Market comparison

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actor

2 venues · 46 outcome rows · 12 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

45 outcomes · $186K reported volume

Observed 37s ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 21, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

16 outcomes · $12K reported volume

Observed 37s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 3, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actor
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Andrew Scott Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	85.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 86.0% Andrew Scott Open Polymarket ↗	85.0% Bid 75.0% · Ask 95.0% Andrew Scott Open Kalshi ↗	0.0 pp
Anthony Ippolito Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	29.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 38.0% Anthony Ippolito Open Polymarket ↗	50.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 50.0% Anthony Ippolito Open Kalshi ↗	20.5 pp
Brad Pitt Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Brad Pitt Open Polymarket ↗	20.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0% Brad Pitt Open Kalshi ↗	17.5 pp
John Malkovich Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	87.5% Bid 87.0% · Ask 88.0% John Malkovich Open Polymarket ↗	96.0% Bid 91.0% · Ask 96.0% John Malkovich Open Kalshi ↗	8.5 pp
John Turturro Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	46.5% Bid 37.0% · Ask 56.0% John Turturro Open Polymarket ↗	30.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 37.0% John Turturro Open Kalshi ↗	16.5 pp
Matt Damon Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	94.2% Bid 92.6% · Ask 95.8% Matt Damon Open Polymarket ↗	88.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 98.0% Matt Damon Open Kalshi ↗	6.2 pp
Miles Teller Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.4% Bid 2.3% · Ask 8.5% Miles Teller Open Polymarket ↗	11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0% Miles Teller Open Kalshi ↗	5.6 pp
Pedro Pascal Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	14.5% Bid 13.1% · Ask 16.0% Pedro Pascal Open Polymarket ↗	21.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 30.0% Pedro Pascal Open Kalshi ↗	6.5 pp
Robert Pattinson Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	48.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 49.0% Robert Pattinson Open Polymarket ↗ 30.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 41.0% Robert Pattinson Open Polymarket ↗	67.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 67.0% Robert Pattinson Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ryan Gosling Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	43.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 44.0% Ryan Gosling Open Polymarket ↗	79.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 79.0% Ryan Gosling Open Kalshi ↗	36.0 pp
Sebastian Stan Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	17.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0% Sebastian Stan Open Polymarket ↗	25.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 35.0% Sebastian Stan Open Kalshi ↗	8.0 pp
Tom Cruise Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	60.5% Bid 58.0% · Ask 63.0% Tom Cruise Open Polymarket ↗	51.0% Bid 50.0% · Ask 65.0% Tom Cruise Open Kalshi ↗	9.5 pp
Adam Driver Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.7% Bid 3.2% · Ask 6.2% Adam Driver Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Andrew Garfield Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	70.5% Bid 60.0% · Ask 81.0% Andrew Garfield Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Andrew Scott Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 3.3% · Ask 3.4% Adam Scott Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Antonio Banderas Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.9% Antonio Banderas Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Channing Tatum Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.8% Bid 5.2% · Ask 8.3% Channing Tatum Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Charles Melton Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.6% Charles Melton Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Colman Domingo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 23.0% Colman Domingo Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Daniel Craig Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.4% Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.7% Daniel Craig Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Dominic Sessa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0% Dominic Sessa Open Kalshi ↗	—
Edward Norton Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	55.5% Bid 49.0% · Ask 62.0% Edward Norton Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Guitarricadelafuente Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	71.5% Bid 68.0% · Ask 75.0% Guitarricadelafuente Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Guy Pearce Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.7% Bid 1.7% · Ask 7.7% Guy Pearce Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Himesh Patel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 2.2% · Ask 6.6% Himesh Patel Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Jaafar Jackson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.5% Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0% Jaafar Jackson Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
James Ortiz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0% James Ortiz Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Javier Bardem Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.1% Bid 1.6% · Ask 6.6% Javier Bardem Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Jeremy Strong Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Jeremy Strong Open Polymarket ↗ 11.6% Bid 3.1% · Ask 20.0% Jeremy Strong Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Jesse Plemons Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 5.0% Jesse Plemons Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
John Goodman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.6% Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.1% John Goodman Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
John Leguizamo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	73.5% Bid 72.0% · Ask 75.0% John Leguizamo Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Jordan Firstman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0% Jordan Firstman Open Kalshi ↗	—
Josh O'Connor Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.7% Bid 1.5% · Ask 7.8% Josh O'Connor Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Josh O'Connor Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0% Jack O’Connell Open Kalshi ↗	—
Michael Fassbender Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.3% Bid 4.1% · Ask 10.5% Michael Fassbender Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Paul Giamatti Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	93.0% Bid 91.0% · Ask 95.0% Paul Giamatti Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Riz Ahmed Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0% Riz Ahmed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Robert Aramayo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.1% Robert Aramayo Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Robert De Niro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Robert De Niro Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Sam Rockwell Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 6.6% · Ask 8.4% Sam Rockwell Open Polymarket ↗ 73.5% Bid 72.0% · Ask 75.0% Sam Rockwell Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Skyler Gisondo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0% Skyler Gisondo Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Steve Buscemi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0% Steve Buscemi Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Timothée Chalamet Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0% Timothée Chalamet Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Tom Holland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.4% Tom Holland Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yura Borisov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 25.0% Yura Borisov Open Kalshi ↗	—

Andrew Scott

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

85.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 86.0%

Andrew Scott

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actor

Polymarket

Kalshi

Andrew Scott

Polymarket

Kalshi

Anthony Ippolito

Polymarket

Kalshi

Brad Pitt

Polymarket

Kalshi

John Malkovich

Polymarket

Kalshi

John Turturro

Polymarket

Kalshi

Matt Damon

Polymarket

Kalshi

Miles Teller

Polymarket

Kalshi

Pedro Pascal

Polymarket

Kalshi

Robert Pattinson

Polymarket

Kalshi

Ryan Gosling

Polymarket

Kalshi

Sebastian Stan

Polymarket

Kalshi

Tom Cruise

Polymarket

Kalshi

Adam Driver

Polymarket

Kalshi

Andrew Garfield

Polymarket

Kalshi

Andrew Scott

Polymarket

Kalshi

Antonio Banderas

Polymarket

Kalshi

Channing Tatum

Polymarket

Kalshi

Charles Melton

Polymarket

Kalshi

Colman Domingo

Polymarket

Kalshi

Daniel Craig

Polymarket

Kalshi

Dominic Sessa

Polymarket

Kalshi

Edward Norton

Polymarket

Kalshi

Guitarricadelafuente

Polymarket

Kalshi

Guy Pearce

Polymarket

Kalshi

Himesh Patel

Polymarket

Kalshi

Jaafar Jackson

Polymarket