Market comparison
Aguascalientes Governor winner?
2 venues · 22 outcome rows · 2 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗42 outcomes · $55K reported volume
Observed 44s ago
Recorded venue end date: Jun 7, 2027
Kalshi
Open venue ↗9 outcomes · $2K reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Jun 6, 2028
Known rule differences between venues
- Generic non-US election template: rules are not uniform across events and need a per-event rules comparison before parity can be claimed.
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Humberto Ambriz Delgadillo Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified. | 0.9 pp | ||
Nora Ruvalcaba Gamez Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified. | 9.0 pp | ||
Aldo Ruiz Sánchez Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ana Gómez Calzada Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Anayeli Muñoz Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Anayeli Muñoz Moreno Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Antonio Martín del Campo Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Arturo Ávila Anaya Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Genny Janeth López Valenzuela Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
José Antonio Arámbula López Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Karla Arely Espinoza Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Kendor Gregorio Macías Martínez Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Kendor Macías Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Leo Montañez Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Leonardo Montañez Castro Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Leticia Olivares Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Leticia Olivares Jiménez Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Leticia Olivares Jiménez Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Lorena Martínez Rodríguez Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ricardo Rodríguez Vargas Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Salma Luévano Luna Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Toño Martín del Campo Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Humberto Ambriz Delgadillo
Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.9 pp
Nora Ruvalcaba Gamez
Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 9.0 pp
Aldo Ruiz Sánchez
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Ana Gómez Calzada
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Anayeli Muñoz
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Anayeli Muñoz Moreno
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Antonio Martín del Campo
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Arturo Ávila Anaya
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Genny Janeth López Valenzuela
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
José Antonio Arámbula López
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Karla Arely Espinoza
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Kendor Gregorio Macías Martínez
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Kendor Macías
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Leo Montañez
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Leonardo Montañez Castro
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Leticia Olivares
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Leticia Olivares Jiménez
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Leticia Olivares Jiménez
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Lorena Martínez Rodríguez
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Ricardo Rodríguez Vargas
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Salma Luévano Luna
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Toño Martín del Campo
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.