The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Animated Feature

2 venues · 15 outcome rows · 9 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $20K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 15, 2027

15 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 3, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Forgotten Island

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

58.5%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 60.0%

Forgotten Island

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

63.0%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 65.0%

Forgotten Island

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 4.5 pp

Hoppers

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

48.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 62.0%

Hoppers

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 90.0%

Hoppers

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 32.0 pp

Iron Boy

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

56.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 84.0%

Iron Boy

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 70.0%

Iron Boy

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.0 pp

Minions & Monsters

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0%

Minions & Monsters

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 21.0%

Minions & Monsters

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Ray Gunn

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

67.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 71.0%

Ray Gunn

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 81.0%

Ray Gunn

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 14.0 pp

Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

35.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 36.0%

Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 29.0%

Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 6.0 pp

Tangles

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

40.5%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 47.0%

Tangles

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 65.0%

Tangles

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 14.5 pp

Toy Story 5

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

85.0%

Bid 83.0% · Ask 87.0%

Toy Story 5

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

90.0%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 98.0%

Toy Story 5

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 5.0 pp

Wildwood

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

90.5%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 92.0%

Wildwood

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

95.0%

Bid 95.0% · Ask 96.0%

Wildwood

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 4.5 pp

GOAT

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

10.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 19.0%

GOAT

Open Kalshi ↗

Hexed

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

28.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 38.0%

Hexed

Open Kalshi ↗

In Waves

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 22.0%

In Waves

Open Kalshi ↗

Julián

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 20.0%

Julián

Open Kalshi ↗

Steps

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 21.0%

Steps

Open Kalshi ↗

The Violinist

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 20.0%

The Violinist

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.