The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Butterfield Bermuda Championship: To Make the Cut

2 venues · 149 outcome rows · 91 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

120 outcomes · $46K reported volume

Observed 55s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 22, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

121 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 25, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

A.J. Ewart

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

53.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 53.0%

A.J. Ewart

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

A.J. Ewart

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 52.5 pp

Aaron Baddeley

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 37.0%

Aaron Baddeley

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Aaron Baddeley

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 36.5 pp

Adam Hadwin

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 30.0%

Adam Hadwin

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Adam Hadwin

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 27.4 pp

Adam Long

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 22.0%

Adam Long

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid — · Ask 23.0%

Adam Long

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 10.5 pp

Adam Schenk

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Adam Schenk

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

12.0%

Bid — · Ask 24.0%

Adam Schenk

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 10.0 pp

Adrien Dumont De Chassart

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 51.0%

Adrien Dumont De Chassart

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Adrien Dumont De Chassart

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 50.4 pp

Aldrich Potgieter

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

66.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 70.0%

Aldrich Potgieter

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid — · Ask 1.4%

Aldrich Potgieter

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 65.3 pp

Andrew Novak

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 94.0% · Ask 98.0%

Andrew Novak

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

7.4%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 7.9%

Andrew Novak

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 90.5 pp

Austin Cook

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 20.0%

Austin Cook

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid — · Ask 27.0%

Austin Cook

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 6.5 pp

Austin Eckroat

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

54.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 54.0%

Austin Eckroat

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid — · Ask 1.3%

Austin Eckroat

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 53.4 pp

Austin Lemieux

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0%

Austin Lemieux

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Austin Lemieux

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.4 pp

Austin Smotherman

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

97.0%

Bid 94.0% · Ask 97.0%

Austin Smotherman

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 3.7% · Ask 4.7%

Austin Smotherman

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 92.8 pp

Ben Kohles

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 96.0% · Ask 99.0%

Ben Kohles

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

9.7%

Bid 9.5% · Ask 9.8%

Ben Kohles

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 89.3 pp

Ben Martin

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 89.0%

Ben Martin

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.6%

Ben Martin

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 84.0 pp

Bill Haas

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 42.0%

Bill Haas

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Bill Haas

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 41.4 pp

Brice Garnett

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 92.0% · Ask 95.0%

Brice Garnett

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 1.4%

Brice Garnett

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 90.9 pp

Cameron Champ

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 39.0%

Cameron Champ

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

15.0%

Bid — · Ask 30.0%

Cameron Champ

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 22.0 pp

Camiko Smith

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.0%

Camiko Smith

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Camiko Smith

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.4 pp

Chad Ramey

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

75.5%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 77.0%

Chad Ramey

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid — · Ask 1.4%

Chad Ramey

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 74.8 pp

Chan Kim

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

96.0%

Bid 94.0% · Ask 96.0%

Chan Kim

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 2.8%

Chan Kim

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 93.5 pp

Chandler Blanchet

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 95.0% · Ask 99.0%

Chandler Blanchet

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.8%

Bid 4.6% · Ask 6.9%

Chandler Blanchet

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 93.3 pp

Chandler Phillips

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 87.0%

Chandler Phillips

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 1.3%

Chandler Phillips

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 83.0 pp

Charley Hoffman

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 37.0%

Charley Hoffman

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Charley Hoffman

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 36.4 pp

Chez Reavie

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0%

Chez Reavie

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

12.0%

Bid — · Ask 24.0%

Chez Reavie

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 6.0 pp

Chris Kirk

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

91.0%

Bid 91.0% · Ask 95.0%

Chris Kirk

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 1.9% · Ask 3.0%

Chris Kirk

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 88.6 pp

Christo Lamprecht

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 37.0%

Christo Lamprecht

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Christo Lamprecht

