Market comparison

CONCACAF Nations League 2026-27 Winner

2 venues · 33 outcome rows · 15 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

32 outcomes · $171K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jun 28, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

19 outcomes · $9K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 31, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for CONCACAF Nations League 2026-27 Winner
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Canada Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	10.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 10.0% Canada Open Kalshi ↗	12.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 16.0% Canada Open Polymarket ↗	2.5 pp
Costa Rica Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Costa Rica Open Kalshi ↗	0.7% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.2% Costa Rica Open Polymarket ↗	0.3 pp
Curacao Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	13.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 13.0% Curacao Open Kalshi ↗	6.0% Bid 0.3% · Ask 11.8% Curacao Open Polymarket ↗	7.0 pp
Dominican Republic Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Dominican Republic Open Kalshi ↗	3.2% Bid 0.2% · Ask 6.2% Dominican Republic Open Polymarket ↗	2.2 pp
El Salvador Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% El Salvador Open Kalshi ↗	3.9% Bid 0.2% · Ask 7.5% El Salvador Open Polymarket ↗	2.8 pp
Guatemala Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	9.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 9.0% Guatemala Open Kalshi ↗	0.7% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.2% Guatemala Open Polymarket ↗	8.3 pp
Haiti Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 18.0% Haiti Open Kalshi ↗	6.3% Bid 0.3% · Ask 12.4% Haiti Open Polymarket ↗	2.4 pp
Honduras Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Honduras Open Kalshi ↗	0.7% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.2% Honduras Open Polymarket ↗	0.3 pp
Jamaica Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Jamaica Open Kalshi ↗	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% Jamaica Open Polymarket ↗	0.8 pp
Martinique Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Martinique Open Kalshi ↗	3.3% Bid 0.3% · Ask 6.3% Martinique Open Polymarket ↗	2.8 pp
Mexico Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	35.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 36.0% Mexico Open Kalshi ↗	42.0% Bid 41.0% · Ask 43.0% Mexico Open Polymarket ↗	7.0 pp
Nicaragua Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Nicaragua Open Kalshi ↗	1.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.4% Nicaragua Open Polymarket ↗	0.8 pp
Panama Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Panama Open Kalshi ↗	9.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 19.0% Panama Open Polymarket ↗	8.6 pp
Suriname Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Suriname Open Kalshi ↗	1.0% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.8% Suriname Open Polymarket ↗	0.0 pp
Trinidad and Tobago Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Trinidad and Tobago Open Kalshi ↗	3.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.9% Trinidad and Tobago Open Polymarket ↗	2.5 pp
Belgium Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Belgium Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Croatia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Croatia Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Czechia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Czechia Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Denmark Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Denmark Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
England Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 24.0% England Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
France Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 22.0% France Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Germany Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Germany Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Greece Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Greece Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Italy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Italy Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Netherlands Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Netherlands Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Norway Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Norway Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Portugal Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 14.0% Portugal Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Serbia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Serbia Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Spain Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	33.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 36.0% Spain Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Turkiye Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Turkiye Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
United States Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.5% Bid 28.0% · Ask 33.0% United States Open Polymarket ↗	—
USA Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 50.0% USA Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Wales Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Wales Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Canada

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 10.0%

Canada

CONCACAF Nations League 2026-27 Winner

Kalshi

Polymarket

Canada

Kalshi

Polymarket

Costa Rica

Kalshi

Polymarket

Curacao

Kalshi

Polymarket

Dominican Republic

Kalshi

Polymarket

El Salvador

Kalshi

Polymarket

Guatemala

Kalshi

Polymarket

Haiti

Kalshi

Polymarket

Honduras

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jamaica

Kalshi

Polymarket

Martinique

Kalshi

Polymarket

Mexico

Kalshi

Polymarket

Nicaragua

Kalshi

Polymarket

Panama

Kalshi

Polymarket

Suriname

Kalshi

Polymarket

Trinidad and Tobago

Kalshi

Polymarket

Belgium

Kalshi

Polymarket

Croatia

Kalshi

Polymarket

Czechia

Kalshi

Polymarket

Denmark

Kalshi

Polymarket

England

Kalshi

Polymarket

France

Kalshi

Polymarket

Germany

Kalshi

Polymarket

Greece

Kalshi

Polymarket

Italy

Kalshi

Polymarket

Netherlands

Kalshi

Polymarket

Norway

Kalshi