Market comparison

Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026

1 venue · 31 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

31 outcomes · $275K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
Achraf Hakimi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.7% Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.3% Achraf Hakimi Open Polymarket ↗	—
Bruno Fernandes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.8% Bruno Fernandes Open Polymarket ↗	—
Bukayo Saka Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Bukayo Saka · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Cole Palmer Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Cole Palmer · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Cristiano Ronaldo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Cristiano Ronaldo · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Declan Rice Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.0% Declan Rice Open Polymarket ↗	—
Desire Doue Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Desire Doue · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Dominik Szoboszlai Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Dominik Szoboszlai · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Enzo Fernandez Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Enzo Fernandez · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Erling Haaland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0% Erling Haaland Open Polymarket ↗	—
Fabian Ruiz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.8% Bid 9.4% · Ask 10.3% Fabian Ruiz Open Polymarket ↗	—
Federico Valverde Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Federico Valverde · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Harry Kane Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.2% Bid 99.0% · Ask 99.4% Harry Kane Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jude Bellingham Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 3.1% · Ask 4.7% Jude Bellingham Open Polymarket ↗	—
Julian Alvarez Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Julian Alvarez · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.5% Bid 29.0% · Ask 30.0% Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kylian Mbappé Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.2% Bid 97.6% · Ask 98.7% Kylian Mbappé Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lamine Yamal Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.6% Bid 98.0% · Ask 99.2% Lamine Yamal Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lautaro Martinez Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.1% Lautaro Martinez Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lionel Messi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	73.5% Bid 73.0% · Ask 74.0% Lionel Messi Open Polymarket ↗	—
Luis Diaz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.9% Luis Diaz Open Polymarket ↗	—
Michael Olise Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.5% Bid 31.0% · Ask 32.0% Michael Olise Open Polymarket ↗	—
Mohamed Salah Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Mohamed Salah · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ousmane Dembélé Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0% Ousmane Dembélé Open Polymarket ↗	—
Pau Cubarsi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.3% Bid 4.1% · Ask 6.5% Pau Cubarsi Open Polymarket ↗	—
Pedri Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Pedri · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Raphinha Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Raphinha · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Rodri Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	79.5% Bid 79.0% · Ask 80.0% Rodri Open Polymarket ↗	—
Rodrygo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Rodrygo · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Vinícius Júnior Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.9% Vinícius Júnior Open Polymarket ↗	—
Vitinha Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 1.7% · Ask 4.0% Vitinha Open Polymarket ↗	—

Achraf Hakimi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.7%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.3%

Achraf Hakimi

Open Polymarket ↗

Bruno Fernandes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.8%

Bruno Fernandes

Open Polymarket ↗

Bukayo Saka

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Bukayo Saka · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Cole Palmer

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Cole Palmer · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Cristiano Ronaldo

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Cristiano Ronaldo · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Declan Rice

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.0%

Declan Rice

Open Polymarket ↗

Desire Doue

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Desire Doue · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Dominik Szoboszlai

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Dominik Szoboszlai · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Enzo Fernandez

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Enzo Fernandez · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Erling Haaland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

Erling Haaland

Open Polymarket ↗

Fabian Ruiz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.8%

Bid 9.4% · Ask 10.3%

Fabian Ruiz

Open Polymarket ↗

Federico Valverde

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Federico Valverde · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Harry Kane

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

99.2%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 99.4%

Harry Kane

Open Polymarket ↗

Jude Bellingham

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 3.1% · Ask 4.7%

Jude Bellingham

Open Polymarket ↗

Julian Alvarez

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Julian Alvarez · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.5%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 30.0%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

Open Polymarket ↗

Kylian Mbappé

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

98.2%

Bid 97.6% · Ask 98.7%

Kylian Mbappé

Open Polymarket ↗

Lamine Yamal

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

98.6%

Bid 98.0% · Ask 99.2%

Lamine Yamal

Open Polymarket ↗

Lautaro Martinez

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.1%

Lautaro Martinez

Open Polymarket ↗

Lionel Messi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

73.5%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 74.0%

Lionel Messi

Open Polymarket ↗

Luis Diaz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.9%

Luis Diaz

Open Polymarket ↗

Michael Olise

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.5%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 32.0%

Michael Olise

Open Polymarket ↗

Mohamed Salah

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Mohamed Salah · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Ousmane Dembélé

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0%

Ousmane Dembélé

Open Polymarket ↗

Pau Cubarsi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 4.1% · Ask 6.5%

Pau Cubarsi

Open Polymarket ↗

Pedri

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Pedri · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Raphinha

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Raphinha · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Rodri

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

79.5%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 80.0%

Rodri

Open Polymarket ↗

Rodrygo

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Rodrygo · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Vinícius Júnior

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.9%

Vinícius Júnior

Open Polymarket ↗

Vitinha

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 4.0%

Vitinha

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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