Market comparison

Arizona's 2nd District margin of victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 31s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

7 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 31s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Arizona's 2nd District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Crane, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	66.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 67.0% Crane, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Crane, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 50.0% Crane, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Crane, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	40.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 41.0% Crane, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Crane, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 29.0% Crane, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Crane, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.2% Bid 7.3% · Ask 19.0% Crane, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Crane, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 0.2% · Ask 12.0% Crane, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Crane, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.8% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.4% Crane, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	40.5% Bid 31.0% · Ask 50.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 11.0% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 4.6% · Ask 5.4% Democrat 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 17.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 3.1% · Ask 7.1% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.3% Bid 15.3% · Ask 21.2% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.2% Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.2% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.7% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.4% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.8% Bid 2.7% · Ask 6.8% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.3% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.3% Republican 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Crane, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

66.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 67.0%

Crane, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Crane, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 50.0%

Crane, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Crane, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 41.0%

Crane, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Crane, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 29.0%

Crane, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Crane, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.2%

Bid 7.3% · Ask 19.0%

Crane, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Crane, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 12.0%

Crane, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Crane, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.8%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.4%

Crane, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

40.5%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 50.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 11.0%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 4.6% · Ask 5.4%

Democrat 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 17.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 3.1% · Ask 7.1%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.3%

Bid 15.3% · Ask 21.2%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.2%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.4%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.8%

Bid 2.7% · Ask 6.8%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.3%

Republican 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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