Market comparison

Alabama Senate margin of victory

2 venues · 21 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $12K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Alabama Senate margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.5% Bid 1.6% · Ask 19.4% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Moore, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.7% Bid 80.0% · Ask 90.8% Moore, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	82.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 83.0% Moore, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	64.0% Bid 62.0% · Ask 74.0% Moore, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	62.0% Bid 53.0% · Ask 64.0% Moore, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	51.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 53.0% Moore, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 35.0% Moore, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 33.0% Moore, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 26.0% Moore, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 18.0% Moore, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.6% Bid 5.6% · Ask 13.0% Moore, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.3% Bid 4.3% · Ask 9.9% Moore, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moore, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.8% Bid 3.8% · Ask 9.0% Moore, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 0.8% · Ask 8.0% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.9% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 22.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.5% Bid 27.0% · Ask 30.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.6% Bid 13.5% · Ask 17.6% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 15.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.2% Bid 2.8% · Ask 9.6% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.9% Bid 5.7% · Ask 6.0% Republican 35%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 19.4%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Moore, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.7%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 90.8%

Moore, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 83.0%

Moore, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

64.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 74.0%

Moore, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

62.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 64.0%

Moore, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 53.0%

Moore, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 35.0%

Moore, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 33.0%

Moore, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 26.0%

Moore, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 18.0%

Moore, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.6%

Bid 5.6% · Ask 13.0%

Moore, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.3%

Bid 4.3% · Ask 9.9%

Moore, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Moore, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.8%

Bid 3.8% · Ask 9.0%

Moore, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.4%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 8.0%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.9%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 22.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.5%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 30.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.6%

Bid 13.5% · Ask 17.6%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 15.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.2%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 9.6%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.9%

Bid 5.7% · Ask 6.0%

Republican 35%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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