Market comparison

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actress

2 venues · 44 outcome rows · 10 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

44 outcomes · $76K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 15, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

15 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 3, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actress
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Emily Blunt Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	12.1% Bid 10.6% · Ask 13.6% Emily Blunt Open Polymarket ↗	45.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 51.0% Emily Blunt Open Kalshi ↗	32.9 pp
Inde Navarrette Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.1% Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.2% Inde Navarrette Open Polymarket ↗ 79.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 80.0% Inde Navarrette Open Polymarket ↗	70.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 80.0% Inde Navarrette Open Kalshi ↗	—
Julianne Moore Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	95.0% Bid 94.0% · Ask 96.0% Julianne Moore Open Polymarket ↗	94.0% Bid 80.0% · Ask 99.0% Julianne Moore Open Kalshi ↗	1.0 pp
Mikey Madison Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	8.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 10.0% Mikey Madison Open Polymarket ↗	15.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0% Mikey Madison Open Kalshi ↗	6.5 pp
Olivia Wilde Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	69.0% Bid 53.0% · Ask 85.0% Olivia Wilde Open Polymarket ↗	65.0% Bid 45.0% · Ask 65.0% Olivia Wilde Open Kalshi ↗	4.0 pp
Renate Reinsve Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	47.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 48.0% Renate Reinsve Open Polymarket ↗	44.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 54.0% Renate Reinsve Open Kalshi ↗	3.0 pp
Rosalind Eleazar Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	12.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 15.0% Rosalind Eleazar Open Polymarket ↗	20.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0% Rosalind Eleazar Open Kalshi ↗	7.5 pp
Ruth Madeley Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	44.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 46.0% Ruth Madeley Open Polymarket ↗	63.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 78.0% Ruth Madeley Open Kalshi ↗	19.0 pp
Sandra Hüller Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	24.5% Bid 23.0% · Ask 26.0% Sandra Hüller Open Polymarket ↗ 64.5% Bid 63.0% · Ask 66.0% Sandra Hüller Open Polymarket ↗	55.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 60.0% Sandra Hüller Open Kalshi ↗	—
Virginie Efira Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	43.0% Bid 41.0% · Ask 45.0% Virginie Efira Open Polymarket ↗	48.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 65.0% Virginie Efira Open Kalshi ↗	5.0 pp
Amanda Seyfried Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	57.5% Bid 55.0% · Ask 60.0% Amanda Seyfried Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Anne Hathaway Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	88.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 89.0% Anne Hathaway Open Polymarket ↗ 4.5% Bid 2.3% · Ask 6.7% Anne Hathaway Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Betty Gilpin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.7% Bid 2.5% · Ask 6.9% Betty Gilpin Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Carrie Coon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 23.0% Carrie Coon Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cynthia Erivo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0% Cynthia Erivo Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Daisy Edgar-Jones Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.2% Bid 4.9% · Ask 13.5% Daisy Edgar-Jones Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Dakota Johnson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.7% Bid 2.6% · Ask 8.8% Dakota Johnson Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Danielle Deadwyler Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.1% Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.1% Danielle Deadwyler Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Gemma Chan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 10.0% Gemma Chan Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Isabella Rossellini Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.9% Isabella Rossellini Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Jeon Do-yeon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0% Jeon Do-yeon Open Kalshi ↗	—
Joan Collins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 4.1% · Ask 6.0% Joan Collins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Kate O'Flynn Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	38.5% Bid 25.0% · Ask 52.0% Kate O'Flynn Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Kirsten Dunst Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.2% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.2% Kirsten Dunst Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Laura Linney Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 2.1% · Ask 7.0% Laura Linney Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Léa Seydoux Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 29.0% Léa Seydoux Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lily Gladstone Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.7% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.4% Lily Gladstone Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Margaret Qualley Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 0.5% · Ask 6.5% Margaret Qualley Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Mariana di Girolamo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 31.0% Mariana di Girolamo Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Marion Bailey Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0% Marion Bailey Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mason Reeves Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0% Mason Reeves Open Kalshi ↗	—
Merritt Wever Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0% Merritt Wever Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Michelle Monaghan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.8% Bid 2.9% · Ask 8.6% Michelle Monaghan Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Michelle Williams Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.3% Bid 6.4% · Ask 10.3% Michelle Williams Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Natalie Portman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.3% Bid 5.3% · Ask 7.3% Natalie Portman Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Olivia Colman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	36.5% Bid 34.0% · Ask 39.0% Olivia Colman Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Parker Posey Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 23.0% Parker Posey Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Penélope Cruz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	73.5% Bid 71.0% · Ask 76.0% Penélope Cruz Open Polymarket ↗ 5.3% Bid 3.1% · Ask 7.5% Penélope Cruz Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Samantha Morton Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	73.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 86.0% Samantha Morton Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Scarlett Johansson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.5% Scarlett Johansson Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Shailene Woodley Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 0.3% · Ask 5.5% Shailene Woodley Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Sophie Okonedo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.3% Bid 4.7% · Ask 7.8% Sophie Okonedo Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Tao Okamoto Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	66.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 73.0% Tao Okamoto Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Zendaya Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 19.0% Zendaya Open Polymarket ↗ 4.3% Bid 3.2% · Ask 5.5% Zendaya Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Emily Blunt

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

12.1%

Bid 10.6% · Ask 13.6%

Emily Blunt

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actress

Polymarket

Kalshi

Emily Blunt

Polymarket

Kalshi

Inde Navarrette

Polymarket

Kalshi

Julianne Moore

Polymarket

Kalshi

Mikey Madison

Polymarket

Kalshi

Olivia Wilde

Polymarket

Kalshi

Renate Reinsve

Polymarket

Kalshi

Rosalind Eleazar

Polymarket

Kalshi

Ruth Madeley

Polymarket

Kalshi

Sandra Hüller

Polymarket

Kalshi

Virginie Efira

Polymarket

Kalshi

Amanda Seyfried

Polymarket

Kalshi

Anne Hathaway

Polymarket

Kalshi

Betty Gilpin

Polymarket

Kalshi

Carrie Coon

Polymarket

Kalshi

Cynthia Erivo

Polymarket

Kalshi

Daisy Edgar-Jones

Polymarket

Kalshi

Dakota Johnson

Polymarket

Kalshi

Danielle Deadwyler

Polymarket

Kalshi

Gemma Chan

Polymarket

Kalshi

Isabella Rossellini

Polymarket

Kalshi

Jeon Do-yeon

Polymarket

Kalshi

Joan Collins

Polymarket

Kalshi

Kate O'Flynn

Polymarket

Kalshi

Kirsten Dunst

Polymarket

Kalshi

Laura Linney

Polymarket

Kalshi

Léa Seydoux

Polymarket