Market comparison

California Governor General Election: voter turnout

2 venues · 21 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $52K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $22K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for California Governor General Election: voter turnout
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
10.5M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.7% Bid 0.8% · Ask 8.6% <10.5M Open Polymarket ↗	—
10.5M-11M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.7% 10.5M-11M Open Polymarket ↗	—
11.5M-12M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.5% Bid 0.6% · Ask 6.5% 11.5M-12M Open Polymarket ↗	—
11M-11.5M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.7% Bid 5.2% · Ask 14.2% 11M-11.5M Open Polymarket ↗	—
12.5M-13M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	33.5% Bid 32.0% · Ask 35.0% 12.5M-13M Open Polymarket ↗	—
12M-12.5M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 14.0% 12M-12.5M Open Polymarket ↗	—
13.5M-14M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 10.0% 13.5M-14M Open Polymarket ↗	—
13M-13.5M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 31.0% 13M-13.5M Open Polymarket ↗	—
14.5M+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.7% Bid 14.3% · Ask 19.0% 14.5M+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
14M-14.5M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.8% Bid 0.7% · Ask 18.8% 14M-14.5M Open Polymarket ↗	—
Above 9.5M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	91.0% Bid 91.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 9.5M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 10.5M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	92.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 95.0% Above 10.5M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 10.9M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	90.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 90.0% Above 10.9M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 10M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	94.0% Bid 89.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 10M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 11.5M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	76.0% Bid 70.0% · Ask 82.0% Above 11.5M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 12.6M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	60.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 60.0% Above 12.6M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 12M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	67.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 73.0% Above 12M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 13.1M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	48.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 55.0% Above 13.1M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 14.2M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 27.0% Above 14.2M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 14.8M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 19.0% Above 14.8M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 15.4M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 17.0% Above 15.4M Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

10.5M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 8.6%

<10.5M

Open Polymarket ↗

10.5M-11M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.7%

10.5M-11M

Open Polymarket ↗

11.5M-12M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 6.5%

11.5M-12M

Open Polymarket ↗

11M-11.5M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

9.7%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 14.2%

11M-11.5M

Open Polymarket ↗

12.5M-13M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

33.5%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 35.0%

12.5M-13M

Open Polymarket ↗

12M-12.5M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 14.0%

12M-12.5M

Open Polymarket ↗

13.5M-14M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 10.0%

13.5M-14M

Open Polymarket ↗

13M-13.5M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

28.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 31.0%

13M-13.5M

Open Polymarket ↗

14.5M+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

16.7%

Bid 14.3% · Ask 19.0%

14.5M+

Open Polymarket ↗

14M-14.5M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

9.8%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 18.8%

14M-14.5M

Open Polymarket ↗

Above 9.5M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

91.0%

Bid 91.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 9.5M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 10.5M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 95.0%

Above 10.5M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 10.9M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

90.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 90.0%

Above 10.9M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 10M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

94.0%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above 10M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 11.5M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

76.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 82.0%

Above 11.5M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 12.6M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

60.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 60.0%

Above 12.6M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 12M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 73.0%

Above 12M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 13.1M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

48.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 55.0%

Above 13.1M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 14.2M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 27.0%

Above 14.2M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 14.8M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 19.0%

Above 14.8M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 15.4M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 17.0%

Above 15.4M

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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