The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 12?

1 venue · 6 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · inactive

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

6 outcomes · $74K reported volume

Observed 4706h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Apr 12, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

4

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

<4

Open Polymarket ↗

4-7

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.3%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

4-7

Open Polymarket ↗

8-11

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

42.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

8-11

Open Polymarket ↗

12-15

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

12-15

Open Polymarket ↗

16-19

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

16-19

Open Polymarket ↗

20+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.6%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

20+

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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