Market comparison

China Nominal GDP in 2026

2 venues · 35 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

19 outcomes · $954K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 31, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

16 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 25s ago

Recorded venue end date: Apr 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for China Nominal GDP in 2026
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
1.0–2.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% 1.0–2.0% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% <1.0% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2.0–3.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.2% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3% 2.0–3.0% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
3.0–4.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.1% 3.0–4.0% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
3.4-3.7% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% 3.4-3.7% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
3.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% <3.4% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
3.7-4.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% 3.7-4.0% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.0-4.3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 15.0% 4.0-4.3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.0–5.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	96.3% Bid 95.5% · Ask 97.1% 4.0–5.0% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.3-4.6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	46.5% Bid 46.0% · Ask 47.0% 4.3-4.6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.6-4.9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	41.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 44.0% 4.6-4.9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.9-5.2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.7% Bid 0.5% · Ask 8.9% 4.9-5.2% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
5.0–6.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.6% · Ask 2.4% 5.0–6.0% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
5.2-5.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.2% 5.2-5.5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
5.5%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% 5.5%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
6.0-7.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% 6.0-7.0% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
7.0–8.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% 7.0–8.0% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
8.0–9.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% 8.0–9.0% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
9.0%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% 9.0%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Above $19.2 trillion Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 95.0% · Ask 100.0% Above $19.2 trillion Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $19.4 trillion Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	97.0% Bid 95.0% · Ask 100.0% Above $19.4 trillion Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $19.6 trillion Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	95.0% Bid 95.0% · Ask 99.0% Above $19.6 trillion Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $19.8 trillion Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 97.0% · Ask 99.0% Above $19.8 trillion Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $20.0 trillion Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	98.0% Bid 98.0% · Ask 99.0% Above $20.0 trillion Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $20.2 trillion Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	95.0% Bid 95.0% · Ask 99.0% Above $20.2 trillion Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $20.4 trillion Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	97.0% Bid 97.0% · Ask 99.0% Above $20.4 trillion Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $20.6 trillion Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	88.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 96.0% Above $20.6 trillion Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $20.8 trillion Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 91.0% Above $20.8 trillion Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $21.0 trillion Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 83.0% · Ask 88.0% Above $21.0 trillion Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $21.2 trillion Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	67.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 76.0% Above $21.2 trillion Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $21.4 trillion Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	54.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 54.0% Above $21.4 trillion Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $21.6 trillion Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	43.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 43.0% Above $21.6 trillion Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $21.8 trillion Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 31.0% Above $21.8 trillion Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $22.0 trillion Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 20.0% Above $22.0 trillion Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $22.2 trillion Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 12.0% Above $22.2 trillion Open Kalshi ↗	—

1.0–2.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

1.0–2.0%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

<1.0%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2.0–3.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3%

2.0–3.0%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

3.0–4.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.1%

3.0–4.0%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

3.4-3.7%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

3.4-3.7%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

3.4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

<3.4%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

3.7-4.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

3.7-4.0%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.0-4.3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 15.0%

4.0-4.3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.0–5.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

96.3%

Bid 95.5% · Ask 97.1%

4.0–5.0%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.3-4.6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

46.5%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 47.0%

4.3-4.6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.6-4.9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

41.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 44.0%

4.6-4.9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.9-5.2%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 8.9%

4.9-5.2%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

5.0–6.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.0%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 2.4%

5.0–6.0%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

5.2-5.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.2%

5.2-5.5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

5.5%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0%

5.5%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

6.0-7.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

6.0-7.0%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

7.0–8.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

7.0–8.0%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

8.0–9.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

8.0–9.0%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

9.0%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

9.0%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above $19.2 trillion

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 95.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above $19.2 trillion

China Nominal GDP in 2026

Polymarket

Kalshi

1.0–2.0%

Polymarket

Kalshi

1.0%

Polymarket

Kalshi

2.0–3.0%

Polymarket

Kalshi

3.0–4.0%

Polymarket

Kalshi

3.4-3.7%

Polymarket

Kalshi

3.4%

Polymarket

Kalshi

3.7-4.0%

Polymarket

Kalshi

4.0-4.3%

Polymarket

Kalshi

4.0–5.0%

Polymarket

Kalshi

4.3-4.6%

Polymarket

Kalshi

4.6-4.9%

Polymarket

Kalshi

4.9-5.2%

Polymarket

Kalshi

5.0–6.0%

Polymarket

Kalshi

5.2-5.5%

Polymarket

Kalshi

5.5%+

Polymarket

Kalshi

6.0-7.0%

Polymarket

Kalshi

7.0–8.0%

Polymarket

Kalshi

8.0–9.0%

Polymarket

Kalshi

9.0%+

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above $19.2 trillion

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above $19.4 trillion

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above $19.6 trillion

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above $19.8 trillion

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above $20.0 trillion

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above $20.2 trillion

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above $20.4 trillion

Polymarket