Market comparison

Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?

1 venue · 14 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

14 outcomes · $80K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
1B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	64.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 73.0% $1B Open Polymarket ↗	—
2B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	52.5% Bid 45.0% · Ask 60.0% $2B Open Polymarket ↗	—
3B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	43.5% Bid 42.0% · Ask 45.0% $3B Open Polymarket ↗	—
4B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	40.5% Bid 35.0% · Ask 46.0% $4B Open Polymarket ↗	—
5B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 23.0% $5B Open Polymarket ↗	—
6B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	33.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 62.0% $6B · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
7B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.1% Bid 12.0% · Ask 32.3% $7B Open Polymarket ↗	—
8B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 44.0% $8B · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
9B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 13.0% $9B · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
10B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 5.9% $10B Open Polymarket ↗	—
15B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0% $15B · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
20B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.5% $20B Open Polymarket ↗	—
500M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	70.0% Bid 69.0% · Ask 71.0% $500M Open Polymarket ↗	—
800M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	70.0% Bid 68.0% · Ask 72.0% $800M Open Polymarket ↗	—

1B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

64.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 73.0%

$1B

Open Polymarket ↗

2B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

52.5%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 60.0%

$2B

Open Polymarket ↗

3B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

43.5%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 45.0%

$3B

Open Polymarket ↗

4B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

40.5%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 46.0%

$4B

Open Polymarket ↗

5B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 23.0%

$5B

Open Polymarket ↗

6B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

33.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 62.0%

$6B · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

7B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.1%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 32.3%

$7B

Open Polymarket ↗

8B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 44.0%

$8B · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

9B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 13.0%

$9B · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

10B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 5.9%

$10B

Open Polymarket ↗

15B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

$15B · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

20B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.5%

$20B

Open Polymarket ↗

500M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

70.0%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 71.0%

$500M

Open Polymarket ↗

800M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

70.0%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 72.0%

$800M

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets