Market comparison

Alaska Senate election margin of victory

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $70K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jun 2, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $6K reported volume

Observed 38s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Alaska Senate election margin of victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Dan Sullivan, ≥12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Dan Sullivan, ≥12% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Dan Sullivan, 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 22.0% Dan Sullivan, 0-3% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Dan Sullivan, 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 10.0% Dan Sullivan, 3-6% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Dan Sullivan, 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Dan Sullivan, 6-9% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Dan Sullivan, 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Dan Sullivan, 9-12% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Mary Peltola, ≥12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Mary Peltola, ≥12% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Mary Peltola, 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 24.0% Mary Peltola, 0-3% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Mary Peltola, 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 30.0% Mary Peltola, 3-6% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Mary Peltola, 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 17.0% Mary Peltola, 6-9% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Mary Peltola, 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 7.0% Mary Peltola, 9-12% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Peltola 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 14.0% Peltola 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Peltola 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 20.0% Peltola 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Peltola 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0% Peltola 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Peltola 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0% Peltola 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Peltola 12+% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.9% Bid 0.2% · Ask 11.7% Peltola 12+% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sullivan 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.0% Sullivan 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sullivan 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 16.0% Sullivan 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sullivan 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.3% Bid 2.2% · Ask 8.5% Sullivan 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sullivan 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.9% Sullivan 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sullivan 12+% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 4.5% Sullivan 12+% Open Polymarket ↗	—

Dan Sullivan, ≥12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Dan Sullivan, ≥12%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Dan Sullivan, 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 22.0%

Dan Sullivan, 0-3%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Dan Sullivan, 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 10.0%

Dan Sullivan, 3-6%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Dan Sullivan, 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Dan Sullivan, 6-9%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Dan Sullivan, 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Dan Sullivan, 9-12%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Mary Peltola, ≥12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Mary Peltola, ≥12%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Mary Peltola, 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 24.0%

Mary Peltola, 0-3%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Mary Peltola, 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 30.0%

Mary Peltola, 3-6%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Mary Peltola, 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 17.0%

Mary Peltola, 6-9%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Mary Peltola, 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 7.0%

Mary Peltola, 9-12%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Peltola 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 14.0%

Peltola 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Peltola 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 20.0%

Peltola 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Peltola 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

23.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0%

Peltola 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Peltola 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0%

Peltola 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Peltola 12+%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.9%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 11.7%

Peltola 12+%

Open Polymarket ↗

Sullivan 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.0%

Sullivan 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Sullivan 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 16.0%

Sullivan 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Sullivan 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 8.5%

Sullivan 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Sullivan 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.9%

Sullivan 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Sullivan 12+%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 4.5%

Sullivan 12+%

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets