Market comparison

Connecticut's 2nd District margin of victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $21K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Connecticut's 2nd District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Courtney, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	96.8% Bid 91.7% · Ask 96.8% Courtney, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Courtney, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.0% Bid 90.0% · Ask 98.7% Courtney, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Courtney, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.0% Bid 85.0% · Ask 95.2% Courtney, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Courtney, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	74.0% Bid 74.0% · Ask 85.0% Courtney, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Courtney, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	62.0% Bid 62.0% · Ask 73.0% Courtney, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Courtney, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	48.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 48.0% Courtney, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Courtney, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	33.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 37.0% Courtney, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Courtney, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 27.0% Courtney, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Courtney, 32+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 7.5% · Ask 15.0% Courtney, 32+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.8% Bid 3.7% · Ask 5.9% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.9% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 14.0% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.5% Bid 24.0% · Ask 25.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.4% Bid 33.5% · Ask 37.3% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 23.0% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.1% Democrat 35%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Courtney, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

96.8%

Bid 91.7% · Ask 96.8%

Courtney, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Courtney, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.0%

Bid 90.0% · Ask 98.7%

Courtney, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Courtney, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 95.2%

Courtney, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Courtney, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

74.0%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 85.0%

Courtney, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Courtney, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

62.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 73.0%

Courtney, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Courtney, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

48.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 48.0%

Courtney, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Courtney, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 37.0%

Courtney, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Courtney, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

22.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 27.0%

Courtney, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Courtney, 32+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 7.5% · Ask 15.0%

Courtney, 32+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.8%

Bid 3.7% · Ask 5.9%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.9%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 14.0%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.5%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 25.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

35.4%

Bid 33.5% · Ask 37.3%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 23.0%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.1%

Democrat 35%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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