Market comparison

Chinese Super League: 2026 Runner-Up

2 venues · 26 outcome rows · 6 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

16 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 30, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

32 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Chinese Super League: 2026 Runner-Up
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Beijing Guoan Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	39.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 76.0% Beijing Guoan Open Kalshi ↗	50.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0% Beijing Guoan Open Polymarket ↗	11.0 pp
Chengdu Rongcheng Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	82.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 99.0% Chengdu Rongcheng Open Kalshi ↗	7.8% Bid 0.5% · Ask 15.0% Chengdu Rongcheng Open Polymarket ↗	74.3 pp
Henan Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0% Henan Open Kalshi ↗	0.0% Bid — · Ask 1.0% Henan · closed Open Polymarket ↗	1.0 pp
Shenzhen Peng City Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0% Shenzhen Peng City Open Kalshi ↗	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Shenzhen Peng City · closed Open Polymarket ↗	1.0 pp
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0% Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Open Kalshi ↗	0.0% Bid — · Ask 1.0% Tianjin Jinmen Tiger · closed Open Polymarket ↗	1.0 pp
Yunnan Yukun Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0% Yunnan Yukun Open Kalshi ↗	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.9% Yunnan Yukun · closed Open Polymarket ↗	1.0 pp
Chongqing Tonglianglong Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Chongqing Tonglianglong · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 27.0% Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Dalian Yingbo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0% Dalian Yingbo Open Polymarket ↗	—
Dalian Yingbo FC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 24.0% Dalian Yingbo FC Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Liaoning Tieren Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.0% Bid — · Ask 1.0% Liaoning Tieren · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Liaoning Tieren FC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0% Liaoning Tieren FC Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Qingdao Hainiu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.0% Bid — · Ask 86.0% Qingdao Hainiu · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Qingdao West Coast Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.0% Bid — · Ask 51.0% Qingdao West Coast · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Qingdao West Coast FC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0% Qingdao West Coast FC Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Qingdao West Coast FC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0% Qingdao Hainiu FC Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Shandong Taishan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	48.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 94.0% Shandong Taishan Open Polymarket ↗	—
Shanghai Port Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.9% Shanghai Port · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Shanghai Port FC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0% Shandong Taishan FC Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Shanghai Port FC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0% Shanghai Shenhua FC Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Shanghai Port FC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0% Shanghai Port FC Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Shanghai Shenhua Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Shanghai Shenhua · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Wuhan Three Towns Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.0% Bid — · Ask 10.1% Wuhan Three Towns · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Wuhan Three Towns FC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0% Wuhan Three Towns FC Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Zhejiang Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.0% Bid — · Ask 1.0% Zhejiang · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Zhejiang FC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0% Zhejiang FC Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Beijing Guoan

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 76.0%

Beijing Guoan

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Beijing Guoan

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 11.0 pp

Chengdu Rongcheng

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 99.0%

Chengdu Rongcheng

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

7.8%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 15.0%

Chengdu Rongcheng

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 74.3 pp

Henan

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0%

Henan

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Henan · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Shenzhen Peng City

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0%

Shenzhen Peng City

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Shenzhen Peng City · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Yunnan Yukun

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0%

Yunnan Yukun

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.9%

Yunnan Yukun · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Chongqing Tonglianglong

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Chongqing Tonglianglong · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 27.0%

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Dalian Yingbo

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Dalian Yingbo

Open Polymarket ↗

Dalian Yingbo FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 24.0%

Dalian Yingbo FC

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Liaoning Tieren

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Liaoning Tieren · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Liaoning Tieren FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0%

Liaoning Tieren FC

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Qingdao Hainiu

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 86.0%

Qingdao Hainiu · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Qingdao West Coast

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 51.0%

Qingdao West Coast · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Qingdao West Coast FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0%

Qingdao West Coast FC

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Qingdao West Coast FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0%

Qingdao Hainiu FC

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Shandong Taishan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

48.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 94.0%

Shandong Taishan

Open Polymarket ↗

Shanghai Port

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.9%

Shanghai Port · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Shanghai Port FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0%

Shandong Taishan FC

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Shanghai Port FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0%

Shanghai Shenhua FC

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Shanghai Port FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0%

Shanghai Port FC

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Shanghai Shenhua

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Shanghai Shenhua · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Wuhan Three Towns

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 10.1%

Wuhan Three Towns · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Wuhan Three Towns FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0%

Wuhan Three Towns FC

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Zhejiang

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Zhejiang · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Zhejiang FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0%

Zhejiang FC

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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