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 36.4 pp

Corey Conners

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

96.0%

Bid 96.0% · Ask 99.0%

Corey Conners

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

10.8%

Bid 9.9% · Ask 11.8%

Corey Conners

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 85.1 pp

David Ford

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 27.0%

David Ford

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

David Ford

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 24.5 pp

David Lingmerth

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 24.0%

David Lingmerth

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid — · Ask 13.0%

David Lingmerth

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 15.5 pp

David Skinns

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

68.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 68.0%

David Skinns

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid — · Ask 43.0%

David Skinns

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 46.5 pp

Davis Chatfield

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 89.0%

Davis Chatfield

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.3%

Davis Chatfield

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 85.2 pp

Davis Riley

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

93.0%

Bid 91.0% · Ask 93.0%

Davis Riley

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 2.3%

Davis Riley

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 91.1 pp

Denny McCarthy

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 89.0%

Denny McCarthy

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.2%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 1.5%

Denny McCarthy

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 87.8 pp

Dylan Frittelli

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 39.0%

Dylan Frittelli

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid — · Ask 38.0%

Dylan Frittelli

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 18.0 pp

Emiliano Grillo

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 94.0% · Ask 98.0%

Emiliano Grillo

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 5.2%

Emiliano Grillo

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 94.0 pp

Eric Cole

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

97.0%

Bid 94.0% · Ask 97.0%

Eric Cole

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 3.9% · Ask 5.4%

Eric Cole

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 92.3 pp

Greg Koch

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0%

Greg Koch

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Greg Koch

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 10.4 pp

Hao-Tong Li

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

74.5%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 76.0%

Hao-Tong Li

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid — · Ask 1.7%

Hao-Tong Li

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 73.7 pp

Harry Higgs

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 18.0%

Harry Higgs

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid — · Ask 12.0%

Harry Higgs

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 12.0 pp

Hayden Springer

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

90.5%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 92.0%

Hayden Springer

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.6%

Hayden Springer

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 89.2 pp

Henrik Norlander

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

62.5%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 65.0%

Henrik Norlander

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Henrik Norlander

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 62.0 pp

Isaiah Salinda

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 58.0%

Isaiah Salinda

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Isaiah Salinda

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 57.4 pp

Jeffrey Kang

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

69.0%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 71.0%

Jeffrey Kang

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid — · Ask 1.3%

Jeffrey Kang

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 68.3 pp

Jeremy Paul

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 46.0%

Jeremy Paul

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Jeremy Paul

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 43.4 pp

Jimmy Stanger

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

37.5%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 40.0%

Jimmy Stanger

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Jimmy Stanger

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 37.0 pp

Joel Dahmen

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

94.0%

Bid 91.0% · Ask 94.0%

Joel Dahmen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.7%

Joel Dahmen

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 92.7 pp

John Parry

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

57.0%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 57.0%

John Parry

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

John Parry

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 56.5 pp

Jonathan Byrd

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

94.0%

Bid 94.0% · Ask 97.0%

Jonathan Byrd

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 1.5%

Jonathan Byrd

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 92.7 pp

Justin Lower

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

82.5%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 84.0%

Justin Lower

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.2%

Justin Lower

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 81.7 pp

Kensei Hirata

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 91.0%

Kensei Hirata

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Kensei Hirata

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 88.5 pp

Kevin Roy

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 70.0%

Kevin Roy

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid — · Ask 1.6%

Kevin Roy

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 66.2 pp

Kevin Streelman

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 12.0%

Kevin Streelman

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Kevin Streelman

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 11.4 pp

Kihei Akina

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 92.0%

Kihei Akina

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.2%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 1.5%

