Market comparison

2028 Electoral College margin of victory?

1 venue · 14 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

14 outcomes · $25K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: May 6, 2029

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for 2028 Electoral College margin of victory?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Democratic by 11 to 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0% Democratic by 11 to 30 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democratic by 11 to 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0% Republican by 11 to 30 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democratic by 31 to 60 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0% Democratic by 31 to 60 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democratic by 31 to 60 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% Republican by 31 to 60 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democratic by 91 to 130 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0% Democratic by 91 to 130 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democratic by 91 to 130 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0% Republican by 91 to 130 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democratic by 131 to 210 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0% Democratic by 131 to 210 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democratic by 131 to 210 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Republican by 131 to 210 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democratic by 211 or more Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0% Democratic by 211 or more Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democratic by 211 or more Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Republican by 211 or more Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican by 1 to 10 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% Democratic by 1 to 10 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican by 1 to 10 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Republican by 1 to 10 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican by 61 to 90 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0% Democratic by 61 to 90 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican by 61 to 90 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0% Republican by 61 to 90 Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democratic by 11 to 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

Democratic by 11 to 30

Open Kalshi ↗

Democratic by 11 to 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

Republican by 11 to 30

Open Kalshi ↗

Democratic by 31 to 60

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0%

Democratic by 31 to 60

Open Kalshi ↗

Democratic by 31 to 60

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

Republican by 31 to 60

Open Kalshi ↗

Democratic by 91 to 130

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0%

Democratic by 91 to 130

Open Kalshi ↗

Democratic by 91 to 130

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0%

Republican by 91 to 130

Open Kalshi ↗

Democratic by 131 to 210

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0%

Democratic by 131 to 210

Open Kalshi ↗

Democratic by 131 to 210

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Republican by 131 to 210

Open Kalshi ↗

Democratic by 211 or more

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

Democratic by 211 or more

Open Kalshi ↗

Democratic by 211 or more

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Republican by 211 or more

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican by 1 to 10

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Democratic by 1 to 10

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican by 1 to 10

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Republican by 1 to 10

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican by 61 to 90

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0%

Democratic by 61 to 90

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican by 61 to 90

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0%

Republican by 61 to 90

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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