Market comparison

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2 venues · 47 outcome rows · 22 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

46 outcomes · $586K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Apr 17, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

23 outcomes · $25K reported volume

Observed 55s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jun 30, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Bernard Cazeneuve Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.9% Bid 4.9% · Ask 6.8% Bernard Cazeneuve Open Polymarket ↗	10.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 11.0% Bernard Cazeneuve Open Kalshi ↗	4.2 pp
Bruno Retailleau Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	53.5% Bid 51.0% · Ask 56.0% Bruno Retailleau Open Polymarket ↗	56.0% Bid 50.0% · Ask 56.0% Bruno Retailleau Open Kalshi ↗	2.5 pp
Clémentine Autain Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.0% Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.1% Clémentine Autain Open Polymarket ↗	8.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.0% Clémentine Autain Open Kalshi ↗	5.0 pp
Dominique de Villepin Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	31.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 32.0% Dominique de Villepin Open Polymarket ↗	34.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 35.0% Dominique de Villepin Open Kalshi ↗	3.0 pp
douard Philippe Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	83.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 84.0% Édouard Philippe Open Polymarket ↗	87.0% Bid 86.0% · Ask 90.0% Édouard Philippe Open Kalshi ↗	4.0 pp
Fabien Roussel Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	86.0% Bid 85.0% · Ask 87.0% Fabien Roussel Open Polymarket ↗	79.0% Bid 79.0% · Ask 82.0% Fabien Roussel Open Kalshi ↗	7.0 pp
François Asselineau Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	11.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0% François Asselineau Open Polymarket ↗	14.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0% François Asselineau Open Kalshi ↗	2.5 pp
François Hollande Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	20.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 21.0% François Hollande Open Polymarket ↗	25.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 25.0% François Hollande Open Kalshi ↗	5.0 pp
François Ruffin Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	19.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 21.0% François Ruffin Open Polymarket ↗	23.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 23.0% François Ruffin Open Kalshi ↗	3.5 pp
Gabriel Attal Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	22.5% Bid 15.0% · Ask 30.0% Gabriel Attal Open Polymarket ↗	26.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 29.0% Gabriel Attal Open Kalshi ↗	3.5 pp
Gérald Darmanin Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.7% Bid 3.2% · Ask 4.2% Gérald Darmanin Open Polymarket ↗	10.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0% Gérald Darmanin Open Kalshi ↗	6.3 pp
Jean-Luc Mélenchon Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	92.4% Bid 92.0% · Ask 92.8% Jean-Luc Mélenchon Open Polymarket ↗	95.0% Bid 95.0% · Ask 98.0% Jean-Luc Mélenchon Open Kalshi ↗	2.6 pp
Jérôme Guedj Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.8% Bid 3.2% · Ask 4.3% Jérôme Guedj Open Polymarket ↗	5.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 10.0% Jérôme Guedj Open Kalshi ↗	1.3 pp
Jordan Bardella Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.5% Bid 6.9% · Ask 8.2% Jordan Bardella Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 10.0% Jordan Bardella Open Kalshi ↗	4.5 pp
Karim Bouamrane Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.9% Bid 4.7% · Ask 5.0% Karim Bouamrane Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 11.0% Karim Bouamrane Open Kalshi ↗	1.9 pp
Marine Le Pen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	92.0% Bid 91.0% · Ask 93.0% Marine Le Pen Open Polymarket ↗	95.0% Bid 95.0% · Ask 98.0% Marine Le Pen Open Kalshi ↗	3.0 pp
Marine Tondelier Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	29.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 30.0% Marine Tondelier Open Polymarket ↗	27.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 28.0% Marine Tondelier Open Kalshi ↗	2.0 pp
Nathalie Arthaud Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	85.5% Bid 83.0% · Ask 88.0% Nathalie Arthaud Open Polymarket ↗	86.0% Bid 86.0% · Ask 94.0% Nathalie Arthaud Open Kalshi ↗	0.5 pp
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	68.5% Bid 66.0% · Ask 71.0% Nicolas Dupont-Aignan Open Polymarket ↗	68.0% Bid 62.0% · Ask 69.0% Nicolas Dupont-Aignan Open Kalshi ↗	0.5 pp
Olivier Faure Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.4% Bid 4.6% · Ask 6.2% Olivier Faure Open Polymarket ↗	5.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.0% Olivier Faure Open Kalshi ↗	0.4 pp
Raphaël Glucksmann Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	85.5% Bid 83.0% · Ask 88.0% Raphaël Glucksmann Open Polymarket ↗	81.0% Bid 75.0% · Ask 82.0% Raphaël Glucksmann Open Kalshi ↗	4.5 pp
ric Zemmour Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	79.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 81.0% Éric Zemmour Open Polymarket ↗	80.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 82.0% Éric Zemmour Open Kalshi ↗	1.0 pp
Bally Bagayoko Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 2.9% · Ask 4.2% Bally Bagayoko Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Carole Delga Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 4.7% · Ask 5.2% Carole Delga Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
David Lisnard Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	80.5% Bid 80.0% · Ask 81.0% David Lisnard Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Delphine Batho Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.8% Bid 8.9% · Ask 10.6% Delphine Batho Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
François Bayrou Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 4.7% · Ask 5.3% François Bayrou Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Jean Castex Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.3% Bid 5.2% · Ask 5.5% Jean Castex Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Jean Lassalle Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	77.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 81.0% Jean Lassalle Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jean-Michel Fauvergue Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0% Jean-Michel Fauvergue Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Juan Branco Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0% Juan Branco Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Laurent Wauquiez Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 3.2% · Ask 3.5% Laurent Wauquiez Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
lisabeth Borne Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.8% Bid 6.2% · Ask 7.4% Élisabeth Borne Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Manuel Bompard Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.9% Bid 4.7% · Ask 5.0% Manuel Bompard Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Manuel Valls Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 3.7% · Ask 4.3% Manuel Valls Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Mathilde Panot Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 4.2% · Ask 4.5% Mathilde Panot Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Matthieu Pigasse Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.6% Bid 5.2% · Ask 6.0% Matthieu Pigasse Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Michel Barnier Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.3% Bid 6.2% · Ask 6.4% Michel Barnier Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Michel-Edouard Leclerc Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 4.3% · Ask 5.7% Michel-Edouard Leclerc Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Philippe de Villiers Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.9% Bid 4.3% · Ask 5.4% Philippe de Villiers Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Sarah Knafo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.5% Bid 15.0% · Ask 22.0% Sarah Knafo Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Sébastien Lecornu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 4.4% · Ask 5.5% Sébastien Lecornu Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ségolène Royal Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 2.2% · Ask 3.5% Ségolène Royal Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Teddy Riner Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 3.2% · Ask 4.9% Teddy Riner Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Valérie Pécresse Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 3.7% · Ask 4.0% Valérie Pécresse Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Xavier Bertrand Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 2.2% · Ask 3.4% Xavier Bertrand Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yaël Braun-Pivet Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.9% Bid 5.3% · Ask 6.5% Yaël Braun-Pivet Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Bernard Cazeneuve

