Market comparison

Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	41.2% Bid 5.0% · Ask 77.4% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.0% Bid 15.1% · Ask 34.9% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 5%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	38.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 70.9% Democrat 5%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Figures, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 24.0% Figures, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Figures, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 3.4% · Ask 15.0% Figures, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Figures, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9% Figures, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Figures, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.9% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.9% Figures, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Figures, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.7% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.7% Figures, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Figures, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.2% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.2% Figures, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Figures, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.1% Figures, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Figures, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Figures, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Figures, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.0% Figures, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Figures, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.6% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Figures, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.1% Bid 4.9% · Ask 43.3% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.4% Bid 2.4% · Ask 44.3% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.8% Bid 0.3% · Ask 37.3% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.4% Bid 1.8% · Ask 11.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 25%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.3% Bid 0.3% · Ask 8.4% Republican 25%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

41.2%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 77.4%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

25.0%

Bid 15.1% · Ask 34.9%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 5%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

38.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 70.9%

Democrat 5%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Figures, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 24.0%

Figures, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Figures, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 3.4% · Ask 15.0%

Figures, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Figures, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Figures, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Figures, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.9%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.9%

Figures, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Figures, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.7%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.7%

Figures, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Figures, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.2%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.2%

Figures, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Figures, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.1%

Figures, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Figures, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Figures, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Figures, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.0%

Figures, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Figures, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.6%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Figures, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

24.1%

Bid 4.9% · Ask 43.3%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

23.4%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 44.3%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

18.8%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 37.3%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

6.4%

Bid 1.8% · Ask 11.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 25%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 8.4%

Republican 25%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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