Market comparison

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

1 venue · 13 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

14 outcomes · $167K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for 2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
Democrats 0-2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 1.9% · Ask 4.6% Democrats 0-2% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrats 2-4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 1.4% · Ask 3.9% Democrats 2-4% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrats 4-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0% Democrats 4-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrats 6-8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.5% Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0% Democrats 6-8% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrats 8-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 26.0% Democrats 8-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrats 10-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0% Democrats 10-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrats 12-14% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.9% Bid 10.2% · Ask 11.7% Democrats 12-14% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrats 14-16% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 2.9% · Ask 4.9% Democrats 14-16% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrats 16%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 2.7% · Ask 3.9% Democrats 16%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republicans 0-2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.1% Republicans 0-2% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republicans 2-4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 1.8% · Ask 2.5% Republicans 2-4% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republicans 4-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.7% Republicans 4-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republicans 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.6% · Ask 1.2% Republicans 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—

Democrats 0-2%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 1.9% · Ask 4.6%

Democrats 0-2%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrats 2-4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 3.9%

Democrats 2-4%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrats 4-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Democrats 4-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrats 6-8%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0%

Democrats 6-8%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrats 8-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 26.0%

Democrats 8-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrats 10-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0%

Democrats 10-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrats 12-14%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.9%

Bid 10.2% · Ask 11.7%

Democrats 12-14%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrats 14-16%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 2.9% · Ask 4.9%

Democrats 14-16%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrats 16%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 2.7% · Ask 3.9%

Democrats 16%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Republicans 0-2%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.1%

Republicans 0-2%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republicans 2-4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 1.8% · Ask 2.5%

Republicans 2-4%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republicans 4-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.7%

Republicans 4-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republicans 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 1.2%

Republicans 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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