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Danny Walker 98%
Next is Benjamin Silverman at 97%. The venues differ most on Zac Blair (Polymarket 2.5%, Kalshi 97%), a 95-point gap.
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 7.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 94¢ nets 8610 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 12.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 96¢ nets 8390 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 3.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 93¢ nets 8960 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 10.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 96¢ nets 8570 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 6.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 95¢ nets 8820 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 5.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 94¢ nets 8860 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 5.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 94¢ nets 8890 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 5.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 94¢ nets 8870 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 4.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 94¢ nets 8970 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 2.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 93¢ nets 9010 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 3.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 92¢ nets 8860 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 2.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 90¢ nets 8790 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 92¢ nets 9020 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 2.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 91¢ nets 8860 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 2.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 91¢ nets 8850 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 3.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 91¢ nets 8780 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.4¢ and selling on Kalshi at 89¢ nets 8760 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 92¢ nets 9070 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 88¢ nets 8640 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 59¢ nets 5780 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 86¢ nets 8440 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 87¢ nets 8600 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 86¢ nets 8490 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 85¢ nets 8340 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 83¢ nets 8180 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 84¢ nets 8270 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 81¢ nets 7990 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 81¢ nets 7950 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 79¢ nets 7790 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 78¢ nets 7710 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 76¢ nets 7500 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 76¢ nets 7500 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 75¢ nets 7320 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 48¢ nets 4690 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 74¢ nets 7250 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 73¢ nets 7140 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.7¢ and selling on Kalshi at 72¢ nets 7030 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 68¢ nets 6710 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 65¢ nets 6340 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 67¢ nets 6580 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 68¢ nets 6670 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 64¢ nets 6310 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 15¢ nets 1340 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 66¢ nets 6470 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 63¢ nets 6180 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 38¢ nets 3690 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 60¢ nets 5910 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 54¢ nets 5280 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 53¢ nets 5190 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 91¢ nets 8800 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 52¢ nets 5100 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 93¢ nets 9140 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 32¢ nets 3050 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 33¢ nets 3190 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 32¢ nets 3090 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 53¢ nets 5190 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 50¢ nets 4910 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 49¢ nets 4810 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 49¢ nets 4780 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 43¢ nets 4190 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 42¢ nets 4110 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 42¢ nets 4090 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 41¢ nets 3990 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 84¢ nets 8270 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 36¢ nets 3510 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 35¢ nets 3410 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 35¢ nets 3390 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 35¢ nets 3410 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 35¢ nets 3410 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 29¢ nets 2790 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 19¢ nets 1810 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 27¢ nets 2590 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 26¢ nets 2490 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 49¢ nets 4810 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 17¢ nets 1610 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 24¢ nets 2290 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 23¢ nets 2150 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 14¢ nets 1310 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 12¢ nets 1090 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 20¢ nets 1910 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 15¢ nets 1350 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 11¢ nets 990 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 10¢ nets 910 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 9¢ nets 790 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 3¢ nets 210 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 6¢ nets 510 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 5¢ nets 390 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 5¢ nets 390 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.5¢ and selling on Kalshi at 4¢ nets 250 bps before fees.


Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 1.1¢ and selling on Kalshi at 3¢ nets 190 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 1¢ nets 10 bps before fees.








Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Jonathan Byrd on Polymarket at 1.6¢, sell on Kalshi at 93¢ (9140 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads
Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket doesn’t list Danny Walker for this event.
Waiting for the first live quote…
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
Live prediction market odds for "Butterfield Bermuda Championship: To Make the Cut". Danny Walker leads at 98%. Next is Benjamin Silverman at 97%. $47K has traded across 129 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 22, 2026.
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.