Market comparison

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

2 venues · 24 outcome rows · 10 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

25 outcomes · $254K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 31, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

20 outcomes · $56K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 26, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Alibaba Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	9.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0% Alibaba Open Polymarket ↗	9.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 9.0% Alibaba Open Kalshi ↗ 8.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 11.0% Alibaba Open Kalshi ↗	—
Baidu Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.2% Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.4% Baidu Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Baidu Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Baidu Open Kalshi ↗	—
ByteDance Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.6% ByteDance Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% ByteDance Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% ByteDance Open Kalshi ↗	—
DeepSeek Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.1% Bid 1.6% · Ask 2.5% DeepSeek Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% DeepSeek Open Kalshi ↗ 3.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% DeepSeek Open Kalshi ↗	—
Meituan Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Meituan Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Meituan Open Kalshi ↗ 1.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Meituan Open Kalshi ↗	—
MiniMax Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.7% Bid 1.2% · Ask 2.1% MiniMax Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% MiniMax Open Kalshi ↗ 2.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% MiniMax Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moonshot Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	15.5% Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0% Moonshot Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Moonshot Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Moonshot Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tencent Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.7% Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.9% Tencent Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Tencent Open Kalshi ↗ 1.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Tencent Open Kalshi ↗	—
Xiaomi Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	68.2% Bid 67.7% · Ask 68.6% Xiaomi Open Polymarket ↗	89.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 89.0% Xiaomi Open Kalshi ↗ 66.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 71.0% Xiaomi Open Kalshi ↗	—
Z.ai Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.4% Bid 3.0% · Ask 3.8% Z.ai Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Z.ai Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.0% Z.ai Open Kalshi ↗	—
Company A Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Company A · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Company B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Company B · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Company C Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Company C · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Company D Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Company D · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Company E Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Company E · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Company F Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Company F · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Company G Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Company G · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Company H Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Company H · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Company I Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Company I · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Company J Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Company J · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Company K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Company K · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Company L Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Company L · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Company M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Company M · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
StepFun Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% StepFun Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Alibaba

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

9.5%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0%

Alibaba

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 9.0%

Alibaba

Open Kalshi ↗

8.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 11.0%

Alibaba

Open Kalshi ↗

Baidu

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.2%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.4%

Baidu

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Baidu

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Baidu

Open Kalshi ↗

ByteDance

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.6%

ByteDance

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

ByteDance

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

ByteDance

Open Kalshi ↗

DeepSeek

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 2.5%

DeepSeek

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

DeepSeek

Open Kalshi ↗

3.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

DeepSeek

Open Kalshi ↗

Meituan

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Meituan

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Meituan

Open Kalshi ↗

1.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Meituan

Open Kalshi ↗

MiniMax

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 2.1%

MiniMax

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

MiniMax

Open Kalshi ↗

2.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

MiniMax

Open Kalshi ↗

Moonshot

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0%

Moonshot

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Moonshot

Open Kalshi ↗

4.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Moonshot

Open Kalshi ↗

Tencent

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.9%

Tencent

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Tencent

Open Kalshi ↗

1.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Tencent

Open Kalshi ↗

Xiaomi

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

68.2%

Bid 67.7% · Ask 68.6%

Xiaomi

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 89.0%

Xiaomi

Open Kalshi ↗

66.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 71.0%

Xiaomi

Open Kalshi ↗

Z.ai

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 3.8%

Z.ai

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

StepFun

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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