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Observed 16s ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 28, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for #2 US Netflix Movie this week?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Animals Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	45.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 59.0% Animals Open Kalshi ↗	41.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 45.0% Animals Open Polymarket ↗ 56.0% Bid 41.0% · Ask 71.0% Animals Open Polymarket ↗ 12.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 23.0% Animals Open Polymarket ↗	—
Doing Life Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Doing Life Open Kalshi ↗	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.0% Doing Life Open Polymarket ↗ 0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Doing Life Open Polymarket ↗ 8.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 15.0% Doing Life Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ice Age Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Ice Age Open Kalshi ↗	2.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.8% Ice Age Open Polymarket ↗	1.5 pp
Ice Age: Collision Course Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Ice Age: Collision Course Open Kalshi ↗	2.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.8% Ice Age: Collision Course Open Polymarket ↗	1.5 pp
Sacrifice Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0% Sacrifice Open Kalshi ↗	1.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.0% Sacrifice Open Polymarket ↗ 8.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 15.0% Sacrifice Open Polymarket ↗ 8.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 15.0% Sacrifice Open Polymarket ↗	—
Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love Open Polymarket ↗ 2.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.9% Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love Open Polymarket ↗ 2.5% Bid 0.3% · Ask 4.8% Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love Open Polymarket ↗	—
Evil Dead Burn Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Evil Dead Burn Open Polymarket ↗ 0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Evil Dead Burn Open Polymarket ↗ 8.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 15.0% Evil Dead Burn Open Polymarket ↗	—
Gladiator II Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	56.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 57.0% Gladiator II Open Polymarket ↗ 43.5% Bid 29.0% · Ask 58.0% Gladiator II Open Polymarket ↗ 8.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 15.0% Gladiator II Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 40.0% Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.8% Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs Open Polymarket ↗	—
Placeholder A Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder A · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder A · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder A · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Placeholder B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder B · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder B · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder B · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Placeholder C Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder C · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder C · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder C · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Placeholder D Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder D · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder D · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder D · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Placeholder E Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder E · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder E · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder E · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Placeholder F Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder F · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder F · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder F · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Placeholder G Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder G · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder G · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder G · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Placeholder H Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder H · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder H · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder H · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Placeholder I Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder I · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder I · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder I · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Placeholder J Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder J · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder J · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder J · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Placeholder K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder K · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder K · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder K · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Primate Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.8% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.3% Primate Open Polymarket ↗ 1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.8% Primate Open Polymarket ↗ 8.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 15.0% Primate Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Breadwinner Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% The Breadwinner Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Twilight Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 10.0% Twilight Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
UNABOMBER Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% UNABOMBER Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Animals

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 59.0%

Animals

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

41.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 45.0%

Animals

Open Polymarket ↗

56.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 71.0%

Animals

Open Polymarket ↗

12.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 23.0%

Animals

Open Polymarket ↗

Doing Life

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Doing Life

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.0%

Doing Life

Open Polymarket ↗

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Doing Life

Open Polymarket ↗

8.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 15.0%

Doing Life

Open Polymarket ↗

Ice Age

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Ice Age

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.8%

Ice Age

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

Ice Age: Collision Course

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Ice Age: Collision Course

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.8%

Ice Age: Collision Course

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

Sacrifice

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0%

Sacrifice

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.0%

Sacrifice

Open Polymarket ↗

8.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 15.0%

Sacrifice

Open Polymarket ↗

8.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 15.0%

Sacrifice

Open Polymarket ↗

Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love

Open Polymarket ↗

2.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.9%

Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love

Open Polymarket ↗

2.5%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 4.8%

Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love

Open Polymarket ↗

Evil Dead Burn

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Evil Dead Burn

Open Polymarket ↗

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Evil Dead Burn

Open Polymarket ↗

8.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 15.0%

Evil Dead Burn

Open Polymarket ↗

Gladiator II

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

56.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 57.0%

Gladiator II

Open Polymarket ↗

43.5%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 58.0%

Gladiator II

Open Polymarket ↗

8.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 15.0%

Gladiator II

Open Polymarket ↗

Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 40.0%

Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.8%

Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs

Open Polymarket ↗

Placeholder A

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder A · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder A · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder A · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Placeholder B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder B · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder B · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder B · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Placeholder C

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder C · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder C · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder C · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Placeholder D

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder D · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder D · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder D · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Placeholder E

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder E · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder E · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder E · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Placeholder F

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder F · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder F · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder F · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Placeholder G

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder G · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder G · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder G · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Placeholder H

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder H · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder H · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder H · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Placeholder I

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder I · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder I · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder I · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Placeholder J

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder J · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder J · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder J · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Placeholder K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder K · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder K · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Placeholder K · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Primate

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.3%

Primate

Open Polymarket ↗

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.8%

Primate

Open Polymarket ↗

8.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 15.0%

Primate

Open Polymarket ↗

The Breadwinner

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

The Breadwinner

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Twilight

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 10.0%

Twilight

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

UNABOMBER

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

UNABOMBER

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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