Market comparison

Brazil GDP growth YoY in Q3 2026

2 venues · 35 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

21 outcomes · $192K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 29, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

14 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 14s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 2, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Brazil GDP growth YoY in Q3 2026
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
0.0% to 0.2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 23.0% 0.0% to 0.2% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
0.3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.2% Bid 13.1% · Ask 23.3% <-0.3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
0.3% to -0.1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	45.0% Bid 43.0% · Ask 47.0% -0.3% to -0.1% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
0.3% to 0.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 2.1% · Ask 6.5% 0.3% to 0.5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
0.5–1.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% 0.5–1.0% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
0.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.4% <0.5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
0.6% to 0.8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 4.9% 0.6% to 0.8% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
0.9% to 1.1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.8% Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.4% 0.9% to 1.1% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1.0–1.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% 1.0–1.5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1.2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% ≥1.2% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1.5–2.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.9% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.8% 1.5–2.0% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2.0–2.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 15.0% 2.0–2.4% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2.0–2.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	55.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 61.0% 2.0–2.5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.4% <2.0% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2.5–2.9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.5% Bid 29.0% · Ask 32.0% 2.5–2.9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	43.1% Bid 38.1% · Ask 48.2% >2.5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
3.0–3.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 29.0% 3.0–3.4% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
3.5–3.9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.3% Bid 2.7% · Ask 20.0% 3.5–3.9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.0–4.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.0% 4.0–4.4% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.5–4.9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% 4.5–4.9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
5.0%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% 5.0%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Above 1.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	40.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 47.0% Above 1.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 1.1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	38.5% Bid 34.0% · Ask 43.0% Above 1.1% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 1.2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	33.5% Bid 29.0% · Ask 38.0% Above 1.2% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 1.3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.5% Bid 28.0% · Ask 37.0% Above 1.3% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 1.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 32.0% Above 1.4% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 1.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 29.0% Above 1.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 1.6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 26.0% Above 1.6% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 1.7% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 23.0% Above 1.7% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 1.8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 20.0% Above 1.8% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 1.9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 17.0% Above 1.9% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 2.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 14.0% Above 2.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 2.1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 12.0% Above 2.1% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 2.2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.0% Above 2.2% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 2.3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Above 2.3% Open Kalshi ↗	—

0.0% to 0.2%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 23.0%

0.0% to 0.2%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

0.3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.2%

Bid 13.1% · Ask 23.3%

<-0.3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

0.3% to -0.1%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

45.0%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 47.0%

-0.3% to -0.1%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

0.3% to 0.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 6.5%

0.3% to 0.5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

0.5–1.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

0.5–1.0%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

0.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.4%

<0.5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

0.6% to 0.8%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 4.9%

0.6% to 0.8%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

0.9% to 1.1%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.4%

0.9% to 1.1%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1.0–1.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

1.0–1.5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1.2%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

≥1.2%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1.5–2.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.8%

1.5–2.0%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2.0–2.4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 15.0%

2.0–2.4%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2.0–2.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

55.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 61.0%

2.0–2.5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.4%

<2.0%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2.5–2.9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.5%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 32.0%

2.5–2.9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

43.1%

Bid 38.1% · Ask 48.2%

>2.5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

3.0–3.4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 29.0%

3.0–3.4%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

3.5–3.9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.3%

Bid 2.7% · Ask 20.0%

3.5–3.9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.0–4.4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.0%

4.0–4.4%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.5–4.9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

4.5–4.9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

5.0%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

5.0%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above 1.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 47.0%

Above 1.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 1.1%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

38.5%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 43.0%

Above 1.1%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 1.2%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

33.5%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 38.0%

Above 1.2%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 1.3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.5%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 37.0%

Above 1.3%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 1.4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 32.0%

Above 1.4%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 1.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 29.0%

Above 1.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 1.6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 26.0%

Above 1.6%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 1.7%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 23.0%

Above 1.7%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 1.8%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 20.0%

Above 1.8%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 1.9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 17.0%

Above 1.9%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 2.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 14.0%

Above 2.0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 2.1%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 12.0%

Above 2.1%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 2.2%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.0%

Above 2.2%

Open Kalshi ↗

Above 2.3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Above 2.3%

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets