Market comparison

Chinese Super League: Teams relegated (2026)

2 venues · 26 outcome rows · 6 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

16 outcomes · $17K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

16 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 52s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 30, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Chinese Super League: Teams relegated (2026)
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Beijing Guoan Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 6.0% Beijing Guoan Open Polymarket ↗	39.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 76.0% Beijing Guoan Open Kalshi ↗	36.0 pp
Chengdu Rongcheng Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Chengdu Rongcheng Open Polymarket ↗	98.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 99.0% Chengdu Rongcheng Open Kalshi ↗	97.9 pp
Henan Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.7% Bid 1.7% · Ask 5.7% Henan Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0% Henan Open Kalshi ↗	2.7 pp
Shenzhen Peng City Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	10.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 18.9% Shenzhen Peng City Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0% Shenzhen Peng City Open Kalshi ↗	9.0 pp
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.2% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.2% Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0% Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Open Kalshi ↗	0.2 pp
Yunnan Yukun Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.9% Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.3% Yunnan Yukun Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0% Yunnan Yukun Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
Chongqing Tonglianglong Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Chongqing Tonglianglong Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 27.0% Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dalian Yingbo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 4.5% Dalian Yingbo Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Dalian Yingbo FC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 30.0% Dalian Yingbo FC Open Kalshi ↗	—
Liaoning Tieren Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.3% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.6% Liaoning Tieren Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Liaoning Tieren FC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0% Liaoning Tieren FC Open Kalshi ↗	—
Qingdao Hainiu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.6% Bid 97.4% · Ask 99.8% Qingdao Hainiu Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Qingdao West Coast Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 6.8% Qingdao West Coast Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Qingdao West Coast FC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0% Qingdao West Coast FC Open Kalshi ↗	—
Qingdao West Coast FC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0% Qingdao Hainiu FC Open Kalshi ↗	—
Shandong Taishan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.7% Bid 0.2% · Ask 3.1% Shandong Taishan Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Shanghai Port Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.1% Shanghai Port Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Shanghai Port FC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0% Shandong Taishan FC Open Kalshi ↗	—
Shanghai Port FC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0% Shanghai Shenhua FC Open Kalshi ↗	—
Shanghai Port FC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0% Shanghai Port FC Open Kalshi ↗	—
Shanghai Shenhua Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.2% Shanghai Shenhua Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Wuhan Three Towns Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	92.2% Bid 90.0% · Ask 94.4% Wuhan Three Towns Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Wuhan Three Towns FC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0% Wuhan Three Towns FC Open Kalshi ↗	—
Zhejiang Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 0.5% · Ask 5.0% Zhejiang Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Zhejiang FC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0% Zhejiang FC Open Kalshi ↗	—

Beijing Guoan

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 6.0%

Beijing Guoan

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 76.0%

Beijing Guoan

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 36.0 pp

Chengdu Rongcheng

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Chengdu Rongcheng

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 99.0%

Chengdu Rongcheng

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 97.9 pp

Henan

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 5.7%

Henan

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0%

Henan

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.7 pp

Shenzhen Peng City

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

10.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 18.9%

Shenzhen Peng City

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0%

Shenzhen Peng City

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 9.0 pp

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.2%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.2%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.2 pp

Yunnan Yukun

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.3%

Yunnan Yukun

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0%

Yunnan Yukun

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Chongqing Tonglianglong

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Chongqing Tonglianglong

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 27.0%

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Open Kalshi ↗

Dalian Yingbo

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 4.5%

Dalian Yingbo

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Dalian Yingbo FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 30.0%

Dalian Yingbo FC

Open Kalshi ↗

Liaoning Tieren

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.6%

Liaoning Tieren

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Liaoning Tieren FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0%

Liaoning Tieren FC

Open Kalshi ↗

Qingdao Hainiu

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

98.6%

Bid 97.4% · Ask 99.8%

Qingdao Hainiu

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Qingdao West Coast

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 6.8%

Qingdao West Coast

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Qingdao West Coast FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0%

Qingdao West Coast FC

Open Kalshi ↗

Qingdao West Coast FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0%

Qingdao Hainiu FC

Open Kalshi ↗

Shandong Taishan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 3.1%

Shandong Taishan

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Shanghai Port

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.1%

Shanghai Port

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Shanghai Port FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 30.0%

Shandong Taishan FC

Open Kalshi ↗

Shanghai Port FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0%

Shanghai Shenhua FC

Open Kalshi ↗

Shanghai Port FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0%

Shanghai Port FC

Open Kalshi ↗

Shanghai Shenhua

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.2%

Shanghai Shenhua

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Wuhan Three Towns

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

92.2%

Bid 90.0% · Ask 94.4%

Wuhan Three Towns

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Wuhan Three Towns FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0%

Wuhan Three Towns FC

Open Kalshi ↗

Zhejiang

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 5.0%

Zhejiang

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Zhejiang FC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 29.0%

Zhejiang FC

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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