Market comparison

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Adapted Screenplay

2 venues · 46 outcome rows · 11 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

57 outcomes · $66K reported volume

Observed 54s ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 14, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

15 outcomes · $9K reported volume

Observed 54s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 3, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Adapted Screenplay
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
All of a Sudden Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.8% Bid 0.3% · Ask 11.3% All of a Sudden Open Polymarket ↗ 59.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 62.0% All of a Sudden Open Polymarket ↗	42.5% Bid 33.0% · Ask 52.0% All of a Sudden Open Kalshi ↗	—
Clarissa Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8% Clarissa Open Polymarket ↗ 12.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 13.0% Clarissa Open Polymarket ↗	12.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 21.0% Clarissa Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cry to Heaven Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% Cry to Heaven Open Polymarket ↗ 4.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.8% Cry to Heaven Open Polymarket ↗	4.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 8.0% Cry to Heaven Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dune: Part Three Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Dune: Part Three Open Polymarket ↗ 26.5% Bid 24.0% · Ask 29.0% Dune: Part Three Open Polymarket ↗	57.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 72.0% Dune: Part Three Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ink Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Ink Open Polymarket ↗ 15.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0% Ink Open Polymarket ↗	28.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 38.0% Ink Open Kalshi ↗	—
Project Hail Mary Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.3% Bid 1.3% · Ask 3.3% Project Hail Mary Open Polymarket ↗ 58.5% Bid 27.0% · Ask 90.0% Project Hail Mary Open Polymarket ↗	78.0% Bid 71.0% · Ask 87.0% Project Hail Mary Open Kalshi ↗	—
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	31.4% Bid 30.3% · Ask 32.5% The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Polymarket ↗	35.5% Bid 26.0% · Ask 45.0% The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Kalshi ↗	4.1 pp
The Invite Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	20.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 22.0% The Invite Open Polymarket ↗ 93.7% Bid 91.4% · Ask 95.9% The Invite Open Polymarket ↗	87.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 97.0% The Invite Open Kalshi ↗	—
The Odyssey Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	22.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 23.0% The Odyssey Open Polymarket ↗ 88.5% Bid 87.0% · Ask 90.0% The Odyssey Open Polymarket ↗	91.5% Bid 84.0% · Ask 99.0% The Odyssey Open Kalshi ↗	—
The Social Reckoning Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.4% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.4% The Social Reckoning Open Polymarket ↗ 3.5% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.0% The Social Reckoning Open Polymarket ↗	9.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 17.0% The Social Reckoning Open Kalshi ↗	—
Wildwood Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Wildwood Open Polymarket ↗ 5.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 8.0% Wildwood Open Polymarket ↗	9.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 16.0% Wildwood Open Kalshi ↗	—
Being Heumann Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 38.0% Being Heumann Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fatherland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 19.0% Fatherland Open Kalshi ↗	—
La Bola Negra Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.0% Bid 76.0% · Ask 96.0% La Bola Negra Open Kalshi ↗	—
Movie A Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie A · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie B · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie C Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie C · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie D Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie D · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie E Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie E · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie F Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie F · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie G Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie G · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie H Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie H · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie I Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie I · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie J Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie J · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie K · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie L Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie L · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie M · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie N Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie N · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie O Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie O · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie P Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie P · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie Q Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Q · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie R Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie R · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie S Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie S · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie T · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie U Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie U · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie V Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie V · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie W Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie W · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie X Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie X · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie Y Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Y · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie Z Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Z · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Primetime Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 22.0% Primetime Open Kalshi ↗	—
Saturn Return Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Saturn Return Open Polymarket ↗ 2.4% Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.0% Saturn Return Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
The Adventures of Cliff Booth Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.9% The Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
The Black Ball Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	47.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 48.0% The Black Ball Open Polymarket ↗ 86.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 90.0% The Black Ball Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
The Whisper Man Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7% The Whisper Man Open Polymarket ↗ 4.0% Bid 1.5% · Ask 6.6% The Whisper Man Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Toy Story 5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8% Toy Story 5 Open Polymarket ↗ 3.1% Bid 3.0% · Ask 3.2% Toy Story 5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

All of a Sudden

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

5.8%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 11.3%

All of a Sudden

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Adapted Screenplay

Polymarket

Kalshi

All of a Sudden

Polymarket

Kalshi

Clarissa

Polymarket

Kalshi

Cry to Heaven

Polymarket

Kalshi

Dune: Part Three

Polymarket

Kalshi

Ink

Polymarket

Kalshi

Project Hail Mary

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Invite

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Odyssey

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Social Reckoning

Polymarket

Kalshi

Wildwood

Polymarket

Kalshi

Being Heumann

Polymarket

Kalshi

Fatherland

Polymarket

Kalshi

La Bola Negra

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie A

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie B

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie C

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie D

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie E

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie F

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie G

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie H

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie I

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie J

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie K

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie L

Polymarket