Market comparison

Central Bank of Colombia decision in December

2 venues · 12 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

15 outcomes · $21K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Observed 49s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 17, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

5 outcomes · $12K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 18, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Central Bank of Colombia decision in December
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
25 bps decrease Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 5.0% 25 bps decrease Open Polymarket ↗	—
25 bps increase Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.3% Bid 4.0% · Ask 18.7% 25 bps increase Open Polymarket ↗	—
50+ bps decrease Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.5% 50+ bps decrease Open Polymarket ↗	—
50+ bps increase Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.6% Bid 12.1% · Ask 15.0% 50+ bps increase Open Polymarket ↗	—
Cut 1-25bps Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 10.0% Cut 1-25bps Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Cut 1-25bps Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Cut 25bps Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Cut 25bps Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Cut more than 25bps Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Cut more than 25bps Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Cut more than 25bps Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Cut more than 25bps Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hike 1-25bps Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	33.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 33.0% Hike 1-25bps Open Kalshi ↗ 79.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 80.0% Hike 1-25bps Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hike 25bps Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	72.0% Bid 71.0% · Ask 72.0% Hike 25bps Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hike more than 25bps Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 12.0% Hike more than 25bps Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Hike more than 25bps Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Hike more than 25bps Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Maintain current rate Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	51.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 52.0% Maintain current rate Open Kalshi ↗ 19.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 19.0% Maintain current rate Open Kalshi ↗ 28.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 29.0% Maintain current rate Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
No change Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	70.5% Bid 69.0% · Ask 72.0% No change Open Polymarket ↗	—

25 bps decrease

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 5.0%

25 bps decrease

Open Polymarket ↗

25 bps increase

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

11.3%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 18.7%

25 bps increase

Open Polymarket ↗

50+ bps decrease

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.5%

50+ bps decrease

Open Polymarket ↗

50+ bps increase

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

13.6%

Bid 12.1% · Ask 15.0%

50+ bps increase

Open Polymarket ↗

Cut 1-25bps

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 10.0%

Cut 1-25bps

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Cut 1-25bps

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Cut 25bps

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Cut 25bps

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Cut more than 25bps

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Cut more than 25bps

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Cut more than 25bps

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Cut more than 25bps

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hike 1-25bps

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 33.0%

Hike 1-25bps

Open Kalshi ↗

79.0%

Bid 78.0% · Ask 80.0%

Hike 1-25bps

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hike 25bps

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

72.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 72.0%

Hike 25bps

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hike more than 25bps

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 12.0%

Hike more than 25bps

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Hike more than 25bps

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Hike more than 25bps

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Maintain current rate

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 52.0%

Maintain current rate

Open Kalshi ↗

19.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 19.0%

Maintain current rate

Open Kalshi ↗

28.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 29.0%

Maintain current rate

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

No change

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

70.5%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 72.0%

No change

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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