The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers

2 venues · 86 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

56 outcomes · $114K reported volume

Observed 29s ago

Observed 29s ago

Observed 29s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jun 14, 2027

30 outcomes · $36K reported volume

Observed 29s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 10, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

1. FC Köln

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.6%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 97.9%

1. FC Köln

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Achraf Hakimi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Achraf Hakimi

Open Kalshi ↗

Alavés

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.9%

Alavés

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Angers

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.3%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 31.9%

Angers

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Athletic Bilbao

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.4%

Athletic Bilbao

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Atlético Madrid

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 22.0%

Atlético Madrid

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Auxerre

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 5.0%

Auxerre

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Barcelona

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

98.0%

Bid 96.3% · Ask 99.8%

Barcelona

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Bayer Leverkusen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

64.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 77.0%

Bayer Leverkusen

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Bayern Munich

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

96.5%

Bid 96.1% · Ask 96.9%

Bayern Munich

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Betis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.6%

Betis

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Borussia Dortmund

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

86.5%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 88.0%

Borussia Dortmund

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.0%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Brest

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 7.0%

Brest

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Bruno Fernandes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Bruno Fernandes

Open Kalshi ↗

Celta Vigo

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Celta Vigo

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Dayot Upamecano

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Dayot Upamecano

Open Kalshi ↗

Declan Rice

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Declan Rice

Open Kalshi ↗

Deportivo La Coruña

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 3.0%

Deportivo La Coruña

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Eintracht Frankfurt

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid — · Ask 1.6%

Eintracht Frankfurt

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Elche

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.5%

Elche

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Erling Haaland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

Erling Haaland

Open Kalshi ↗

Espanyol

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 4.5%

Espanyol

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Fabián Ruiz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 11.0%

Fabián Ruiz

Open Kalshi ↗

FC Augsburg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.6%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 48.0%

FC Augsburg

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ferran Torres

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Ferran Torres

Open Kalshi ↗

Gabriel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Gabriel

Open Kalshi ↗

Getafe

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 3.5%

Getafe

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Hamburger SV

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.2%

Bid 7.4% · Ask 31.0%

Hamburger SV

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Harry Kane

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 98.0% · Ask 99.0%

Harry Kane

Open Kalshi ↗

João Neves

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

João Neves

Open Kalshi ↗

Jude Bellingham

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 7.0%

Jude Bellingham

Open Kalshi ↗

Julián Quiñones

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Julián Quiñones

Open Kalshi ↗

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 31.0%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

Open Kalshi ↗

Kylian Mbappé

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

95.0%

Bid 95.0% · Ask 98.0%

Kylian Mbappé

Open Kalshi ↗

Lamine Yamal

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

97.0%

Bid 97.0% · Ask 99.0%

Lamine Yamal

Open Kalshi ↗

Lautaro Martínez

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Lautaro Martínez

Open Kalshi ↗

Le Havre

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.4%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 32.0%

Le Havre

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Le Mans

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.9%

Le Mans

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Lens

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 33.0%

Lens

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Levante

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 2.7%

Levante

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Lille

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

63.5%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 87.0%

Lille

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Lionel Messi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 75.0%

Lionel Messi

Open Kalshi ↗

Lorient

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 34.0%

Lorient

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Luis Díaz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Luis Díaz

Open Kalshi ↗

Lyon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

55.5%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 77.0%

Lyon

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Mainz 05

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 37.0%

Mainz 05

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Málaga

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 3.0%

Málaga

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Marc Cucurella

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Marc Cucurella

Open Kalshi ↗

Marquinhos

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Marquinhos

Open Kalshi ↗

Marseille

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 28.0%

Marseille

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Michael Olise

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 33.0%

Michael Olise

Open Kalshi ↗

Monaco

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

70.5%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 79.0%

Monaco

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Nice

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.9%

Nice

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Nuno Mendes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Nuno Mendes

Open Kalshi ↗

Osasuna

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 3.4%

Osasuna

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ousmane Dembélé

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 19.0%

Ousmane Dembélé

Open Kalshi ↗

Paris FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

32.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 54.0%

Paris FC

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Paris Saint-Germain

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

96.6%

Bid 93.6% · Ask 99.6%

Paris Saint-Germain

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Pau Cubarsí

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.0%

Pau Cubarsí

Open Kalshi ↗

Racing Santander

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.2%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 3.7%

Racing Santander

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Rayo Vallecano

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 5.3%

Rayo Vallecano

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

RB Leipzig

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

56.5%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 61.0%

RB Leipzig

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Real Madrid

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

77.5%

Bid 76.4% · Ask 78.6%

Real Madrid

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Real Sociedad

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.2%

Real Sociedad

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Rennes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

38.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 70.0%

Rennes

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Rodri

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

77.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 83.0%

Rodri

Open Kalshi ↗

Sadio Mané

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Sadio Mané

Open Kalshi ↗

SC Freiburg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

42.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 64.0%

SC Freiburg

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

SC Paderborn

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 4.1%

SC Paderborn

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Schalke 04

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.1%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 20.1%

Schalke 04

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Sevilla

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0%

Sevilla

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Strasbourg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 8.3%

Strasbourg

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

SV Elversberg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

34.5%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 67.9%

SV Elversberg

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Toulouse

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 35.0%

Toulouse

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Troyes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.6%

Troyes

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

TSG Hoffenheim

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 19.0%

TSG Hoffenheim

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Union Berlin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.4%

Union Berlin

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Valencia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.0%

Valencia

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

VfB Stuttgart

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 45.0%

VfB Stuttgart

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Villarreal

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.0%

Villarreal

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Vinícius Júnior

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Vinícius Júnior

Open Kalshi ↗

Vitinha

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Vitinha

Open Kalshi ↗

Werder Bremen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.6%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 36.0%

Werder Bremen

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

William Saliba

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

William Saliba

Open Kalshi ↗

Willian Pacho

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Willian Pacho

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.