Market comparison
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
1 venue · 10 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗10 outcomes · $3.0M reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027
No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|
Democrats, 0 to 2% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | |
Democrats, 2 to 4% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | |
Democrats, 4 to 6% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | |
Democrats, 6 to 8% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | |
Democrats, 8 to 10% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | |
Democrats, 10 to 12% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | |
Democrats, 12 to 14% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | |
Democrats, 14 to 16% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | |
Democrats, 16% and above Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | |
Republicans win Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — |
Democrats, 0 to 2%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Democrats, 2 to 4%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Democrats, 4 to 6%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Democrats, 6 to 8%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Democrats, 8 to 10%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Democrats, 10 to 12%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Democrats, 12 to 14%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Democrats, 14 to 16%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Democrats, 16% and above
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Republicans win
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.