Market comparison

California Governor Election: Turnout

2 venues · 21 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $51K reported volume

Observed 41s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $22K reported volume

Observed 41s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for California Governor Election: Turnout
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
10.5M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.9% Bid 1.2% · Ask 8.5% <10.5M Open Polymarket ↗	—
10.5M-11M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7% 10.5M-11M Open Polymarket ↗	—
11.5M-12M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 6.5% 11.5M-12M Open Polymarket ↗	—
11M-11.5M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.9% Bid 1.8% · Ask 10.0% 11M-11.5M Open Polymarket ↗	—
12.5M-13M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	33.5% Bid 32.0% · Ask 35.0% 12.5M-13M Open Polymarket ↗	—
12M-12.5M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 13.0% 12M-12.5M Open Polymarket ↗	—
13.5M-14M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0% 13.5M-14M Open Polymarket ↗	—
13M-13.5M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.5% Bid 23.0% · Ask 30.0% 13M-13.5M Open Polymarket ↗	—
14.5M+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.7% Bid 12.4% · Ask 18.9% 14.5M+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
14M-14.5M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.1% Bid 0.4% · Ask 17.8% 14M-14.5M Open Polymarket ↗	—
Above 9.5M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	93.0% Bid 93.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 9.5M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 10.5M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	92.0% Bid 90.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 10.5M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 10.9M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	92.0% Bid 88.0% · Ask 92.0% Above 10.9M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 10M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	95.0% Bid 91.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 10M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 11.5M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	77.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 86.0% Above 11.5M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 12.6M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	59.0% Bid 54.0% · Ask 59.0% Above 12.6M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 12M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	70.0% Bid 68.0% · Ask 78.0% Above 12M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 13.1M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	52.0% Bid 43.0% · Ask 52.0% Above 13.1M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 14.2M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 27.0% Above 14.2M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 14.8M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 19.0% Above 14.8M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 15.4M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 17.0% Above 15.4M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

10.5M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.9%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 8.5%

<10.5M

Open Polymarket ↗

10.5M-11M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7%

10.5M-11M

Open Polymarket ↗

11.5M-12M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 6.5%

11.5M-12M

Open Polymarket ↗

11M-11.5M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.9%

Bid 1.8% · Ask 10.0%

11M-11.5M

Open Polymarket ↗

12.5M-13M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

33.5%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 35.0%

12.5M-13M

Open Polymarket ↗

12M-12.5M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 13.0%

12M-12.5M

Open Polymarket ↗

13.5M-14M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0%

13.5M-14M

Open Polymarket ↗

13M-13.5M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

26.5%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 30.0%

13M-13.5M

Open Polymarket ↗

14.5M+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

15.7%

Bid 12.4% · Ask 18.9%

14.5M+

Open Polymarket ↗

14M-14.5M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

9.1%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 17.8%

14M-14.5M

Open Polymarket ↗

Above 9.5M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

93.0%

Bid 93.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 9.5M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 10.5M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 90.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above 10.5M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 10.9M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 92.0%

Above 10.9M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 10M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

95.0%

Bid 91.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above 10M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 11.5M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

77.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 86.0%

Above 11.5M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 12.6M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 59.0%

Above 12.6M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 12M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 78.0%

Above 12M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 13.1M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

52.0%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 52.0%

Above 13.1M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 14.2M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 27.0%

Above 14.2M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 14.8M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 19.0%

Above 14.8M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 15.4M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 17.0%

Above 15.4M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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