Market comparison

Bulgaria Presidential Election

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 7 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

40 outcomes · $1.4M reported volume

Observed 30s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 26, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $47K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 15, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Generic non-US election template: rules are not uniform across events and need a per-event rules comparison before parity can be claimed.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Bulgaria Presidential Election
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Atanas Atanasov Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Atanas Atanasov Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0% Atanas Atanasov Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Blagomir Kotsev Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Blagomir Kotsev Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0% Blagomir Kotsev Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Kostadin Kostadinov Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Kostadin Kostadinov Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0% Kostadin Kostadinov Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Krum Zarkov Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Krum Zarkov Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0% Krum Zarkov Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Nikolai Denkov Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Nikolai Denkov Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0% Nikolai Denkov Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Rosen Zhelyazkov Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Rosen Zhelyazkov Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0% Rosen Zhelyazkov Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Yanaki Stoilov Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Yanaki Stoilov Open Polymarket ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0% Yanaki Stoilov Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Andrey Gyurov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 12.0% Andrey Gyurov Open Kalshi ↗	—
Boyko Borissov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Boyko Borissov Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Delyan Peevski Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Delyan Peevski Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Iliana Iotova Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	87.5% Bid 87.0% · Ask 88.0% Iliana Iotova Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Iliana Yotova Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	88.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 90.0% Iliana Yotova Open Kalshi ↗	—
Natalia Kiselova Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Natalia Kiselova Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Natalia Kiselova Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0% Nataliya Kiselova Open Kalshi ↗	—
ndrey Gyurov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0% Аndrey Gyurov Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Rosen Plevneliev Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Rosen Plevneliev Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Vassil Terziev Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Vassil Terziev Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Vassil Terziev Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0% Vasil Terziev Open Kalshi ↗	—

Atanas Atanasov

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Atanas Atanasov

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0%

Atanas Atanasov

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Blagomir Kotsev

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Blagomir Kotsev

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0%

Blagomir Kotsev

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Kostadin Kostadinov

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Kostadin Kostadinov

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0%

Kostadin Kostadinov

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Krum Zarkov

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Krum Zarkov

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0%

Krum Zarkov

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Nikolai Denkov

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Nikolai Denkov

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0%

Nikolai Denkov

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Rosen Zhelyazkov

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Rosen Zhelyazkov

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0%

Rosen Zhelyazkov

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Yanaki Stoilov

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Yanaki Stoilov

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0%

Yanaki Stoilov

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Andrey Gyurov

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 12.0%

Andrey Gyurov

Open Kalshi ↗

Boyko Borissov

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Boyko Borissov

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Delyan Peevski

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Delyan Peevski

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Iliana Iotova

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

87.5%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 88.0%

Iliana Iotova

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Iliana Yotova

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 90.0%

Iliana Yotova

Open Kalshi ↗

Natalia Kiselova

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Natalia Kiselova

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Natalia Kiselova

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0%

Nataliya Kiselova

Open Kalshi ↗

ndrey Gyurov

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0%

Аndrey Gyurov

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Rosen Plevneliev

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Rosen Plevneliev

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Vassil Terziev

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Vassil Terziev

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Vassil Terziev

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0%

Vasil Terziev

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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