Market comparison
Bundesliga Champion
2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 17 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗22 outcomes · $1.4M reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Jun 15, 2027
Kalshi
Open venue ↗18 outcomes · $115K reported volume
Observed 2m ago
Recorded venue end date: Jun 6, 2027
Known rule differences between venues
- Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
- Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
- Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Augsburg Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.5 pp | ||
Bayern Munich Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 2.5 pp | ||
Bremen Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.8 pp | ||
Dortmund Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.5 pp | ||
Elversberg Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.7 pp | ||
Frankfurt Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.1 pp | ||
Freiburg Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.5 pp | ||
Hamburg Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.8 pp | ||
Hoffenheim Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.8 pp | ||
Leipzig Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.1 pp | ||
Leverkusen Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.3 pp | ||
M´gladbach Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.9 pp | ||
Mainz Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.9 pp | ||
Paderborn Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.8 pp | ||
Schalke Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.8 pp | ||
Stuttgart Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.6 pp | ||
Union Berlin Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.8 pp | ||
1. FC Köln Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
FC Cologne Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Augsburg
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.5 pp
Bayern Munich
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 2.5 pp
Bremen
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.8 pp
Dortmund
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.5 pp
Elversberg
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.7 pp
Frankfurt
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.1 pp
Freiburg
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.5 pp
Hamburg
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.8 pp
Hoffenheim
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.8 pp
Leipzig
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.1 pp
Leverkusen
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.3 pp
M´gladbach
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.9 pp
Mainz
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.9 pp
Paderborn
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.8 pp
Schalke
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.8 pp
Stuttgart
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.6 pp
Union Berlin
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.8 pp
1. FC Köln
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
FC Cologne
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.