Market comparison

Arizona Governor margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $41K reported volume

Observed 4m ago

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $12K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Arizona Governor margin of victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Biggs 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.3% Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.6% Biggs 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Biggs 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.7% Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.0% Biggs 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Biggs 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.4% Bid 1.1% · Ask 1.7% Biggs 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Biggs, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.4% Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.4% Biggs, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Biggs, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.9% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.9% Biggs, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Biggs, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.6% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.5% Biggs, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hobbs 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.9% Bid 1.3% · Ask 14.5% Hobbs 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hobbs 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Hobbs 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hobbs 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 26.0% Hobbs 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hobbs 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0% Hobbs 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hobbs 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 17.0% Hobbs 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hobbs 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.1% Bid 8.5% · Ask 9.7% Hobbs 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hobbs 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.4% Bid 0.9% · Ask 3.8% Hobbs 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hobbs, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	84.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 88.0% Hobbs, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hobbs, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	69.0% Bid 69.0% · Ask 73.0% Hobbs, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hobbs, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 52.0% Hobbs, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hobbs, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 30.0% Hobbs, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hobbs, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0% Hobbs, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hobbs, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 3.1% · Ask 5.0% Hobbs, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Biggs 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.6%

Biggs 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Biggs 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.0%

Biggs 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Biggs 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 1.7%

Biggs 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Biggs, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.4%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.4%

Biggs, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Biggs, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.9%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.9%

Biggs, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Biggs, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.6%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.5%

Biggs, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hobbs 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.9%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 14.5%

Hobbs 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Hobbs 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

Hobbs 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Hobbs 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

25.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 26.0%

Hobbs 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Hobbs 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0%

Hobbs 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Hobbs 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 17.0%

Hobbs 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Hobbs 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

9.1%

Bid 8.5% · Ask 9.7%

Hobbs 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Hobbs 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 3.8%

Hobbs 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Hobbs, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 88.0%

Hobbs, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hobbs, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

69.0%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 73.0%

Hobbs, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hobbs, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 52.0%

Hobbs, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hobbs, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 30.0%

Hobbs, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hobbs, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0%

Hobbs, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hobbs, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 3.1% · Ask 5.0%

Hobbs, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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