Kihei Akina

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 90.8 pp

Lee Hodges

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

94.0%

Bid 90.0% · Ask 94.0%

Lee Hodges

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 2.1%

Lee Hodges

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 92.3 pp

Lucas Glover

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

60.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 60.0%

Lucas Glover

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Lucas Glover

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 59.5 pp

Luke Clanton

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 87.0%

Luke Clanton

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.2%

Luke Clanton

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 83.0 pp

Luke List

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 28.0%

Luke List

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Luke List

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 25.4 pp

Mackenzie Hughes

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 95.0% · Ask 98.0%

Mackenzie Hughes

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 3.7% · Ask 5.2%

Mackenzie Hughes

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 93.5 pp

Marcelo Rozo

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

44.5%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 47.0%

Marcelo Rozo

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid — · Ask 13.0%

Marcelo Rozo

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 38.0 pp

Mark Hubbard

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 83.0%

Mark Hubbard

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid — · Ask 1.6%

Mark Hubbard

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 81.2 pp

Martin Laird

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

76.5%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 78.0%

Martin Laird

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Martin Laird

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 76.0 pp

Mason Howell

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0%

Mason Howell

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Mason Howell

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 9.5 pp

Matthew Anderson

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

65.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 67.0%

Matthew Anderson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid — · Ask 1.3%

Matthew Anderson

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 64.4 pp

Matthieu Pavon

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 33.0%

Matthieu Pavon

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Matthieu Pavon

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 32.4 pp

Max Greyserman

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0%

Max Greyserman

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Max Greyserman

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 13.5 pp

Max McGreevy

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

69.0%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 69.0%

Max McGreevy

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid — · Ask 1.6%

Max McGreevy

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 68.2 pp

Miles Russell

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

84.5%

Bid 83.0% · Ask 86.0%

Miles Russell

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Miles Russell

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 83.9 pp

Neal Shipley

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 81.0%

Neal Shipley

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 1.1%

Neal Shipley

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 80.2 pp

Nick Dunlap

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 55.0%

Nick Dunlap

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid — · Ask 23.0%

Nick Dunlap

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 43.5 pp

Nick Hardy

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 57.0%

Nick Hardy

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Nick Hardy

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 54.4 pp

Nick Jones

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0%

Nick Jones

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

18.5%

Bid — · Ask 37.0%

Nick Jones

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 14.5 pp

Patrick Fishburn

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

77.5%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 79.0%

Patrick Fishburn

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Patrick Fishburn

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 77.0 pp

Patton Kizzire

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

38.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 40.0%

Patton Kizzire

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid — · Ask 10.0%

Patton Kizzire

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 33.0 pp

Paul Peterson

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

72.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 75.0%

Paul Peterson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid — · Ask 6.0%

Paul Peterson

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 69.0 pp

Peter Malnati

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 45.0%

Peter Malnati

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Peter Malnati

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 43.4 pp

Pontus Nyholm

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 59.0%

Pontus Nyholm

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid — · Ask 1.3%

Pontus Nyholm

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 58.4 pp

Rafael Campos

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

51.5%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 54.0%

Rafael Campos

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Rafael Campos

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 51.0 pp

Rico Hoey

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

71.0%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 71.0%

Rico Hoey

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Rico Hoey

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 70.5 pp

Robert Streb

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 39.0%

Robert Streb

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Robert Streb

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 36.4 pp

Rudy Sautron

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

45.5%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 48.0%

Rudy Sautron

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Rudy Sautron

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 44.9 pp

Ryan Brehm

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.0%

Ryan Brehm

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Ryan Brehm

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.4 pp

Seamus Power

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

94.0%

Bid 91.0% · Ask 94.0%

Seamus Power

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 3.1%

Seamus Power

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 91.3 pp

Takumi Kanaya

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

79.5%

Bid 78.0% · Ask 81.0%

Takumi Kanaya

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Takumi Kanaya

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 79.0 pp

Taylor Moore

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

94.0%

Bid 92.0% · Ask 96.0%

Taylor Moore

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 3.3%

Taylor Moore

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 91.0 pp

Taylor Pendrith

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

77.5%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 79.0%

Taylor Pendrith

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.0%

Taylor Pendrith

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 76.8 pp

Tom Hoge

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

68.0%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 72.0%

Tom Hoge

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid — · Ask 1.3%

Tom Hoge

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 67.4 pp

Trace Crowe

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

92.5%

Bid 91.0% · Ask 94.0%

Trace Crowe

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.2%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 1.8%