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

5.9%

Bid 4.9% · Ask 6.8%

Bernard Cazeneuve

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bernard Cazeneuve

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bruno Retailleau

Polymarket

Kalshi

Clémentine Autain

Polymarket

Kalshi

Dominique de Villepin

Polymarket

Kalshi

douard Philippe

Polymarket

Kalshi

Fabien Roussel

Polymarket

Kalshi

François Asselineau

Polymarket

Kalshi

François Hollande

Polymarket

Kalshi

François Ruffin

Polymarket

Kalshi

Gabriel Attal

Polymarket

Kalshi

Gérald Darmanin

Polymarket

Kalshi

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Polymarket

Kalshi

Jérôme Guedj

Polymarket

Kalshi

Jordan Bardella

Polymarket

Kalshi

Karim Bouamrane

Polymarket

Kalshi

Marine Le Pen

Polymarket

Kalshi

Marine Tondelier

Polymarket

Kalshi

Nathalie Arthaud

Polymarket

Kalshi

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Polymarket

Kalshi

Olivier Faure

Polymarket

Kalshi

Raphaël Glucksmann

Polymarket

Kalshi

ric Zemmour

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bally Bagayoko

Polymarket

Kalshi

Carole Delga

Polymarket

Kalshi

David Lisnard

Polymarket

Kalshi

Delphine Batho

Polymarket