Trace Crowe

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 91.3 pp

Troy Merritt

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Troy Merritt

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid — · Ask 22.0%

Troy Merritt

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Tyler Duncan

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 31.0%

Tyler Duncan

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Tyler Duncan

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 28.4 pp

William McGirt

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 15.0%

William McGirt

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

William McGirt

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 14.4 pp

Zac Blair

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

97.0%

Bid 93.0% · Ask 97.0%

Zac Blair

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.2%

Bid 2.9% · Ask 3.5%

Zac Blair

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 93.8 pp

Aaron Wise

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 43.0%

Aaron Wise

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Adam Svensson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 83.0%

Adam Svensson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Alejandro Tosti

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 89.0%

Alejandro Tosti

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Benjamin James

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 67.0%

Benjamin James

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Benjamin James

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.6%

Ben James

Open Polymarket ↗

Benjamin Silverman

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

97.0%

Bid 95.0% · Ask 99.0%

Ben Silverman

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Benjamin Silverman

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.6%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.2%

Benjamin Silverman

Open Polymarket ↗

Brendon Todd

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 31.0%

Brendon Todd

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

C.T. Pan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0%

C.T. Pan

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

C.T. Pan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Cheng Tsung Pan

Open Polymarket ↗

Cameron Davis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 38.0%

Cameron Davis

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Cameron Davis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Cam Davis

Open Polymarket ↗

Camilo Villegas

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

54.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 54.0%

Camilo Villegas

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Danny Walker

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 94.0% · Ask 98.0%

Danny Walker

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Davis Thompson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

25.5%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 28.0%

Davis Thompson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Dylan Wu

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 84.0%

Dylan Wu

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Erik Van Rooyen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 84.0%

Erik Van Rooyen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Greyson Sigg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

81.5%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 83.0%

Greyson Sigg

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hank Lebioda

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

72.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 74.0%

Hank Lebioda

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hank Lebioda

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid — · Ask 1.3%

Henry Lebioda

Open Polymarket ↗

Jay Leng

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 28.0%

Jay Leng

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jesper Svensson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

63.0%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 63.0%

Jesper Svensson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

John VanDerLaan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 35.0%

John VanDerLaan

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Kevin Yu

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 11.0%

Kevin Yu

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Kris Ventura

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

92.5%

Bid 91.0% · Ask 94.0%

Kris Ventura

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Nixon Lauritzen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 12.0%

Nixon Lauritzen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Player 0

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 0 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 1

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 1 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 2

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 2 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 3

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 3 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 4

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 4 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 5 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 6

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 6 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 7

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 7 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 8

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 8 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 9

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 9 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 10

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 10 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 11

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 11 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 12

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 12 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 13

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 13 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 14

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 14 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 15

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 15 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 16

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 16 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 17

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 17 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 18

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 18 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Player 19

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Player 19 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Ren Yonezawa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

94.0%

Bid 91.0% · Ask 94.0%

Ren Yonezawa

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Seung-Yul Noh

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

80.5%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 82.0%

Seung-Yul Noh

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Seung-Yul Noh

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid — · Ask 1.4%

S.Y. Noh

Open Polymarket ↗

Taylor Montgomery

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

82.5%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 84.0%

Taylor Montgomery

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Vince Whaley

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 73.0%

Vince Whaley

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Virgilio Paz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Virgilio Paz

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Will Gordon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Will Gordon

Open Polymarket ↗

Will Gordon makes the cut

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

27.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 27.0%

Will Gordon makes the cut

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Willie Mack

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Willie Mack

Open Polymarket ↗

Willie Mack III

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

45.5%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 48.0%

Willie Mack III

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ze-Cheng Dou

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

85.5%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 87.0%

Zecheng Dou

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ze-Cheng Dou

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Ze-Cheng Dou

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.